2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumPPP: Obama +5 in VIRGINIA (51 - 46)
Last edited Sun Sep 16, 2012, 09:34 PM - Edit history (1)
https://twitter.com/ppppolls/status/247489047990263810
UPDATE:
PPP surveyed 1,021 likely Virginia voters from September 13th to 16th.
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_VA_91612.pdf
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/09/obama-up-5-in-virginia.html
Blue Yorker
(436 posts)VA is a bellweather
Lochloosa
(16,064 posts)And welcome to DU Blue Yorker!
TroyD
(4,551 posts)https://twitter.com/ppppolls
Obama has narrowly positive approval rating in VA- 50/48. Romney slightly under water on favorability- 47/49
Dems more excited to vote than GOP, women more than men, blacks more than whites, young voters more than seniors in VA
Virgil Goode's net favorability with VA Republicans has dropped 15 pts in last month- not happy about spoiler effect
Goode now gets just 1% in VA, same as Jill Stein. Gary Johnson gets 2%. Obama leads 49-45 when 3rd parties included
Romney up 51-45 with men, 57-40 with whites, 54-43 with seniors, and 47-45 with independents in Virginia
Obama up 56-42 with women, 91-7 with blacks, 63-30 with other non-whites, and 56-37 with young voters in VA
Obama also leads Romney 49-47 in Virginia on who voters trust more about the economy
Obama has 51-45 edge in VA on foreign policy. 41% approve of Romney's reaction to Libya, 48% disapprove
We have polled Virginia 9 times this cycle and Obama has been up by at least 4 points every time
https://twitter.com/ppppolls
bigdarryl
(13,190 posts)TroyD
(4,551 posts)It probably makes sense that many of the Independents are going to lean GOP.
But the fact that Romney is still doing well with many Independents shows the race is not over yet and cannot be taken for granted.
I think in order to pull over some of the remaining Independents to the Obama camp, Obama will need to beat Romney in the debates and close the deal with them. Some of those Independent folks can be stubborn and won't move unless they see Romney implode.
fujiyama
(15,185 posts)I could be wrong, but I thought I saw other polls in the last week or two with similar margins (and another MA poll also had Warren with a lead). Obama has been running pretty strong in VA for a while now...
Turn out obviously is key as well as making sure there is proper legal representation for challenging voter suppression efforts in states with republican dominated legislatures and state governments.
TroyD
(4,551 posts)helpisontheway
(5,008 posts)I have not noticed much support for Obama in the Williamsburg area. However, I have not noticed a lot of support overall. Perhaps people plan to vote but are not worried about yard signs and bumper stickers this time around? At any rate, we need to just keep it as close as we can down here. Then hopefully northern VA will have a heavy turnout for Obama. I hope that having President Obama on the ballot will help Tim Kaine.
Blue Yorker
(436 posts)Conducted Sept. 13-16.
Fresh as it can get.
TroyD
(4,551 posts)PPP surveyed 1,021 likely Virginia voters from September 13th to 16th.
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_VA_91612.pdf
DCBob
(24,689 posts)toast!
Drunken Irishman
(34,857 posts)ohheckyeah
(9,314 posts)this week. I live in VA.
Setsuna1972
(332 posts)Then again I do use an iPhone only, no landline
ohheckyeah
(9,314 posts)I love letting them know I"m voting for Obama. This is redneck country so it amuses me to annoy them.
TroyD
(4,551 posts)Or by Rasmussen?