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CoffeeCat

(24,411 posts)
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 03:54 PM Dec 2015

Look what a politician who endorsed Clinton--has to say about Bernie Sanders

“This is not a slam dunk for her,” said former Senator Tom Harkin, who served Iowa in Congress for 40 years, stating flatly that Mr. Sanders could win. “He’s got this enthusiasm like Obama did,” Mr. Harkin said. “The Hillary forces better not sit back.”

http://www.nytimes.com/2015/10/26/us/politics/democratic-dinner-drives-home-hillary-clintons-focus-on-iowa.html?_r=0

98 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Look what a politician who endorsed Clinton--has to say about Bernie Sanders (Original Post) CoffeeCat Dec 2015 OP
But why would he say such a thing? brooklynite Dec 2015 #1
Oh it did exist. Does she have a current one? Past is prologue, as is said. cali Dec 2015 #39
Rumor and innuendo sells books. Where is the "list"? George II Dec 2015 #73
Better check your box, she probably John Poet Dec 2015 #93
I thought Harkin is retired n/t fredamae Dec 2015 #74
Exactly...so what reason did he have to endorse Clinton in the first place? brooklynite Dec 2015 #75
Who knows? Just fredamae Dec 2015 #82
Because it's true AgingAmerican Dec 2015 #91
Makes sense for her to not take anything for granted. moobu2 Dec 2015 #2
But Sanders is not Obama UglyGreed Dec 2015 #3
I agree with that comment. NCTraveler Dec 2015 #4
Enthusiasm is big here in Iowa.. CoffeeCat Dec 2015 #6
I don't think the enthusiasm of his supporters is insignificant. NCTraveler Dec 2015 #14
It is foundational to any campaign... CoffeeCat Dec 2015 #21
Apparently this supposed enthusiasm is just not enough VanillaRhapsody Dec 2015 #30
Could you be kind as to describe "enthusiasm and not much else"? I'd say that libdem4life Dec 2015 #8
Individual donor count is insignificant by large. Sanders supporters go to it.... NCTraveler Dec 2015 #12
Let me rephrase...all except for Vermont, 0 on the national stage. How you can libdem4life Dec 2015 #23
"compare his name recognition to Hillary Clinton " NCTraveler Dec 2015 #29
Explaining what I meant by 0 ... national name recognition. Still isn't close. libdem4life Dec 2015 #40
All that stuff you listed is stuff you hang your upaloopa Dec 2015 #38
Well, there you have it. And nothing is going to "bite me in the ass" Geez. libdem4life Dec 2015 #47
and yet he has TERRIBLE polling numbers VanillaRhapsody Dec 2015 #32
I'm finding out that it depends on who is looking at what. libdem4life Dec 2015 #58
No actually they are not at all... VanillaRhapsody Dec 2015 #61
Well, thank you for your concern, but I'll be fine. I said Trends...different from libdem4life Dec 2015 #63
there is NO wide fluctuations...thats utterly ridiculous VanillaRhapsody Dec 2015 #64
Good lord, I guess you don't read as much politics as I do, and leave the dramatic libdem4life Dec 2015 #81
He also has the consistency of long-held beliefs and the tough votes reflecting those beliefs JonLeibowitz Dec 2015 #9
I don't see the consistency you do. NCTraveler Dec 2015 #13
Please be more specific. JonLeibowitz Dec 2015 #15
The Iraq Liberation Act. NCTraveler Dec 2015 #16
FYI - Asking for clarification as to what someone means is not the same as not knowing the history JonLeibowitz Dec 2015 #19
Seems clear you weren't aware Sanders is on record for supporting regime change in Iraq. NCTraveler Dec 2015 #20
What seems clear to you is in fact not the case. JonLeibowitz Dec 2015 #22
The Iraq Liberation Act called for regime change in Iraq. NCTraveler Dec 2015 #25
I meant of course that I was aware of the Iraq Liberation Act, unlike what you implied JonLeibowitz Dec 2015 #27
My most sincere appologies. So you were aware he voted for regime change in Iraq. NCTraveler Dec 2015 #31
Yes, and I don't see it as inconsistency, though others I am sure do. JonLeibowitz Dec 2015 #41
You don't see it as force? NCTraveler Dec 2015 #46
Well, when I read the legislation, I read JonLeibowitz Dec 2015 #51
And if I may add, your argument just there is of the form post hoc ergo propter hoc JonLeibowitz Dec 2015 #53
