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Rosa Luxemburg

(28,627 posts)
Sat Apr 23, 2016, 04:38 PM Apr 2016

Why the Clinton-Sanders race isn't over yet

After a great victory for Hillary Clinton in the Empire State on Tuesday, her presidential campaign is outwardly clinging to the comforting talk of math and how impossible it is for Bernie Sanders to capture the Democratic nomination.

But inside the Clinton campaign, everyone knows that just because Sanders no longer has a path doesn’t mean their candidate no longer has a problem.

Not only is Sanders now nearly tied with Clinton in national polling, having wiped out what last fall was more than a 30-point lead, the former secretary of State’s favorability has fallen with most groups and frankly is awful.
Clinton’s favorability with white voters is worse than President Obama’s ever was, and her favorability with African-American voters is at its lowest ever, according to Bill McInturff, the GOP pollster who conducted the latest NBC/Wall Street Journal poll with Democratic pollster Peter Hart. Thanks to Donald Trump, who is more toxic and remains the focus of most election coverage, Clinton’s email scandal and electoral vulnerabilities continue to be obscured. McInturff told The Washington Post: “Her terrible numbers for months have been masked because we have the one candidate in modern history who has worse numbers ... her numbers have gone from terrible to historic to disqualifying.”

Clinton’s problem with Democrats could become worse as she gets closer to the nomination, depending on Sanders, who has promised to campaign all the way to the convention in Philadelphia at the end of July. While the Vermont Independent has refused to go after Clinton’s greatest liability — her use of a private server at State is under investigation by the FBI — he has recently openly questioned her judgment and continues to assail the enormous speaking fees she accepted from Wall Street interests.

On Monday the Sanders campaign questioned “serious apparent violations” of campaign finance laws by the Hillary Victory Fund, a joint fundraising effort between the Clinton
campaign, the Democratic National Committee and 32 state parties. The fund, which raised $33 million from January through the end of March, attracted $5 million in donations from 14 wealthy donors alone. More money has been funneled to the Clinton campaign than to the DNC or the state parties. Brad Deutsch, attorney for the Sanders campaign, in a letter to the DNC cited “extremely large-dollar individual contributions” to the Hillary Victory Fund that funded direct mail efforts and online advertising, spending that helps Clinton’s campaign “by generating low-dollar contributions that flow only to [Hillary for America] rather than to the DNC or any of the participating state party committees.”

http://thehill.com/opinion/ab-stoddard/277070-ab-stoddard-why-the-clinton-sanders-race-isnt-over-yet

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Why the Clinton-Sanders race isn't over yet (Original Post) Rosa Luxemburg Apr 2016 OP
What it comes down to is this: Bernie needs to look like a better bet than Hillary. winter is coming Apr 2016 #1
Yes let's do it! Rosa Luxemburg Apr 2016 #3
That last quote doesn't read well. AnotherDreamWeaver Apr 2016 #2
“by generating low-dollar contributions that flow only to [Hillary for America] rather than" k8conant Apr 2016 #4
Thanks, n/t AnotherDreamWeaver Apr 2016 #6
thiis graph just says it all Baobab Apr 2016 #5
Interesting - there is a similar piece written by Lynn Sweet in the Chicago Sun Times. jillan Apr 2016 #7

winter is coming

(11,785 posts)
1. What it comes down to is this: Bernie needs to look like a better bet than Hillary.
Sat Apr 23, 2016, 05:46 PM
Apr 2016

The most obvious metric would be "most pledged delegates", but if the candidate with the most delegates has other problems--sagging polling numbers, weak fundraising--the superdelegates might consider that to be more important. And that doesn't even touch on the whole FBI mess.

We've got three months to help Bernie show himself to be the better bet. Let's do it!

AnotherDreamWeaver

(2,850 posts)
2. That last quote doesn't read well.
Sat Apr 23, 2016, 05:46 PM
Apr 2016

“by generating low-dollar contributions that flow only to (?) rather than to the DNC or any of the participating state party committees.”

So just where did the money flow?

k8conant

(3,030 posts)
4. “by generating low-dollar contributions that flow only to [Hillary for America] rather than"
Sat Apr 23, 2016, 06:13 PM
Apr 2016

from the website

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