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Well looky here! Bernie Sanders Sweeps Online Polls... (Original Post) cherokeeprogressive Dec 2015 OP
Well, of course LWolf Dec 2015 #1
No other possible explanation! n/t cherokeeprogressive Dec 2015 #3
And those Hillary supporters who did vote were all 100% honest, like our DSW. Please Cal33 Dec 2015 #31
Yep. nt LWolf Dec 2015 #34
How many time do we have to rehash this. Everyone already KNOWS NorthCarolina Dec 2015 #2
You're right. I should delete this, huh... cherokeeprogressive Dec 2015 #4
Wall Street CEOs don't own computers? R. Daneel Olivaw Dec 2015 #11
Not the ones that are NorthCarolina Dec 2015 #13
They have far more productive things to do.. frylock Dec 2015 #14
Not scientific! thereismore Dec 2015 #5
This is your path to victory. NCTraveler Dec 2015 #6
Will Hillary be there to advise them about "wiping"? Tierra_y_Libertad Dec 2015 #8
I don't think so. But possibly. I hear she has speakers in every voting booth in the country. nt. NCTraveler Dec 2015 #9
You'd think those "scientific" poll numbers would be reflected in online polls. Tierra_y_Libertad Dec 2015 #7
Well, the CWA and DFA polls reflected identical margins as well. NorthCarolina Dec 2015 #10
Those are self-selected groups that don't demographically match the country mythology Dec 2015 #17
I could've sworn I logged into DU. NuclearDem Dec 2015 #19
Remember in 2012 when we made fun of the GOPers for trying to unskew the polls? Cali_Democrat Dec 2015 #20
I'm merely questioning the science part of "scientific" polls. Tierra_y_Libertad Dec 2015 #21
Facts in the context of philosophy and facts in the context of science aren't the same thing. NuclearDem Dec 2015 #22
I'm sticking with Nietsche Tierra_y_Libertad Dec 2015 #23
Yeah, I think you should go ahead and pick up that book now. NuclearDem Dec 2015 #24
Awww, go ahead. Educamate me. Tierra_y_Libertad Dec 2015 #25
Alright, let's start with your ridiculous Vietnam analogy: NuclearDem Dec 2015 #32
you found us out!!! questionseverything Dec 2015 #26
Horrible argument Happenstance24 Dec 2015 #12
OMG stop the presses! workinclasszero Dec 2015 #15
sory forr thr typpos restorefreedom Dec 2015 #16
ty for doing that i was busy that night and could not click at all questionseverything Dec 2015 #27
it waz myy pleassurre :) nt restorefreedom Dec 2015 #28
But, but roaminronin Dec 2015 #18
Shocking Dem2 Dec 2015 #29
They will explain away the losses in Iowa and NH with equal intensity virtualobserver Dec 2015 #30
Reminiscent of the polls Hannity would do on FOX redstateblues Dec 2015 #33

LWolf

(46,179 posts)
1. Well, of course
Mon Dec 21, 2015, 01:23 PM
Dec 2015

every single Sanders supporter in the nation doubled/tripled/quadrupled down on the voting, while the vast majority of other candidates' supporters didn't bother to vote at all. How else would something like this happen?

 

NorthCarolina

(11,197 posts)
2. How many time do we have to rehash this. Everyone already KNOWS
Mon Dec 21, 2015, 01:24 PM
Dec 2015

Hillary supporters (a) do not own computers, and (b) ONLY have land lines, no cellphones. Geez....lets at least try to keep up to date here folks.

 

NorthCarolina

(11,197 posts)
13. Not the ones that are
Mon Dec 21, 2015, 01:46 PM
Dec 2015

Hillary supporters. Just no, No, and NO! They don't....because IF THEY DID...well, Bernie would damn sure get pummeled in these online polls.

frylock

(34,825 posts)
14. They have far more productive things to do..
Mon Dec 21, 2015, 02:20 PM
Dec 2015

like hanging out on DU all day telling Sandernistas how they have far more productive things to do.

thereismore

(13,326 posts)
5. Not scientific!
Mon Dec 21, 2015, 01:26 PM
Dec 2015

Well, whatever. Bernie is going to win Iowa and NH. Even though he might be a little behind in IA right now,
the caucus system favors him. I think he is already a frontrunner in IA, and he is going to win it handily.
 

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
6. This is your path to victory.
Mon Dec 21, 2015, 01:28 PM
Dec 2015

Onward online warriors!!!!

A couple percent of these people are going to show up to the polls for the first time. First question they ask will be "how do I clear cookies?" "What do you mean I only get to vote once?" "My basement has more of a democratic feel to it." lol.

 

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
9. I don't think so. But possibly. I hear she has speakers in every voting booth in the country. nt.
Mon Dec 21, 2015, 01:38 PM
Dec 2015

Going Gowdy with the email thing I see. Benghazi!!!!!!!!!