No, it is not. And it is clear my initial assumption was correct. NCTraveler Dec 2015 #54
Care to respond to the facts mentioned in my post, about the words present in the legislation? n/t JonLeibowitz Dec 2015 #57
False, Bernie cautioned against it when Hillary was lying about Saddam in support of regime change. beam me up scottie Dec 2015 #68
Well Hillary's history has changed several times in just a few months Omaha Steve Dec 2015 #35
Hopefully never. NCTraveler Dec 2015 #36
She evolved how many times in just a few months after Bernie started his run? Omaha Steve Dec 2015 #42
I could go all day long tit for tat on Sanders inconsistencies. NCTraveler Dec 2015 #48
That's a poor excuse for her. She has demonstrated that she will say anything if she thinks cali Dec 2015 #43
I don't think so. NCTraveler Dec 2015 #50
Sanders has been in office for 30 years... CoffeeCat Dec 2015 #45
No, he has not. The media won't do it. That is well known. NCTraveler Dec 2015 #49
If there was dirt, we would have seen it by now... CoffeeCat Dec 2015 #60
He warned against regime change in Iraq, why are you trying to rewrite history? beam me up scottie Dec 2015 #69
Clinton has her gender and lots of billionaire backers, and that's it Doctor_J Dec 2015 #55
He's not following instructions from headquarters nt firebrand80 Dec 2015 #5
Tom Harkin is his own man... CoffeeCat Dec 2015 #7
Its dated OCT. 25, 2015 BlueStateLib Dec 2015 #10
Heh... SidDithers Dec 2015 #17
Harkin's remarks were made at the JJ dinner in Iowa... CoffeeCat Dec 2015 #18
I imagine he would say.... VanillaRhapsody Dec 2015 #34
At that time Clinton's Huffington Pollster aggregated lead was 16.4%, it's now up to 17.0%.... George II Dec 2015 #71
But I keep seeing polls here, and I'm sort of serious here that I cannot really explain the Ed Suspicious Dec 2015 #72
while i agree with this it is also part of a strategy JI7 Dec 2015 #11
Hillary's Internals Must Be Iffy.....nt global1 Dec 2015 #24
article written Oct 25 FYI riversedge Dec 2015 #83
2 months ago. JaneyVee Dec 2015 #26
You can bet your ass Hillary's people are upaloopa Dec 2015 #28
According to the most accurate poll taken in Iowa... CoffeeCat Dec 2015 #37
Hillary doesn't do events like that. upaloopa Dec 2015 #44
True. Neither does Bill ... the turnout doesn't pay for the cost. libdem4life Dec 2015 #52
It costs very little... CoffeeCat Dec 2015 #62
There are more costs than room rental. Staff, equipment, labor, energy, and worst of all libdem4life Dec 2015 #80
But the Hillary campaign... CoffeeCat Dec 2015 #90
I'm surely no Clinton insider, but I read a lot. IIRC, it was in Iowa that the situation libdem4life Dec 2015 #92
True, so probably the issue is, as you stated, lack of attendance. libdem4life Dec 2015 #96
After you mentioned that about Bill Clinton... CoffeeCat Dec 2015 #97
The events mentioned were small venues. In any case, Go, Iowa!!! libdem4life Dec 2015 #98
While I enjoy sarcasm as much as the next person... CoffeeCat Dec 2015 #56
My 22 year old twin granddaughters who Duval Dec 2015 #66
Not sure where you are coming from. Paka Dec 2015 #87
I'm repeating what I heard yesterday on MSNBC upaloopa Dec 2015 #89
+1 MeNMyVolt Dec 2015 #86
It is not how the Hillary campaign is working, her campaign is as active as if she was the underdog. Thinkingabout Dec 2015 #33
No. bvar22 Dec 2015 #78
That's strange, when Sanders was ahead in the polls there was a lot of screaming here on DU Thinkingabout Dec 2015 #84
K N R Faux pas Dec 2015 #59
You certainly picked the apple you liked postatomic Dec 2015 #65
Of course he's going to say things like that, it would be silly not to say something like that.... George II Dec 2015 #67
So come on over to the Light, Tom! silverweb Dec 2015 #70
they're in sort of a bind, though: they have to pretend it's just a runup to the general--that the MisterP Dec 2015 #76
Sssssshhhhhhhh SandersDem Dec 2015 #77
+1 BeanMusical Dec 2015 #79
+1000 MissDeeds Dec 2015 #85
There's that word again. Enthusiasm. Tote Life Dec 2015 #88
kick & rec. olddots Dec 2015 #94
K&R! Segami Dec 2015 #95

