How each Republican fares against Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders, in 1 cool chart

[n2doc]

By Philip Bump
November 10 at 3:09 PM

I'm generally pretty skeptical of any polling this far out from an election. I am, however, very skeptical of the value of general election head-to-head match-ups this far out. 538's Harry Enten has a good articulation of why, in case it's not self-evident, but consider the situation. We're asking people who they'd pick before each party has settled on its candidate -- meaning while there's still internal partisan tension -- before any campaigning and before a year's worth of economic shifts happen.

There is some value though in one subset of head-to-head data, I think: Looking at how demographic groups view different candidates relative to one another.

On Tuesday, McClatchy and Marist released a new poll looking at the Republican field. Included in the results were a phalanx of head-to-head match-ups, pitting Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders against six different Republicans: Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Marco Rubio and Donald Trump.

Carson does better against the Democrats than the other five but, you know, 364 days until the election.

Here are all of the juxtapositions. Notice what jumps out.

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https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2015/11/10/how-each-republican-fares-against-hillary-clinton-and-bernie-sanders-in-1-cool-chart/?tid=sm_fb

[Hiraeth]

1. Finally, demographic breakdown. K&R

[winter is coming]

2. It will be interesting to see what this looks like in a week or two, since Carson

is starting to implode.

[YOHABLO]

3. Is anyone else finding this chart confusing? I don't want to work at this hard .. sorry.

Problem is, I don't really need this chart to already know the outcomes. It's a no-brainer.