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Ed Suspicious

(8,879 posts)
Sun Nov 8, 2015, 03:19 AM Nov 2015

"Bernie Sanders Wins WIU’s Historically Accurate Mock Election"


"The Road to the White House starts at Western Illinois University

WIU recently held their traditional mock election. It is an incredibly intricate and organized event starting with primary and caucuses and finishing up with a mock general election.

Dr. Rick Hardy and Dr. John Hemingway have been leading Mock Presidential Elections since 1975. During that time, students who have participated in these mock elections have chosen the winning party with 100% accuracy and have an astonishing record in selecting presidential winners.

On the Democratic side for the Primaries Sanders won by close to a 2 to 1 margin over challenger Hillary Clinton. Martin O’Malley finished the primary with about 1/18 of Bernie’s take of the delegates."







http://thebernreport.com/bernie-sanders-wins-wius-accurate-mock-election/
17 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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"Bernie Sanders Wins WIU’s Historically Accurate Mock Election" (Original Post) Ed Suspicious Nov 2015 OP
Interesting. JDPriestly Nov 2015 #1
Go Bernie ! Dandilions Nov 2015 #2
Thanks for posting this, I hope they're acurate this time around too That Guy 888 Nov 2015 #3
Great news! Thanks for this. senz Nov 2015 #4
Bern Baby Bern... cui bono Nov 2015 #5
Feel De Bern!!!!!! Fuddnik Nov 2015 #6
What isn't, these days? Scootaloo Nov 2015 #7
Why, Reality Itself, with its well-known liberal bias... Demeter Nov 2015 #10
Home of the fighting leathernecks Fairgo Nov 2015 #8
It shows him landsliding over Clinton in the primary dreamnightwind Nov 2015 #9
Of course it's possible--because it's necessary! Demeter Nov 2015 #11
I don’t think any of US are surprised, are we? dorkzilla Nov 2015 #12
Mock student elections have history of being accurate Robbins Nov 2015 #13
Swing states, Independent voters Babel_17 Nov 2015 #14
but but it's not scientificcCC!! retrowire Nov 2015 #15
I like this! K&R! Enthusiast Nov 2015 #16
I'd feel better about 'historically accurate' if it hadn't been held only two times previously. PoliticalMalcontent Nov 2015 #17
 

That Guy 888

(1,214 posts)
3. Thanks for posting this, I hope they're acurate this time around too
Sun Nov 8, 2015, 03:42 AM
Nov 2015

Texas is still red, usually the rural votes go red, but the cities go blue. It's funny seeing some of our local broadcasters trying to control their anger when San Antonio goes blue.

 

senz

(11,945 posts)
4. Great news! Thanks for this.
Sun Nov 8, 2015, 04:05 AM
Nov 2015

I hope people who use social media will help spread the word in case the MSM conveniently ignores it.

 

Demeter

(85,373 posts)
10. Why, Reality Itself, with its well-known liberal bias...
Sun Nov 8, 2015, 06:22 AM
Nov 2015

I think I will be posting in elliptical form until after the election, given the bloodlust that rages through this website.

Fairgo

(1,571 posts)
8. Home of the fighting leathernecks
Sun Nov 8, 2015, 05:55 AM
Nov 2015

I stumbled around married students housing on the WIU campus as a toddler. It's a small small world.

dreamnightwind

(4,775 posts)
9. It shows him landsliding over Clinton in the primary
Sun Nov 8, 2015, 06:11 AM
Nov 2015

Last edited Sun Nov 8, 2015, 06:46 AM - Edit history (1)

Seems unlikely to me, but a welcome and hopeful prediction. If we work hard enough for Bernie, maybe it's possible!

dorkzilla

(5,141 posts)
12. I don’t think any of US are surprised, are we?
Sun Nov 8, 2015, 09:58 AM
Nov 2015

But I bet some heads are exploding elsewhere...maybe right on this very website.

Robbins

(5,066 posts)
13. Mock student elections have history of being accurate
Sun Nov 8, 2015, 10:12 AM
Nov 2015

it gives you idea generly what kids are hearing from their parents that doesn't show up In polls.

Maybe Bush Is actully doing better than polls suggest.

as for actual states this seems kind of unusual.

for starters bernie winning Col and NM but losing nevada.Although it would be great if bernie would beat Bush In florida.Remember
all the times republicans said after 2000 but gore lose his home state.of course romney later lost his birthstate and adopted state he was governor in.and 2 others he had homes in.

Bernie losing to Bush Iowa,Illinois,maryland,and hawaii but winning states that haven't gone dem for decades seems strange.

If 2016 election ended like this it would be huge shock to republicans.Bush only winning Texas,La,and Al from the south.The plain states breaking for Bernie would be great to see meltdown of MSM not just fox.

I think this is better model for nation as whole than indivual states.although who would have thought a black dem would have won
2 southern states in both 2008 and 2012 and won a third one in 2008 and would win Indiana In 2008 so bernie could perveil places people now are laughing at him winning.

If final results are like this we will have a democratic senate with president Sanders In 2017 and dems will probally pick up seats In house.

Babel_17

(5,400 posts)
14. Swing states, Independent voters
Sun Nov 8, 2015, 10:28 AM
Nov 2015

It's amazing how many Independent voters there are, and how many registered Republicans and Democrats are willing to switch sides. I shouldn't be amazed, as I've lived through Ronald Reagan grabbing those voters by the train load, and then Bill Clinton later doing it with the Independent voters in 1996. (Ross Perot was like a vacuum cleaner with all those voters, for a while)

But getting barraged by the media with their overly simplistic narrative of what they project to happen has taken its toll on me, I guess. lol

A big story that gets under reported is how Secretary Clinton is faring with Independents and registered Republicans who don't always vote the party line. And that story dovetails with the polling numbers regarding how honest she is seen as being by them.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=2299 *

The story is about voters that will have to be swayed by our party, and who live in states where we have a shot, but where we'll have to fight extremely hard to win.

*Clinton has the lowest rating for honesty as American voters say 60 - 36 percent she is not honest and trustworthy. Trump is not honest and trustworthy, voters say 58 - 38 percent.


Secretary Clinton's advantage is that she came into the primary season with huge name recognition, lots of money, the support of the establishment, and a very credible resume. That's great for sweeping the primaries, but the cold equations for winning the voting in the electoral college are another matter.

Winning enough votes in the electoral college has little to do with having had the endorsements of mayors and congresspeople from states we always easily win. And sadly, that also applies to states we always lose. They're important for the primaries, but winning in November 2016 will mean winning over the key voters in that huge block of those who are greatly disaffected of our political, social, and economic, system.

We have to look at the path forward through this terrain, and who will head our ticket as we campaign to win in the general elections.
17. I'd feel better about 'historically accurate' if it hadn't been held only two times previously.
Sun Nov 8, 2015, 04:35 PM
Nov 2015

I'm glad to see he enthusiasm is there, but the sample size is pretty small.

Hope they're right!

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