** Nate Silver 538** Warren and Buttigieg have gained in the polls, Sanders has fallen

[DemocratSinceBirth]

Two big, obvious things have happened. One is that Elizbeth Warren has gained at Bernie Sanders’s expense. Contrary to the claims made by the Sanders campaign, it’s not just “manufactured media narratives” that have Warren surging or Sanders slumping. Instead, that’s what you get if you make any effort to look at an average or cross-section of polls instead of cherry-picking, although the shifts have been fairly gradual.

The other trend is that Beto O’Rourke and Pete Buttigieg have swapped places. At the end of March, O’Rourke was at 9.3 percent and Buttigieg was at 2.6 percent; now, it’s Buttigieg at 7.7 percent and O’Rourke at 3.6 percent.

...


https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/bulletpoint-two-meaningful-things-have-happened-in-the-democratic-primary-so-far/

[Gothmog]

1. I agree with Nate

Link to tweet

[Cha]

3. I read Sirota has Blocked Nate Silver

on Twitter.. I wonder if it's because of polls like these?

[crazytown]

4. Nate's business is facts

Sirota's business is fantasy - Unicorn shit.

[NYMinute]

5. Not just fantasy -- evil smears as well nt

[Cha]

6. We need to know what's true.. I'm

beyond sick of fantasy.

[Tarheel_Dem]

2. K&R