 

Tierra_y_Libertad

(50,414 posts)
7. You'd think those "scientific" poll numbers would be reflected in online polls.
Mon Dec 21, 2015, 01:34 PM
Dec 2015

Did all those ardent Clinton supporters have their click fingers broken by even more ardent Sanders supporters?

 

NorthCarolina

(11,197 posts)
10. Well, the CWA and DFA polls reflected identical margins as well.
Mon Dec 21, 2015, 01:38 PM
Dec 2015

Of course, those polls were probably dominated by one over zealous Bernie supporter who not only knows how to clear cookies, but also knows each members personal info.

 

mythology

(9,527 posts)
17. Those are self-selected groups that don't demographically match the country
Mon Dec 21, 2015, 02:45 PM
Dec 2015

There are multiple reasons an online poll won't match a scientifically valid poll. It's really not hard do do some research so you understand statistics and how to tell if a study or poll is useful to judge the population as a whole.

 

NuclearDem

(16,184 posts)
19. I could've sworn I logged into DU.
Mon Dec 21, 2015, 03:34 PM
Dec 2015

But here I am replying to someone using quotation marks around scientific the same way a knuckle-dragging creationist or AGW denier would when professionals and scientists tell them something different from what they've read on the internet somewhere.

Weird.

 

Cali_Democrat

(30,439 posts)
20. Remember in 2012 when we made fun of the GOPers for trying to unskew the polls?
Mon Dec 21, 2015, 03:40 PM
Dec 2015

I would have never imagined that DUers would be unskewing polls a few years later.

Crazy.

 

Tierra_y_Libertad

(50,414 posts)
21. I'm merely questioning the science part of "scientific" polls.
Mon Dec 21, 2015, 03:58 PM
Dec 2015
There are no facts, only interpretations. Friedrich Nietzsche
 

NuclearDem

(16,184 posts)
22. Facts in the context of philosophy and facts in the context of science aren't the same thing.
Mon Dec 21, 2015, 04:53 PM
Dec 2015

That Nietzsche quote, while entirely relevant to a discussion on epistemology, could not be more irrelevant when discussing facts as repeatable, observable phenomena that form the building blocks of the entire scientific method.

Creationists do the same thing with the word "theory"--use an irrelevant, inappropriate definition because of how it so perfectly suits their needs.

If polling and research confuse you so, maybe you can stop by the library and pick up a book on elementary sociology or statistics.

 

Tierra_y_Libertad

(50,414 posts)
23. I'm sticking with Nietsche
Mon Dec 21, 2015, 05:07 PM
Dec 2015

And, with Mark Twain. There lies, damned lies, and statistics.

Statistics are interesting. But, they still demand interpretation. i.e. Hillary leads in the polls statistically. Does not equal Hillary will win.

Statistics prove nothing except that they may be handy tools regarding probability but that's open to interpretation. i.e. Statistically speaking we won the war in Vietnam. We killed more "enemies", razed more villages, inflicted more damage. Same for all of Bush's wars.

 

NuclearDem

(16,184 posts)
24. Yeah, I think you should go ahead and pick up that book now.
Mon Dec 21, 2015, 05:10 PM
Dec 2015

There are just so many things wrong with what you wrote here I can't even begin to address it.

 

NuclearDem

(16,184 posts)
32. Alright, let's start with your ridiculous Vietnam analogy:
Mon Dec 21, 2015, 05:42 PM
Dec 2015

That lovely attempt to say "statistics is bullshit, look at Vietnam" ignores the simple fact that wars aren't won or lost simply by number of casualties, but by which party more completely achieved its goals. Additionally, higher casualties can end up being an advantage for that affected party when it gives their opponent the impression that their numbers are limitless or their tactics ruthless enough to not be easily defeated.

Or maybe we can discuss how Mark Twain was actually quoting someone else when he wrote that sentence, and frankly, nobody really knows where that phrase comes from.

Or that polls cannot accurately measure public opinion if they cannot account for outside factors that would unduly influence the outcome of a questionnaire. Online click polls are trash because they don't control for repeat votes and are completely self-selected. Professionals, on the other hand, account for all sorts of factors--initial/recent bias by reordering questions and answers, repeats by using official registrations, self-selection by seeking out respondents who proportionally represent a region's demographics, etc.

Online polls only serve to drive traffic and generate ad revenue--which is why some of us find absolutely fucking hilarious that anti-corporate Sanders supporters are the ones most actively using these.

So, maybe go out and pick up a statistics book. Or don't. Ignorance is bliss, from what I hear.

Happenstance24

(193 posts)
12. Horrible argument
Mon Dec 21, 2015, 01:42 PM
Dec 2015

You can take 90 seconds to make a bot that multi votes for you all night long while you sleep. Now who would know how to do something like that? Older Clinton voters or millennial Sanders voters? Hmmm. Let me think.....

 

virtualobserver

(8,760 posts)
30. They will explain away the losses in Iowa and NH with equal intensity
Mon Dec 21, 2015, 05:30 PM
Dec 2015

Then only South Carolina will be a true measure of her support.

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