***So Joe Biden is the ONLY Democrat winning Texas.***

[DemocratSinceBirth]

https://poll.qu.edu/texas/release-detail?ReleaseID=2625


I'm not saying one poll is dispositive but the fact Biden is beating Trump in a state Hillary Clinton lost by nine points counts for something. If Joe can put Texas in play he's well on his way to victory.

I just want to be rid of Trump.

[BootinUp]

1. Not a surprise to me. Nt

[Laurian]

2. I've been on the Biden Bandwagon, but his position on the

Hyde Ammendment is troublesome to me.

I’m waiting to hear more about it from him.

[calguy]

4. When you've been in public service as long as Biden has........

There's bound to be more than a few positions he's taken over the years that you disagree with. That's certainly true for me anyway. But I'm not voting because of his past, I'm voting for him for the future. At this point in time I believe he's the best qualified to not only beat trump's ass into the ground, but also to heal and unite the country to repair the damage trump has done to it. In a different cycle under different circumstances, I'd probably support a different candidate. In this cycle Biden just feels like a man whose time has come.

[Lordquinton]

23. No, this isn't some past position, this is today.

With this revelation in 2019, Biden just feels like a man whose time has past.

[still_one]

28. That's the problem. I can not think of a valid reason why any Democratic

candidate running for president would support this today

[Lordquinton]

40. When a Democrat goes against the party platform, it's time to take notice

I don't agree with everything in the party platform, but I acknowledge that it's what's there for now. I'm also not running on said platform.

[ancianita]

29. Obama campaigned as pro-choice. When Obama signed his executive order keeping the Hyde Amendment

in the ACA, women were outraged.

We remain deeply dismayed by it. President Obama campaigned as a pro-choice candidate. He campaigned as a person, he said, who was opposed to the Hyde Amendment. This deal, with Bart Stupak, is simply unacceptable,” said Terry O’Neill, president of the National Organization for Women.

It does change the status quo,” she said, stating that the order essentially denied abortion rights to low-income women.

It’s one thing to acknowledge that the Hyde Amendment has been passed every year for 30 years. It is quite a different thing to say that as if that’s OK, as if the leaders of Congress, who are pro-choice, are going to say we’re going to stop fighting that battle because we just don’t care about low- income women,” she said.

Abortion rights opponents were also unhappy with the order, saying it did not go far enough in banning government funding for abortions.

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-healthcare-obama/obama-signs-order-on-abortion-and-healthcare-idUSTRE62N61Y20100324

And Obama got a second term.

[Lordquinton]

39. It was wrong then, and it's wrong now

We're still early in the primaries, we may even have a candidate that hasn't entered the race yet. This is the time to disqualify someone on these kind of issues. Obama getting a seperate term was a different situation, he didn't win saying he's for it.

[Thekaspervote]

53. Thank you.. well put

[Raven123]

3. No Democrat is "winning" anything until an election takes place.I share your desire to defeat Trump.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

30. Respectfully, I made it clear I didn't believe the results are dispositive.

"I'm not saying one poll is dispositive but the fact Biden is beating Trump in a state Hillary Clinton lost by nine points counts for something. If Joe can put Texas in play he's well on his way to victory."

[iamthebandfanman]

5. ok? n/t

[DemocratSinceBirth]

8. If

If you don't believe defeating Trump is a moral imperative there is nothing I can do to disabuse you of that notion.

[Tarheel_Dem]

6. Looks like Independents & POC really like Smokin' Joe. n/t

[Indygram]

7. That poll is of only 30% Democrats and doesn't include the 500% more youth voters Beto mobilized

PARTY IDENTIFICATION QUESTION WORDING - Generally speaking, do you consider yourself a
Republican, a Democrat, an Independent, or what?
REGISTERED VOTERS
PARTY IDENTIFICATION
Republican 34%
Democrat 30
Independent 25
Other/DK/NA 10

[DemocratSinceBirth]

12. Their model resembles the 2018 electorate

https://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1287&pid=140681

[Indygram]

44. What are the poll results vs Trump per candidate in Texas?

Dem vs. Dem only shows who people polled THINK is most likely to beat Trump.

