reposting from GD-P nevada poll Bernie 49% CLinton 47% Undecered 4%

[Robbins]

http://overtimepolitics.com/sanders-leads-clinton-by-2-points-the-day-before-the-nevada-democratic-caucus/

[CoffeeCat]

1. They were the closest in predicting the Iowa Caucus results

"It looks pretty straightforward from here. They showed the race in a virtual tie and that’s exactly what ended up happening. Selzer was way off, CNN was way off, all but one or two polls released the day of the caucus was way off, Overtime Politics was the closest. Yes, they get a lot of hate, but I’ve been following them and it looks like they are improving.

Here is what they predicted for the Democratic delegates:

Clinton 23/Sanders 21: overtimepolitics.com/…

Just so happened to be 100% on the money."


http://www.dailykos.com/story/2016/2/4/1480101/-The-closest-Democratic-pollster-in-Iowa-Overtime-Politics

[Robbins]

2. I agree

they were among the best of the iowa pollsters.most underestimated bernie.they and quinnipiac were best on iowa.

part of this narrow bernie lead is because they have clinton down to 1 point lead among women.Bernie is winning as usual 18 to 45
year olds.

it shows bernie making inroads with non-whites.he exactly is leading asians in nevada.he is up to 39% of hispanics.and he has 33%
of native americans and 29% of blacks.hardly getting none of non-white vote they tried to sell people on.

If Bernie pulls off a win in nevada it will be huge.

[CoffeeCat]

3. Many people don't know this, but Bernie did very well with Hispanics in Iowa

The caucus turnout for Hispanics in Iowa increased by 300 percent from 2008 (and 2008 had record attendance).

Also, the precincts with the highest Latino populations broke for Bernie--63 percent went to him.

One of our local LULAC leaders told me that Latinos helps Bernie to secure that tie.

[Robbins]

4. yeah i heard that

he exactly does very well with hispanics.a very underreportered story.the non-white vote in NH broke 52 for her and 48 for bernie and hispanic vote broke for him In iowa.

if bernie were to get 40% of hispanic vote in nevada that would be huge.even better if he could get close to how he did with non-whites in iowa and NH.