The math is against Bill de Blasio 2020

[brooklynite]

Harry Enten

New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio is running for Democratic nomination for president. You're going to hear a lot of doubting takes from the press on de Blasio. And maybe, just maybe, de Blasio will prove all of us wrong. (He has before.)

But unlike my skepticism of the press's position on South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg, I think there are a lot of reasons to think the press is right here. De Blasio is most likely on a road to nowhere.

Start off with de Blasio's hometown Democrats in New York City. Yes, more Democrats approve (53%) of his job as mayor than disapprove (34%) in a recent Quinnipiac University poll. Remember, though, that we're talking about Democrats in a liberal city here. The fact that 34% disapprove of him is a major warning sign.

Indeed, they don't think much of his presidential ambitions. Just 21% of New York City Democrats wanted him to run for president. The vast majority, 73%, did not. If the Democrats who know him best are this unsupportive of his bid, it doesn't speak well to de Blasio's potential appeal when voters in other places don't know him.

[thesquanderer]

1. Massachusetts voters know Warren best and most didn't want her to run, either

But at least Warren had a national presence and a lot of other supporters, De Blasio does not.