2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumIt's a major issue, so... what is the worst that happens with NO intervention in the M.E.?
Some here feel it is "unserious" to do anything other than directly intervene with our military to defeat ISIS, to achieve regime change...
So let's look at this the other way around. Let me be the Devil's Advocate and ask:
"What is the result of non-intervention in the M.E.?"
or
"How is intervention in the M.E. going to improve the lives of Americans?"
I am quite sure that Hillary supporters must have SOME good reason for supporting, before hand, the hundreds of billions of dollars (or more) that she is virtually certain to spend on military intervention in the M.E. So please let me hear your rationalizations (other than 'Well, I trust her!')
valerief
(53,235 posts)Renew Deal
(81,859 posts)That will get very ugly. It won't be Turkey fighting ISIS. It will be Turkey and Saudi Arabia fighting ISIS in one place and helping them in another. Iran will be controlling Iraq and government controlled Syria to fight ISIS and the Saudi's. And lets hope no one else gets involved.
That's what makes Sanders proposal unserious.
JaneyVee
(19,877 posts)JonLeibowitz
(6,282 posts)Both are equally likely to occur.
Nice argument. Not.
JaneyVee
(19,877 posts)JonLeibowitz
(6,282 posts)I actually thought you were joking, it is such a ridiculous idea.
HoneychildMooseMoss
(251 posts)It was called the "Domino Theory". If we didn't intervene in Vietnam/Indochina, one country after another would fall to the Commies, even Japan and Australia.
JonLeibowitz
(6,282 posts)HoneychildMooseMoss
(251 posts)Admittedly, things got pretty bad in those countries, especially Cambodia, especially in the period 1975-79. And while all of those countries are still Communist to one extent or another, the US has normal relations with all of them.
JaneyVee
(19,877 posts)They will destroy their economy through terror and fear, which would have catastrophic ripple effects for our economy, not to mention national security.
JonLeibowitz
(6,282 posts)because of "security" concerns.
JaneyVee
(19,877 posts)Paris was just attacked. You think if they could get their hands on nukes they wouldn't use it?
JonLeibowitz
(6,282 posts)Nice try though.
I am very much connected, thank you very much.
JaneyVee
(19,877 posts)Sounds like a winning plan.
JonLeibowitz
(6,282 posts)Call me crazy, but I'm pretty sure that Europe's elites are doing a fine job of destroying their economies right now. I don't see any role for ISIS in that. Draghi and co. have it handled.
Bonobo
(29,257 posts)I would expect to hear such things from Donald Trump.
neverforget
(9,436 posts)ISIS has none of that.
EndElectoral
(4,213 posts)ISIL has attacked us, and France, a major ally.
Asad is a despot, like Saddam Hussein, but we cannot go to war with every despot or we'd be invading North Korea at present or half a dozen nations in Africa. People often don't understand the phrase "The world's policemen." At the crux of this is the question, what constitutes the rationale for American military involvement abroad, and to what extent. That's a good question and was addressed in a minimal way in the debate.
99th_Monkey
(19,326 posts)JaneyVee
(19,877 posts)There are plenty of global crises we are not taking part in.
99th_Monkey
(19,326 posts)I just couldn't resist posting the Phil Ochs song, as it illustrates how this cops of the world thing
has been with us for so long, and is so transparently a function of corporate-driven US imperialism,
rather than a function of the US 'spreading democracy' or any of that BS.
Oh, and just because there are 'conflicts' around the globe the US is NOT involved in, doesn't take
away from that whatsoever. As with actual 'cops' in a city, there is crime going on all over the city,
and the cops are only capable of dealing with a fraction of it on any given day.
notadmblnd
(23,720 posts)The military industrial complex's profits plummet
Thousands of lives will continue to be lost (but the way I see it, what difference is it if the US bombs them to death or if they kill each other. Dead is dead isn't it?)
Other countries will have to fight their own battles.
Russia and China could gain more power in the region.
Dictators that the US want to get rid of stay in place
If I can think of anything else, I'll be back.
Chitown Kev
(2,197 posts)coming to blows would be the worse thing that could happen.
And would present Israel with an interesting set of conundrums.
msongs
(67,406 posts)99th_Monkey
(19,326 posts)the US can't "fix" every other nation's problems with endless war & military interventions.
Motown_Johnny
(22,308 posts)...he battens down the hatches.
That does not mean he thought it was a good idea to sail into a hurricane.
jfern
(5,204 posts)our current allies can become our new enemies.
Motown_Johnny
(22,308 posts)Direct military intervention is supported by people who lack the ability to comprehend anything else. We have already seen that it does more harm than good. How many times must the same mistake be made before it dawns on people that it is a mistake?
This is a multi-generational problem that isn't going to be solved by one more war or one President's actions (although it can be made worse that way). It is a hot version of the cold war and needs to be "won" through long term diplomatic and economic policies in conjunction with limited military support for allies in the region.
This isn't a nail. A hammer won't work. In a way, we need extremist's support to be so small we can drown it in a bathtub. That isn't going to happen overnight.
loyalsister
(13,390 posts)Do the hawks even understand that they are passing down war. Presently young, and future generations are going to risk or sacrifice their bodies AND pay the bill.
The former Maryland governor, in a distant third in polls, went on to note America's mixed record with regime change, highlighting Iran as a key example.
"During the Cold War, we got into a bad habit of always looking to see who was wearing the jersey of the communists and who was wearing the U.S. jersey," he said.. "We need to leave the Cold War behind us and we need to put together new alliances."
http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/263849-omalley-digs-at-age-of-sanders-clinton
Agnosticsherbet
(11,619 posts)So the worst that could happen is that Jordan and countries become destabilized and spread war and death across the whole region. This would drive millions more refugees into Europe, whose economies will not last long under the pressure.
I think we, the Europe, Russians, Iranians, Turks, Saudi's, Jordanians, Iraqi's, and Syrians should work together to set up stable governments. Stable governments in those countries will make ISIS just another group of criminal thugs.
I do not support a military invasion with US troops. I do support working with our allies and others in the region to bring stability back to Iraq and Syria
pansypoo53219
(20,977 posts)MFrohike
(1,980 posts)Russia continues to create a coastal enclave for the Alawites and their allies. The Sunni militias continue to flounder because they're terrible fighters. ISIS continues to beat up on those militias because they're not quite as bad as the militias. Hezbollah continues to hold its corner of Syria and give ISIS and the militias nightmares. Rojava continues to slowly expand, unless Turkey or its allies decide that a successful band of Kurds and other minorities is beyond the pale.
In short, not a long would change.