Democratic Primaries

bluewater

(5,376 posts) Tue Jun 25, 2019, 12:42 PM Jun 2019

Warren, at +6 over Trump, continues to show strength

Five primary candidates are now polling ahead of Trump:

Biden +10
Sanders +10

Warren +6

Harris +4
Buttigieg +4

http://emersonpolling.com/

Everyone is starting to beat Trump by greater margins in the general election polls.

The electability argument as a reason to vote for just one candidate continues to lose traction.

Vote for the candidate that best represents your issues and values.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

3 replies

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Warren, at +6 over Trump, continues to show strength (Original Post) bluewater Jun 2019 OP

Wow zentrum Jun 2019 #1

Emerson is a solid pollster bluewater Jun 2019 #2

Emerson has become an outlier. TwilightZone Jun 2019 #3

zentrum

(9,865 posts)

1. Wow

Reply to bluewater (Original post)

Tue Jun 25, 2019, 12:53 PM

Jun 2019

But I don't know much about Emerson polling.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

bluewater

(5,376 posts)

2. Emerson is a solid pollster

Reply to zentrum (Reply #1)

Tue Jun 25, 2019, 01:07 PM

Jun 2019

According to 538, they have a B+ rating.

For comparison, the MorningConsult Poll, which is often cited here on DU, is rated B-.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

TwilightZone

(25,473 posts)

3. Emerson has become an outlier.

Reply to bluewater (Reply #2)

Tue Jun 25, 2019, 02:54 PM

Jun 2019

538's rankings haven't been updated in quite a while (May 2018), and Emerson has since shown itself to be an outlier, possibly due to a recent change in their methodology. Sanders' numbers, for example, are way out of whack compared to everyone else.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/2020_democratic_presidential_nomination-6730.html

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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