MoveOn Straw Poll - Warren 38%, Sanders 16.5%, Biden 15%, Buttigieg 12%, Harris 7%

[crazytown]

Elizabeth Warren jumps out to a big lead in MoveOn poll
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-election/elizabeth-warren-jumps-out-big-lead-moveon-poll-n1021191

Warren 38%, Sanders 16.5%, Biden 15%, Buttigieg 12%, Harris 7%, Beto 2%
The left is moving to Warren.

[bluewater]

1. K&R

[zentrum]

2. Excellent.

[N_E_1 for Tennis]

3. KnR...

[George II]

4. Caveat:

The poll was online, emailed to MoveOn members and conducted June 17 to 21.

Those polled weren't just Democrats, they were MoveOn MEMBERS.

[crazytown]

5. I took this poll as a proxy for The Left.

I presume each click had to correspond with a MoveOn membership. If it was a free for all, I would have expected berners to be clicking their hearts away.

[SouthernProgressive]

6. Seems to be great news for Warren, good news for Biden, and bad news for Beto.

This is a group that was consistently close to 80% for Sanders in 2016. They clearly recognize a much better choice this time around.

Beto was winning this poll late last year.

It's also positive for Biden at 15% within this group. Clinton often didn't get 15% with them in a two person race.

[Drunken Irishman]

7. I think Biden having such strong numbers in a left-leaning poll is a good sign.

[shanny]

9. lol

[Drunken Irishman]

11. Laugh it up - Biden almost equals Sanders in a poll of left activists.

Hell, in a multi-person race, Biden does as well as Hillary did in a two-person race against Sanders just four years ago:

https://front.moveon.org/sanders-endorsement-release/

[crazytown]

13. +1

Appalling news for Sanders. The Left are deserting him.

[Drunken Irishman]

14. Yes. This is devastating for Sanders, who had their near-universal support last go around.

[Cha]

22. Yeah, laugh it up.

[crazytown]

10. Appaling news for Sanders

Only 1.5% ahead of Biden in strongly left sample.

[shanny]

8. I'm good with that.

Also please note that the two most liberal candidates combine for well over 50% of the vote

[wyldwolf]

12. reminds me of the good 'ole days when John Edwards won it by 25%

[crazytown]

15. Two Americas

A thinly disguised ripoff of Mario Cuomo's 1984 Two Cities.

[Scurrilous]

16. Warren has big lead among young progressives, NextGen poll finds

<snip>

"Sen. Elizabeth Warren and Sen. Bernie Sanders have broken out as frontrunners for young liberal voters, according to a new straw poll conducted by the progressive group NextGen, pulling ahead of former Vice President Joe Biden, who retains his lead in national polls as the first Democratic debates are about to begin here.

The polling results to be released Tuesday afternoon, first viewed and reported by Yahoo News, show Warren with a huge lead among respondents ages 18 to 35, with 39 percent, compared with 26 percent for Sanders, the runner-up.

Those figures were from a total of 4,418 of participants who had signed on to the email and text-message lists for NextGen, a PAC run by billionaire liberal activist Tom Steyer. The results cannot be extrapolated to the electorate as a whole, or even Democratic primary voters, but Warren’s eclipse of both Biden and Sanders in this highly motivated group seems to confirm a widespread belief that she has picked up momentum in recent weeks. She will have time to bask in her new popularity during the first Democratic debate of the 2020 cycle Wednesday evening, where she’ll be competing mostly against second-tier candidates. Her strongest competitors, including Sanders and Biden, are set to talk the following evening.

Biden, the national Dem frontrunner in most polls, was in a tie for fourth place with Sen. Kamala Harris in the NextGen results, both with 6 percent, behind South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg at 9 percent. Andrew Yang, Beto O’Rourke, Sen. Cory Booker and Washington Gov. Jay Inslee all polled at less than 3 percent."

https://www.yahoo.com/news/warren-has-big-lead-among-young-progressives-next-gen-poll-finds-133454147.html

[Vegas Roller]

18. If their candidate is losing by a 2:1 margin

those young voters don't show up at the polls. They only vote when there is a fighting chance.

[Vegas Roller]

17. lol

We polled X number of extremely left leaning people and got these ultra-progressive results. Let's cheer each other and laugh with contempt at all those reality-based centrists.

[crazytown]

19. This poll doesn't indicate much about Biden's support

What it shows is The Left are deserting Sanders - and that is highly significant.

[highplainsdem]

20. Nate Silver's tweets about this poll and Sanders coming in second:

Link to tweet

Link to tweet

[crazytown]

21. +1

We won't get fooled again.

[Cha]

23. Well, one of BS' advisors is David Sirota

and he has Nate Silver blocked on Twitter. No word on how his other advisors feel about Nate.

Thanks for that, highplainsdem

[Cha]

24. They've moved on.