New Poll Shows Sanders Ahead of Clinton by Widest Margin Yet

[LongTomH]

Cross-post from GD-P: OK, Bernie will probably lose South Carolina; but, I wouldn't order the cake for the coronation yet! The latest Reuters/Ipso poll shows Bernie ahead nationally by six points:

The survey, released Tuesday, shows Sanders polling at 41.7 percent among 998 likely Democratic voters, while Clinton got 35.5 percent.

As Salon points out, Reuters' daily tracking feature "illustrates that Sanders has led Clinton nationally for a majority of days in February."

The figures come just ahead of the Democratic primary in South Carolina on February 27, where Sanders is still trailing the former secretary of state. According to Bloomberg, the senator has 200 paid staffers on the ground in South Carolina, making it his biggest state operation thus far.

As Salon's deputy politics editor Sophia Tesfaye writes:

Although the next Democratic showdown does not look promising for the Sanders campaign, the Vermont senator looks to blunt any sense of momentum Clinton may have after a win in both Nevada and South Carolina by picking off crucial Super Tuesday states. Sanders has been steadily gaining ground in Georgia and Texas, which award approximately 20 percent of total delegates between the two of them.

[Erich Bloodaxe BSN]

1. I don't think we're there yet.

Here's the Reuters poll listed in the HuffPo rolling averages.

Ipsos/Reuters 2/20 - 2/24 546 RV 49 Clinton 44 Sanders - - - - - 7 Undecided

Even that would be a great result this early on. A 5 point gap with his rolling average trendline hits parity by mid-March.

[yourpaljoey]

2. Roh Roh

I am buying a lot of Roh Roh stock so I do not run out.
As Bernie pulls ahead it is only appropriate.

[appalachiablue]

3. Very good...thanks.

[Mbrow]

4. k&R

[Mufaddal]

5. The issue with that poll is the inclusion of independents

From what I remember reading when it came out a day or two ago. Once you take them out (which Reuters allows you to do), Bernie is multiple points behind, and it starts to look like every other poll. There was a whole thing about it on the Bernie subreddit.

[eridani]

9. Given that independents are 40% of voters and Dems 30%--

--who do we need most in the general election.

[Mufaddal]

10. Here was the problem

"If you just include Likely Democratic Primary Voters it is: Hillary: 51% - Bernie: 44%."

https://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache Kkz_GL10VcJ:https://www.reddit.com/r/SandersForPresident/comments/47anr2/reuters_national_polling_sanders_473_clinton_439/+&cd=1&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=us

[BernieforPres2016]

6. Doesn't quite square with the polls posted incessantly on the GD-P board

That usually have Hillary up something like 79-21 in the typical state.

Does the Clinton machine have blast emails going out daily with all of these polls that are being cited, and if so, could it possibly be with the intent of discouraging Sanders voters from bothering to go to the polls?

The numbers in a national poll like this simply don't square with these state polls that I'm seeing posted by Hillary people.

[Milliesmom]

8. I hope

All the young people come out to vote before they leave on Spring break.

[Milliesmom]

7. Bernie stated

He expects to lose in SC, he would like to see it under 20% or better yet 15 %,, that gives him a respectful amount of delegates.