2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumInteresting: List of open primary states
Last edited Sun Dec 27, 2015, 10:57 PM - Edit history (4)
Here is a list of open-primary states with the number of their electoral votes as a very rough gauge of their influence on the outcome (total 169 unless I made a mistake adding).
South Carolina would be the first one voting next year.
Alabama (9)
Arkansas (6)
Arizona (11)
Georgia (16)
Illinois (20)
Massachusetts (11) (All races' primaries open for "unenrolled"/unaffiliated voters only)
Michigan (16)
Mississippi (6)
Missouri (10)
North Carolina (15)
North Dakota (3)
South Carolina (9)
Tennessee (11)
Vermont (3)
Virginia (13)
Wisconsin (10)
Open, but not for presidential elections:
Hawaii (Open primary for state, local, and congressional races; caucus system for presidential races.)
EDIT: To add Illinois and correct total.
EDIT II: To note that Wikipedia sucks and point you to a more complete list that includes Ohio, Texas and Louisiana, and thus puts it close to half of the total electoral votes. Rules vary, however.
https://grassrootsidgop.wordpress.com/list-of-states-with-open-and-closed-primaries/
EDIT 3: To apologize as I just saw that the link is a GOP site, but the info seems good.
awake
(3,226 posts)Someone to mess the other side up or the Dem that we want?
JackRiddler
(24,979 posts)There's nothing you can do to mess up the other side more than is already the case.
And are we going to pretend that the Bush crime family with its history of genocide-level violence upon the world is going to be preferable to Trump, who merely promises more of what they have already achieved? Perhaps Mr. Plan B, Rubio, as if he's not promising nuclear confrontation with Russia and Iran along with the rest of those jokers?
MohRokTah
(15,429 posts)2008 was a notable exception after McCain locked up the nomination on the GOP side while the Democrats spent weeks longer engaged in one of the most contentious primary battles in memory.
JackRiddler
(24,979 posts)It's hard to imagine a more successful primary season for the Democratic party than the one in 2008. More than 35 million people were mobilized to participate. All the interest was focused on Obama and Clinton. Meanwhile, on the Republican side, it was pure crickets as an old man (in the sense of old, old ideas) plodded to a predetermined result. Lesson: Democracy (as imperfect as it was) is not to be feared!
As for your platitude about the effect of open primaries, I guess we'll see! Prior history does not guarantee future results, as the Wall Streeters say...
MohRokTah
(15,429 posts)While the 2008 primary season was the most contentious Democratic primary in recent memory, in no way did I claim it to be bad thing.
Instead, the point was to note a minor effect from Limbaugh's "Operation Chaos" in a few open primaries after McCain locked up the GOP nomination.
There was a minor effect during 2012 with an incumbent Democratic president due to the "Operation Hilarity" promoted by Markos Moulitsas.
In both cases, the effect was minor.
JackRiddler
(24,979 posts)Contentious is usually negatively connotated, and there are plenty of people who say it's a bad thing in primaries.
Perhaps you should have gone with "vibrant," or "with high participation," or interesting and enthusiastic.
MohRokTah
(15,429 posts)Puerto Rico primary.
Mathematically, there was still a good shot for Hillary in May.
I can think of no other word to describe the primaries than contentious, and it was the contentious nature of that season which insured Barack Obama would win the general election.
tritsofme
(17,399 posts)JackRiddler
(24,979 posts)I guess Wikipedia sucks!
Illinois: "Must vote in primary of same party as last primary vote. Loosely enforced."
https://grassrootsidgop.wordpress.com/list-of-states-with-open-and-closed-primaries/
I have no idea what that means. Sounds like it's only "open" until you've voted once and then you're stuck? Explain it to me. Thanks.
tritsofme
(17,399 posts)You are able to choose a Democratic, Republican, or non-partisan ballot in each primary election, your choice isn't limited by the last election.
MohRokTah
(15,429 posts)If somebody signs a petition for a Green candidate, for examplethey have contractually agreed to vote in the Green primary for the candidate they signed the petition for.
If they skip over the to Democratic primary, their vote cn be challenged and if challenged, their vote can be invalidated and they can be subjected to a criminal penalty.
This is why I would only ever sign a petition for somebody I planned to vote for when I lived in Illinois.
JackRiddler
(24,979 posts)You seem very knowledgeable about it! Is it a worry at the HRC HQs? Hmmmmmmm...
Independent voters in primaries! Beware! Your vote may be invalidated and subject you to a criminal penalty!!!
God forbid a candidate should attract independents or (brrrrrrr!) non-voters! They're probably Trump racists!
MohRokTah
(15,429 posts)He was able to challenge signatures of his opponents because many of those who signed had previously signed other petitions, thus invalidating their signatures on the petitions of his opponent and insuring she was unable to meet the requirements for a spot in the Democratic Primary for State Senator.
BTW, ALL voters in Illinois are independent voters. Intentions are only solidified when a) a petition is signed or b) a party declaration is made during a primary. One does not register as a member of a party in Illinois.
JackRiddler
(24,979 posts)A state senate election, eh? Challenging ballot petition signatures. Surely he would have been finished, if someone else had been on the ballot? No? Anyway, I guess it would be a bigger job on votes in a presidential primary, but HRC's got the money, no? And criminal penalties ... brrrrr!
MohRokTah
(15,429 posts)All must abide by those rules and laws or else be disqualified.
Disqualified candidates do not belong on the ballot.
tritsofme
(17,399 posts)Granted I don't spend a ton of time checking out other ballots, but I've never heard that stipulation. It is certainly not well publicized.
Renew Deal
(81,871 posts)And there are many more delegates than electors. The numbers don't really apply to the primary.
JackRiddler
(24,979 posts)And thanks for the studious (if false) reading of what I actually wrote in the OP, which (as you advise post-facto) does not in any way suggest that delegates are electors, or vice-versa. Hooray! Thanks as well for the blindingly brilliant if irrelevant comment, and do make sure to keep kicking this important thread! I can hardly wait what else you have to say!
Renew Deal
(81,871 posts)You know what you're posting is wrong?
JackRiddler
(24,979 posts)If you can't read English, it's not my problem.
But please do reply to keep this important thread kicked. Thanks!
Renew Deal
(81,871 posts)"Here is a list of open-primary states with the number of their electoral votes as a very rough gauge of their influence on the outcome (total 169 unless I made a mistake adding)."
Electors have no influence on the outcome of open primary's. Feel free to explain it.
JackRiddler
(24,979 posts)Now read it again. Slooowly perhaps? Eventually the words may mean something. Perhaps you need to read other stuff too, literature and what not, that has helped others in cases not unlike yours. Or maybe try unbolding the words you bolded (and underlined, too!) and bolding the ones you didn't. Thanks again for the important kick to an important thread. You brighten my day, light up my life, etc.
Renew Deal
(81,871 posts)Feel free to explain it. It is clearly wrong. Electors have no role in the primary.
JackRiddler
(24,979 posts)Electors have no role in the primary! Good thing I never wrote this, and it is only some kind of strange delusion on your part that I did! Hooray!
Response to JackRiddler (Original post)
Renew Deal This message was self-deleted by its author.