Also, Biden is the only candidate who supports denying a woman's right to choose to poor and minority women by supporting the God awful Hyde Amendment. I suspect his polling will be dropping after that revelation.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

50. Those match up include all potential voters, not just Democrats.

It's not a poll where Democrats are asked who they "THINK" will win. It's a poll where all registered voters are asked who they are going to vote for.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

11. The demographics in that poll are more favorable to Democrats than the 2016 electorate

https://www.cnn.com/election/2016/results/exit-polls/texas/president


or roughly the same as the 2018 electorate where Beto was on the ballot:

https://www.cnn.com/election/2018/exit-polls/texas/senate

[Rstrstx]

36. Even better

In 2016 voters 65+ comprised 15% of the vote while in 2018 they were 27% of the vote. In 2020 27% of voters won't be 65+.

[onetexan]

13. check out the Morning Consult map here - has the Idiot's net approval in Tx only by 3 pts

https://morningconsult.com/tracking-trump/

I will vote for the Dem candidate, though i am hopeful it will be Biden. Rust Belt states seem to show strong disapproval numbers for the Idiot as well, and Biden's numbers in those states are promising.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

14. Quinnipiac has him -1 so well within the margin of error.

[onetexan]

15. i totally agree - if the Dems candidate can win Tx, it's a done deal

[Laura PourMeADrink]

17. Yes...yet M45 has already spent millions on Facebook

ads here in TX. Smears via FB worked like a charm for Cruz

[Sugarcoated]

48. I'm math challenged...

What does net approval by 3 pts mean? IOW, what is his approval rating?

[onetexan]

55. In iowa the interactive map show a -12 net approval for the Idiot

Im no statistician but i googled it & definition says its the percentage of voters who approves the candidate's job performance. So a negative net approval is a DISAPPROVAL, which is good, at least for now. U can click on each state on the map to see what the net approval is.

[Laura PourMeADrink]

16. Yeah!!! We need Texas as a safeguard when they

Rig MI WI and or PA

[patphil]

18. It's too early to count chickens, but

38 electoral votes would be a really big boost to the Democrats chances in 2020.

[Scurrilous]

19. ...

[Rstrstx]

20. One surprise from the poll, Warren leads among very liberal D voters in the primary

At 27% she has a 9 point lead over Biden and a 10 point lead (!) over Sanders. Biden runs away with all other groups. She also is in 2nd place in a general matchup against Trump.

Sanders does best among Democratic leaning voters rather than self-identified Democrats.

Trump can't crack 50% when pitted against ANY of the Dems listed in the matchups.

A third of white voters favor Biden, which is the kind of numbers we need to see in the state for a Dem to have a chance. It was about that with O'Rourke in 2018, but the high turnout among voters 65+ more than offset the vastly increased number of young voters. Traditionally only about a quarter of white voters have supported Dems, including Hillary. Other Dem candidates are getting closer to 30% of the white vote, enough to make the race close but probably not enough to win.

Voters under 50 break for Dems, especially those under 35 who look to be about D +20 in general (though they're +25 for Sanders and +29 for Biden). This is good news for the future.

John Cornyn also appears he might be vulnerable, he has a net +11 approval rating but it's still only 44% (lower than Cruz's 50%); nearly a quarter of voters don't know enough about him. I'd say it's time to start carpet bombing him. Most people want to see Beto drop out of the presidential race and run against Cornyn. Personally I think Hegar is a good candidate and contrasts well against the aging Senator.

Trump has a 39% approval rating among Hispanics. I think I've heard a similar number tossed around from Florida and maybe even nationally. Some things never cease to amaze.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

25. It's amazing how much more anti-Trump African American

It's amazing how much more anti-Trump African Americans are than Hispanics when it's the latter group which really has felt his wrath. You can't buy that kind of loyalty,

[Cha]

31. Our most smartest Loyal Base..

Into reality and do Not take shite.

[crazytown]

34. And deserving of respect

AA voter’s are not too receptive to being told that racism is ‘a disparity with the disparity’. BS should know better, but maybe he does.

[Turin_C3PO]

32. I don't get it.

I live in a town that’s 50% Hispanic (mostly Mexican-American) and so many, maybe up to half, seem to love Trump! It’s craziness.

[Thekaspervote]

54. According to my daughter, long time Phoenix res. The Hispanics feel like they have the most to

Loose from a larger Hispanic community. The attitude being, I have mine so the rest be damned. That is just sooooo wrong

[CCExile]

21. Political purity be damned! Truck Fump!!!

[BigDemVoter]

22. I have my very strong preferences.

But I will 100000% vote for THE Democratic candidate (WHOEVER gets the nomination) over that pussy grabbing BLOB we have now.

[JI7]

24. Beto can also

[Sugarcoated]

49. Just imagine if Biden choses him as his running mate

[Kurt V.]

26. i love it.

