My Critique of Nate Silver's Critique of Exit Polls
This is a cross-post from an OP I recently posted in GD-Primaries -- my first cross-post in many years. The reason I am cross-posting it here is that I feel that this issue needs much more attention than it is getting.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/12511992709
I believe that most of us in this group believe that Bernie is losing the Democratic primaries and very likely will lose them due to the tremendous barriers that he has faced, including election fraud.
Exit polls can and should be used to monitor our elections, which are highly susceptible to fraud when electronic voting machines are used. I have posted OPs that included this subject several times in GD-P, and each time I do I get flack from Hillary supporters telling me that exit polls are useless, and frequently they throw the above noted critique by Nate Silver in my face to prove their point.
Exit polls are not useless at all. Nate's critique of them is a bunch of crap, and in the OP above I rebut each one of his 10 stupid reasons for why we should ignore exit polls. The reasons he gives for ignoring exit polls are so stupid that a man of his intelligence couldn't possibly believe them -- as I hope I make clear in the OP.
The dismissal of the use of exit polls in our country needs to be changed. In these primaries, Bernie's official vote count so consistently fails to meet exit poll expectations (usually by very large amounts) that, on that basis alone, even if we didn't have a good deal of other evidence for election fraud, the exit poll discrepancies should serve as a glaring red flag, requiring extensive investigation.
I realize that I'm running an uphill battle in trying to get more attention for this issue and trying to change minds. But if you read my OP above and agree with it, please respond to it (and/or this OP), so as to give this issue, which I feel is so critically important to our democracy, more attention.
Thank you.
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