Primary Preferences Don't Swing on a Daily Basis

[MineralMan]

Here at DU, we watch the news like hawks, and have long, sometimes argumentative, discussions about every last thing the leading candidates do or say.

If pollsters used DU as their sample for surveys, the numbers would change constantly. They don't, though. They try to select people to be polled who are representative of the population. Sometimes they do that well; sometimes not so well.

The reality is that the day's news about the campaign doesn't move the polls very much. What seems like a big deal to us is not even noticed in the larger sample.

We get all exercised about things that the general run of primary voters doesn't consider as important. I suppose that's inevitable, but if you look at the informal poll at the top of this forum, it's clear that we don't represent the typical Democratic primary voters very well at all.

[ancianita]

1. Agreed.