We've entered a period where Sanders is polling behind his numbers from four years ago.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

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Dave Weigel
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We’ve entered a period where Sanders is polling behind his numbers from four years ago.

RCP average on July 29, 2015: Sanders 17.5%
RCP average today: Sanders 14.3%

We don’t have enough Iowa polls for a real average, but on this day four years ago Sanders was at 25.5% there.

1:27 PM - 29 Jul 2019

Does familiarity breed contempt?

[wyldwolf]

1. I wonder if his less-ardent supporters all went to Warren of if there is just 'bern-out'

And they spread out across the field.

[brush]

4. That's it. This time 4 years ago it was only Sanders v Clinton. O'Malley was an after thought.

Now there are so many candidates, many of whom have taken up the progressive mantle that Sanders had a more or less monopoly on last time.

His window has closed.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

8. You inspired a poll.

https://www.democraticunderground.com/1287215306

[JI7]

5. i think a lot of his support was more about Hillary hatred

[wyldwolf]

6. well, that, too.

[Blue_true]

14. There was an article a week or two ago that indicated that his most

affluent 2016 supporters had shifted over to Warren, not all of them, but the belief was that many had. It will be interesting to see how the numbers go after the debate tomorrow.

[Gustafo]

2. There are more candidates now

Not a very fair criticism.

[LiberalFighter]

3. There are more nuances in the candidates...

that voters can get behind.

[highplainsdem]

7. He has more rivals now, especially Warren.

[Cha]

9. Yeah.. ain't life grand!

[Gothmog]

15. Yep

[George II]

10. Last time around he pointed out that he was behind because no one knew him....

For his sake, maybe that wasn't such a bad thing?

[Gothmog]

11. This is not a good sign

[oasis]

12. Gonna be rough but, he'll muddle through somehow.

[Gothmog]

13. I remain hopeful that sanders will fail to reach the 300 delegate threshold

I was a delegate to the Philadelphia convention and saw how the process works. One key item is that under the rules, a candidate cannot be put into nomination without 300 delegates. https://democrats.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/2020-Call-for-Convention-WITH-Attachments-2.26.19.pdf

Nomination of the Democratic Candidate for President: The Permanent Chair shall receive nominations from the floor for the Democratic candidate for the Office of President of the United
States in the following manner:

a. Requests to nominate a presidential candidate shall be in writing and shall have affixed thereto the written approval of the proposed nominee and the name of the individuals who shall be recognized to make the nominating and seconding speeches on behalf of a presidential candidate and shall be delivered to the Convention Secretary at a location as specified by the Secretary no later than 6:00 p.m. of the day preceding the day designated for the commencement of presidential nominations.

b. Each such request must be accompanied by a petition indicating support for the proposed nominee signed by delegates representing not less than 300 or more than 600 delegate votes, not more than 50 of which may come from one (1) delegation. A delegate may not sign more than one (1) nominating petition for president and for vice president. Pledged and automatic delegates may sign the petition.

If sanders is frozen out of enough states due to the 15% rule and remaining non-Biden delegates are split among several candidates, there is a chance that sanders may not reach 300 threshold