Bernie will win big in California. In June. 781 delegates. Watch here:

[Mira]

[onecaliberal]

1. I think he's going to win here too!

[retrowire]

2. wait california has 781delegates???? nt

[winter is coming]

3. I thought it had 500-something. n/t

[jeff47]

5. 475 (nt)

[JDPriestly]

18. 546 -- http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/CA-D

Bernie is very, very popular in California, and we have not yet started to campaign here. Not really.

Bernie is going to win big in California.

[jeff47]

19. You're counting superdelegates. I'm only counting pledged delegates. (nt)

[JDPriestly]

15. 546 ==http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/CA-D

[Mira]

7. No, 475 I think

it's 781 in other states at issue in June. Must listen again. i got excited and hurried to post this so we all have this info.

[JDPriestly]

16. California has 546 delegates according to this.

http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/CA-D

[JDPriestly]

14. California has 546 delegates.

http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/CA-D

Superdelegates are pledged but can change their minds and probably will if Bernie wins big.

The DNC is not going to go against the democratic vote of grass-roots Democrats. That would be stupid. Offensive.

Hillary will win delegates on Super Tuesday. But Bernie can win California, and win it big.

[jeff47]

20. Superdelegates are not "pledged".

Pledged delegates are required to vote for a particular candidate in the first convention votes. Superdelegates are not. You should not conflate the two.

[jeff47]

4. CA has 475 pledged delegates.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Democratic_Party_presidential_primaries,_2016

(Scroll down to "Schedule and results of primaries and caucuses&quot

[retrowire]

6. holy shit nt

[jeff47]

9. For scale, that is about half the number of delegates that are "up for grabs" on Tuesday.

The formula used by the DNC to allocate delegates is based on past general election votes. A lot of the states on Tuesday have reliably voted Republican, so they get far fewer delegates-per-person.

[JDPriestly]

17. California gets 546 delegates.

http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/CA-D

There are only 865 delegates at stake for Democrats on Super Tuesday.

https://www.romper.com/p/how-many-delegates-are-at-stake-on-super-tuesday-its-definitely-a-major-moment-in-the-2016-campaign-6335

Bernie will win big in California. Plus he will win a few delegates on Super Tuesday.

Super Tuesday is not that big a deal. It's got several Southern states that will not vote for Hillary or any other Democrat in November.

[jeff47]

21. You're adding in superdelegates. You shouldn't do that, since they won't be decided by the primary.

Superdelegates will mostly vote for the candidate with the most pledged delegates. Because that's the only defensible position that keeps those superdelegates in their elected position.

[jalan48]

8. I agree

Probably Oregon too. Don't listen to the media. They want to make it seem like it's over now. Hillary will do well in conservative states with conservative Democrats like herself. Once the more liberal states start their primaries it's time for Bernie to come from the back of the race and over take her.

[NV Whino]

10. You betcha!

[INdemo]

11. Bernie Sanders will win the Democratic Primary in the Red State

of Indiana. Obama won the state in 2008 in the primary and the National

Hillary not like very well here

92 Delegates....

[Duckfan]

12. But the Central Valley and Orange County will likely go the other way

I agree he'll win Calif. but from living in Sacramento for a few years, you kinda learn the demographics of the state.

He should win big in Bay Area and L.A. Humbolt County for sure.

But if Bernie is able to get a big chunk of the Latino vote in Fresno, Bakersfield, and Modesto, it will really show some strength.

Better yet, it would be YUUUUGGGGGEE.

[JDPriestly]

13. Very true.

Super Tuesday should not get us down. It's mostly very conservative states. Lots of Southern states that never vote Democratic anyway in presidential contests.

Let's make California into Bernie country.

California = Bernie country.

I understand there was a march in Pasadena Saturday. Let's do marches every week.