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DLnyc

(2,479 posts)
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 12:52 AM Apr 2016

Trying to get an accurate delegate count, as per Green Papers

Last edited Wed Apr 27, 2016, 09:13 AM - Edit history (1)

I don't think it's as big as the MSM is making it out. For instance, the delegate numbers at the Times and at RCP seem very skewed. In case anyone is interested, I will summarize:

More reliable numbers, IMHO, come from Green Papers:

PA: Bernie 60, Hillary 67 (so far, CD's with 62 more still to be decided)
CT: Bernie 27, Hillary 28
MD: Bernie 34, Hillary 61
DE: Bernie 9, Hillary 12
RI: Bernie 13, Hillary 11
---------------------------
Total Bernie 143, Hillary 179

So Hillary increased her lead by about 46 so far tonight.

GP has it now Bernie 1317 pledged and Hillary 1599 pledged, with 1135 yet to be chosen. I'm not sure how much of tonight's results are in that count.

Just thought I'd put this here, for the sake of accuracy. I'm actually going to bed. Good night all!

(on edit: see update further down #4)

8 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Trying to get an accurate delegate count, as per Green Papers (Original Post) DLnyc Apr 2016 OP
been going by NYT site not their stupid opinion PatrynXX Apr 2016 #1
Thank you for doing some math. snot Apr 2016 #2
The Green Papers is the only source I trust. TM99 Apr 2016 #3
Updating at 9:04 EST Wed 4/27: DLnyc Apr 2016 #4
K & R lmbradford Apr 2016 #5
Updating yet again Wednesday 4/27 11:50 EST DLnyc Apr 2016 #6
thank you! hopemountain Apr 2016 #7
You are most welcome! DLnyc Apr 2016 #8

PatrynXX

(5,668 posts)
1. been going by NYT site not their stupid opinion
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 01:00 AM
Apr 2016

Guardian usually has silly animated characters...

another link to keep in mind I also compare it with the older NYT link for 2008

http://politics.nytimes.com/election-guide/2008/results/states/MO.html which I just change MO to PA, CT RI etc like okay it sorta sucked but it's really striking how little Democrats showed up in PA. nearly only a 50,000 vote difference between Republicans and Democrats in total votes while in 2008 while Hillary ran both Hillary and Obama got over a million votes. It'll be lucky if Hillary gets near that. right now it's 800,00 vs 600,000 (not actual but in those rates. ) think PA turned Purple. if Trump is in that state might be in play. Many states I've noticed might be in Play if Trump gets it. Not all of them but many. an = vs an = gets heads and tails coin tosses.

 

TM99

(8,352 posts)
3. The Green Papers is the only source I trust.
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 01:51 AM
Apr 2016

They are unbiased, are slow to add to the delegate count until all is truly in, and are clear in separating out pledged from unpledged delegates.

Currently as of 11pm PST, Sanders has 1346 and Clinton has 1651 with a 305 pledged delegate difference between them.

So yes, yet again, her victories while real are still not as delegate rich as she needs. 1243 delegates are still to be decided. If Sanders gets even half of them in NJ and CA, she still does not have (with the SD's included) the 2383 that is required to secure the nomination.

DLnyc

(2,479 posts)
4. Updating at 9:04 EST Wed 4/27:
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 09:11 AM
Apr 2016

PA: Bernie 83, Hillary 106 (complete now)
CT: Bernie 27, Hillary 28
MD: Bernie 34, Hillary 61
DE: Bernie 9, Hillary 12
RI: Bernie 13, Hillary 11
---------------------------
Total Bernie 166, Hillary 218

So Hillary increased her lead by about 52 tonight.

GP has it now Bernie 1346 pledged and Hillary 1651 pledged, with 1054 yet to be chosen. Presumably, that includes all of last night's results.

DLnyc

(2,479 posts)
6. Updating yet again Wednesday 4/27 11:50 EST
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 11:52 PM
Apr 2016

States are still the same a GP, but new totals are:

Bernie 1,371 pledged and Hillary 1,664 pledged, with 1016 yet to be chosen.

(Bernie 25 more than last (#4) and Hillary 13 more)

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