[NoMoreRepugs]

27. The Mexican tariff gambit might change tRumpys poll

#'s amongst Hispanic voters.

[SergeStorms]

33. Let's all remember...

the Iowa caucuses aren't until February of next year. Boasting about your chosen candidate, leading in a single poll this far out, is ludicrous. So much can happen between now and then that it's an exercise in futility. That's just my two cents.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

37. 'Let's all remember' the seminal poster wasn't boasting

"I'm not saying one poll is dispositive but the fact Biden is beating Trump in a state Hillary Clinton lost by nine points counts for something..."

[SergeStorms]

42. "Biden is the ONLY democrat winning Texas".

Sounds like a boast to me, but your mileage may vary. Sorry to have upset you so deeply.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

51. Serge

Serge, did or did not the poll the original poster cited indicate Biden is the only Democrat winning Texas?


"."


If the original poster said Aaron Boone is the manager of the Yankees would he be boasting?



"."


Because. Facts.


Have a nice day.

-DSB

[BannonsLiver]

46. The news any Dem is doing this well should be welcomed by Democrats.

No need to get your hackles up over it. It’s good news.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

52. This poll seems to upset the poster

A Dem doing well in Texas is a good thing, yes?

[BannonsLiver]

57. Yes. Any Dem. I'm not seeing the reason for their anger.

[Gothmog]

35. Analysis: The election-defining Biden-can-win narrative just got a big boost

Link to tweet

In February, we looked at Gallup’s approval rating polling for 2018, picking out an interesting detail. Of all of the states that Trump won in 2016, nowhere was he viewed less favorably than in Texas. His approval in the state was 39 percent over the course of the year, the sort of number that doesn’t slot easily into sentences like “Trump coasted to victory given his ___ percent approval rating in the state.” Perhaps something more like: “Trump’s ___ percent approval rating in the state was just too much to overcome.”

I mean, it’s not as though 2016 and 2018 were blowouts in the state, either. Clinton lost by nine points, though that was closer than the margin in Iowa, which in 2012 voted for Barack Obama. It was the closest the state had been since 1976, excluding 1992 and 1996 when Texan Ross Perot played spoiler. Last year, O’Rourke lost by less than three points.

Then there’s this new poll of Texans by Quinnipiac University. It has Trump struggling against a number of the Democrats running for the party’s 2020 nomination. He’s up only four points on Sen. Kamala D. Harris (D-Calif.) — and that’s the race in which he’s doing the best. Despite his relative success last year, O’Rourke loses to Trump by three points. Against Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), Trump’s only up one.

Against former vice president Joe Biden? Trump is losing by four points.

[LakeArenal]

38. Joe Biden 2020

[onetexan]

56. k&r

Go Joe & Jill!! We need them to restore the country back to normal

[qazplm135]

41. no dem is winning Texas

this is a bit of fool's gold.

[JI7]

43. wrong, Beto came within 2 points with Cruz. and Trump is even less popular than Cruz is

turnout is very important though. the problem with texas has always been those who are likely to vote democratic just not being politically active and tuned out of state politics.

but Beto started to change this last year. it will take a lot of hard work. but there may be more potential there than florida and ohio .

[qazplm135]

60. apples to oranges

again, it's fool's gold.

[BannonsLiver]

45. That's not really the takeaway here

The takeaway is the same as it is from the recent NC poll that shows Trump trailing several Dems there. Same for Michigan and Wisconsin which are two more where he is underperforming relative to 2016. The takeaway is these are warning signs for Donnie.
Also, at this point Texas is probably going to be close enough in 2020 that the GOP will be forced to devote resources there for the first time in recent memory. That is a win for whoever is the nominee. The more territory Trump is forced to defend the better.

[Cha]

47. Thank You!

[qazplm135]

59. there are no real signs right now

we don't know who are nominee is, what the economy is going to be like, are we going to be at war, what fresh hell, etc.

that's why there is a whole long process. Folks want to jump ahead of that process.

[BannonsLiver]

61. Sigh...way to miss the point.

New to politics?

[qazplm135]

62. sigh...no not new to politics

which is why I don't start thinking about what states we are going to win before we have a candidate or a single primary debate for that matter.

[Laura PourMeADrink]

58. The kicker to me is that he also plays well in the

MI WI PA piece we need too.

[highplainsdem]

63. K&R! CNN tweet about this, with video:

Link to tweet

[Gothmog]

64. Texas is a battleground state

Link to tweet

[Cha]

65. ..

[Gothmog]

66. This makes me smile

Link to tweet

[Cha]

67. I bet it does.. Thank You!