PPP--Wisconsin: Obama (+1) Baldwin (+3) likely voters--improvement for both since last poll

[WI_DEM]

Wisconsin is a Dead Heat
A new Public Policy Polling survey in Wisconsin shows President Obama barely edging Mitt Romney among likely voters, 49% to 48%.

In the U.S. Senate race, Tammy Baldwin (D) now leads Tommy Thompson (R), 48% to 45%.

http://politicalwire.com/archives/2012/09/17/wisconsin_is_a_dead_heat.html


partisan breakdown of poll is: 36% GOP/ 32% Dem/ 32% indie

So people can compare it to previous PPP poll of Wisconsin this means that Obama has gained two-points going from one-point behind and Baldwin has gained 8-points, going from 5-points behind to a 3-point lead.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/wisconsin/

Wisconsin is reverting back to it's traditional swing state status after 2008. Remember Gore and Kerry heavily contested it here and won narrowly. It's going to come down to GOTV for both the presidential and senate races.

[HereSince1628]

1. Good for Tammy, I didn't expect that.

[WI_DEM]

3. if true, very good news, indeed not only for Tammy but for Dems maintaining a majority

in the Senate.

[Jeff In Milwaukee]

4. Tammy and supporters have been hammering Thompson...

As an out of touch, influence peddler.

They have a clip of Tommy saying words to the effect of "We went hoping to change Washington, but Washington changed us."

Priceless.

[HereSince1628]

6. Yes, DC has changed him into a 13x millionaire. NOW!!!!! he gets DC politics

[speedoo]

2. This is good news. Obama is 2 points better than their last poll, a month ago.

Pretty much mirroring the national trend over the last month toward Obama.

And of course that is great news in the senate race.

[bigdarryl]

5. Obama was leading 7 points during the recall effort WTF happened between then and now

[HereSince1628]

7. Noise happened.

[WI_DEM]

8. Well, Ryan was added to the ticket and he is a native Wisconsinite

who happens to be, despite everything, pretty popular in the state.

Obama is not going to lead every poll by large margins. The fact that he is leading here despite Ryan and that Tammy is gaining ground is good news.

BTW, it has been apparent for some time that the polling had gotten tighter since the recall when Obama decided to begin advertising here and began to schedule campaign visits (2 by Biden so far). So that's a clue, actually.

[woolldog]

9. Wow that's not good. nt

[WI_DEM]

11. really? previous poll had Romney leading 48-47

so Obama gained two-points in Ryan's homestate and Baldwin down by five--now she is leading by three.

That's not good news?


http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/wisconsin/

[woolldog]

13. Well I never considred losing WI

to be a realistic possibility. Now I have to admit that it is. That makes losing a stronger possibility.

[GusFring]

14. well this is depressing Thanx.

[woolldog]

19. The key on election night will be Florida.

If Obama wins that early, you can safely head out early to the bars to celebrate. Doesn't matter what happens with Wisconsin, VA, IA etc if he wins Florida.

[Grown2Hate]

15. I SERIOUSLY doubt that we lose CO, though, especially with the full legalization of

marijuana on the ballot (which leads by over 10 points, BTW). Your map would be something of a "red wave" circa 2010, and I really don't see that being the trend, honestly.

[cash__whatiwant]

18. If everyone who was voting for legalizing marijuana was voting for

Obama he would be up more. A lot of Republican voters are pro marijuana legalization, believe it or not...

[Jennicut]

16. That would assume Florida, CO, IA and VA are gone.

Obama is polling better in FL right now then Wisconsin, believe it or not. VA is polling even better the FL. Obama doesn't need Wisconsin, NC, or IN to beat Romney if Romney loses OH, FL and VA.

[woolldog]

17. The map isn't a prediction.

It's one plausible Romney win scenario.

CO, IA, and WI are pure tossups now. Florida and VA are leaning Obama. But that could change.

NV, NM, NH, OH, PA are very likely Obama.

[Dawgs]

10. Not great, but okay. Florida and Virginia look to be more in play at this moment.

Remember, he only needs one of the following - WI, FL, VA, IA, or CO. Romney needs all of them.

[WI_DEM]

12. Actually it's good on both Obama and Baldwin's front--both gained ground since last ppp poll.