brooklynite

(94,626 posts)
1. But why would he say such a thing?
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 03:55 PM
Dec 2015

Won't he be afraid of being on her "enemies list"?

Unless, of course, it doesn't exist.

fredamae

(4,458 posts)
82. Who knows? Just
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 06:36 PM
Dec 2015

"going with the flow"...supporting the presumptive candidate because folks still care what he thinks? Fearful for the future of his own elected senator/reps? There are likely multiple reasons why any person supports candidate A or B....Did he bother to say when he announced his support for her?

I pay, personally-little to no attention to politicians endorsements for any other politician. With few exceptions they've been disconnected from their own constituents for several decades now,

 

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
4. I agree with that comment.
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 03:56 PM
Dec 2015

He has the enthusiasm and not much else. Clinton has to fight and fight smart. So far she is running a masterful campaign. She must keep it up. Our future depends on it.

CoffeeCat

(24,411 posts)
6. Enthusiasm is big here in Iowa..
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 03:59 PM
Dec 2015

...because it motivates and propels people to not only volunteer, but to caucus.

It makes a huge difference.

 

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
14. I don't think the enthusiasm of his supporters is insignificant.
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 04:11 PM
Dec 2015

It also doesn't overcome all. It is a positive for him.

CoffeeCat

(24,411 posts)
21. It is foundational to any campaign...
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 04:19 PM
Dec 2015

...but I agree with what you are saying. A campaign can have all of the enthusiasm in the world--and it means nothing unless your supporters caucus/vote.

 

VanillaRhapsody

(21,115 posts)
30. Apparently this supposed enthusiasm is just not enough
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 04:28 PM
Dec 2015

there are at least three polls of Iowa that puts her squarely in the lead....

 

libdem4life

(13,877 posts)
8. Could you be kind as to describe "enthusiasm and not much else"? I'd say that
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 04:03 PM
Dec 2015

starting at 0, he's got a bit more than just enthusiasm. I mean, isn't he about to break the record for individual donors? But what do I know?

 

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
12. Individual donor count is insignificant by large. Sanders supporters go to it....
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 04:08 PM
Dec 2015

because it is one of the few positives. It tells almost nothing. Sanders did not start at zero. That simply isn't true. If that is the case, we must say that Clinton started at zero. When I say not much else, I am obviously comparing his campaign to Clintons. He doesn't have the money she has, the team she has, the network she has, the endorsements she has, the poll numbers she has, etc.. This is really simple stuff.

How many states is Clinton currently leading in? What increase has Sanders seen in his numbers in Iowa over the last month and a half?

