2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumBrand Spanking New Ipsos-Reid Poll at Huff Po HRC 58% (+2) SBS 29% (-1) MOM 3 (-2)
http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-national-democratic-primary
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)Thanks DSB
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)riversedge
(70,218 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)EOM
riversedge
(70,218 posts)about that hat that I just could not get at. Now I think it is Royal Canadian Mounted police hat. just thinking.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)EOM
Historic NY
(37,449 posts)NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)... or Trump.
Alfresco
(1,698 posts)Nice comeback DSB.
Human101948
(3,457 posts)Investments are paying dividends!
Alfresco
(1,698 posts)Human101948
(3,457 posts)say all the folks at Goldman Sachs.
Iliyah
(25,111 posts)VanillaRhapsody
(21,115 posts)MoonRiver
(36,926 posts)Way to go Hill!!
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)Fortunately, unnecessarily aggressive behavior won't improve Bernie's poll number, nor increase his lackluster union endorsements, nor increase is anemic political endorsements. Hillary runs a tight-ship and every day we see the results of what a well-run campaign can produce.
JonLeibowitz
(6,282 posts)NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)JonLeibowitz
(6,282 posts)1.7 Million voters before describing Bernie's progress as lackluster and anemic. I see now that you have.
Alfresco
(1,698 posts)That needed repeating.
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)riversedge
(70,218 posts)Alfresco
(1,698 posts)OilemFirchen
(7,143 posts)The most common refrain amongst Sanders supporters this primary is that polls are reflecting "name recognition". That once the public gets to know Sanders, his numbers will rise and the gap will narrow. Because, of course, as the public learns more about him, they will be more inclined to support him.
So what does this aggregate of polls suggest? That, over time, people who "got to know" Sanders are forgetting who he is?
Consider my head thoroughly scratched.
MrWendel
(1,881 posts)own tv, radio, internet, newspapers... could many of them be Amish?
upaloopa
(11,417 posts)brooklynite
(94,571 posts)...at the same rate as Clintons, e.g. they're both picking up undecideds in equal numbers. The problem is that he's reaching a point where there AREN'T any more undecideds, and they're no sign that people who currently support Clinton (despite all the "baggage" that's being talked about) are going to change their minds.
http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-national-democratic-primary#!maxpct=60&mindate=2015-09-01&showpoints=yes&estimate=custom
OilemFirchen
(7,143 posts)Specifically, the oft-repeated explanation suggested that the undecideds - once they "learned" about Sanders - would break his way. Otherwise, what's the point of emphasizing that polls are driven by name recognition?
The only other possibility is that as the public discovered the secret savior, they didn't actually prefer him in any manner unique from the early polls. That's, of course, what you've suggested... but it's impossible, isn't it? It would actually disprove the name recognition argument, wouldn't it?
I'm sticking with the mass amnesia theory, thank you anyway.
comradebillyboy
(10,147 posts)Last edited Thu Dec 17, 2015, 05:24 PM - Edit history (1)
and over the top. Now if you were unskewing these polls you might get more love here.
edit: let me add /s
Alfresco
(1,698 posts)It's a form of proactive coping for our Bernie brethren emotional well being.
It keeps them reality based so when the loss comes it won't be such a devastating blow.
George II
(67,782 posts)Coolest Ranger
(2,034 posts)I thought you had gotten reported on
comradebillyboy
(10,147 posts)I have found that sometimes things I say in jest are taken seriously. I thought it best to try to avoid any misunderstanding. I am not aware of anyone alerting on my post.
Cha
(297,237 posts)George II
(67,782 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)George II
(67,782 posts)there is a decided "droop" in the lower curve. I'll post it when I can.
FloridaBlues
(4,008 posts)For Hillary. Glad to see it.
Thanks for posting
Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)riversedge
(70,218 posts)Hillary for Iowa Retweeted
Gabriella Cascone ?@GBC_4_HRC Dec 15 Creston, IA
Collecting cards and taking names: Zach is just another @TheIowaHawkeyes fan & #DudeForHillary!
Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)DirtyHippyBastard
(217 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)12/15/2015
HRC- 59% SBS 27% MOM 3%
With the 2016 Iowa precinct caucuses only seven weeks away, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton continues to hold a strong lead over her nearest rival, Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders in the statewide Loras College poll of 501 likely Democratic caucus voters conducted December 7-10.
The newest poll finds Clinton leading in terms of which candidate people intend to vote for, and in terms of which candidate people expect will actually win the caucus, as well as be the eventual nominee.
How much these expectations are built upon media attention and punditry, and how much on an accurate sense by Iowans of how other voters are likely to act is an interesting question. But, right now it looks like Clinton is in a strong position with the campaigns turning toward the holiday stretch, commented Associate Professor of Politics and Director of the Loras College Poll, Christopher Budzisz, Ph.D.
http://loras.edu/About-Loras/News-Events/News/2015/Clinton-Remains-with-Strong-Lead,-New-Loras-Colleg.aspx
Thank you in advance.
Coolest Ranger
(2,034 posts)God it gets so sickening seeing Bernie Underground day in and day out
litlbilly
(2,227 posts)Coolest Ranger
(2,034 posts)I put you on ignore.
Gamecock Lefty
(700 posts)Bernie is writing a speech. Are we sure it isn't his concession speech!!!
Raise Hill 2016!