 

libdem4life

(13,877 posts)
23. Let me rephrase...all except for Vermont, 0 on the national stage. How you can
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 04:20 PM
Dec 2015

compare his name recognition to Hillary Clinton is a bit of a stretch. And you say numbers are irrelevant? Not so fast there, us little people talk to other little people who don't have that much...like thousands to attend a Special Meal or a Cozy Closed Door Chat.

There is still that prickly issue of trustworthiness and clean finances...that Foundation is going to lead to some intense scrutiny, as well as other things. Bernie has gotten where he is by being "clean". He may have bailed her out of the first email scandal, but looks like there may be another on its heels. Thus, it's not for lack of, shall we say certain issues. Some the FBI are looking into.

I refuse to be irrelevant because I'm not rich or connected. You are just speaking from a viewpoint that is different. All the political savvy and funding in the world can't get Jeb Bush out of single digits.

Hillary certainly has the best start, but as I noted before the old children's book...The Tortoise and the Hare. Sometimes you have to wait until the finish line to know what's what. Lots can happen in politics can turn on a proverbial dime.

 

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
29. "compare his name recognition to Hillary Clinton "
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 04:27 PM
Dec 2015

I did no such thing.

"And you say numbers are irrelevant?"

No, I didn't.

"He may have bailed her out of the first email scandal"

I don't debate those holding out hope on Gowdy.

"I refuse to be irrelevant because I'm not rich or connected."

You aren't irrelevant.

"All the political savvy and funding in the world can't get Jeb Bush out of single digits."

True that. The guy is a piece of shit.

"you have to wait until the finish line to know what's what. Lots can happen in politics can turn on a proverbial dime."

Fully agree.







 

libdem4life

(13,877 posts)
40. Explaining what I meant by 0 ... national name recognition. Still isn't close.
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 04:38 PM
Dec 2015

As far as numbers, seems you felt like Bernie's high numbers were irrelevant, but I might have misunderstood because so many are like $30 contributions. In fact, I've given $30 myself...3 ACH withdrawals thus far. Surely we don't need to go into Hillary's typical donor, nor the size, nor the Foundation.

And, as I recall, it was in the debate that he said "enough about the emails". I don't know where Trey Gowdy got into the conversation.

But for the most part, I'd say we agree and appreciate the feed back.

Go (Bernie or Hillary) Democrats!

upaloopa

(11,417 posts)
38. All that stuff you listed is stuff you hang your
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 04:36 PM
Dec 2015

hat on for a Bernie win. Not Bernie has the stuff to win but Hillary has the stuff to lose.

What is going to bite you in the ass is that all that stuff you listed is like all the other Hillary scandals for the last 40 years. All bull shit and she survived every attempt to bring her down.

Your guy doesn't have half the guts, strength, stamina, experience and gravitas this woman has.
He isn't even in her league.

 

libdem4life

(13,877 posts)
47. Well, there you have it. And nothing is going to "bite me in the ass" Geez.
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 04:44 PM
Dec 2015

I'm on record here as a Democrat...voting for whoever in our nominee. Lighten up, K?

 

libdem4life

(13,877 posts)
58. I'm finding out that it depends on who is looking at what.
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 04:59 PM
Dec 2015

I have looked at suspiciously professional charts and it appears that it's a reverse funnel in most. Outside of little Vermont, few knew who he was, let alone his record or political philosophy.

I'd say the numbers show a closer convergence than many want to believe. One is down, the other is up. Politics rely on trends, but does not account for the occasional WTF moment when something changes.

Right now the Iowa and NH numbers are more to the point. And then there is that pesky trustworthiness issue...I don't think anyone makes this stuff up.

We'll just have to wait and see.

Go (Bernie/Hillary/Martin) Democrats.

 

VanillaRhapsody

(21,115 posts)
61. No actually they are not at all...
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 05:05 PM
Dec 2015

MOST polls no matter where you look....put Clinton firmly in the lead.

Sanders folks are just deep deep deep in denial

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/

 

libdem4life

(13,877 posts)
63. Well, thank you for your concern, but I'll be fine. I said Trends...different from
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 05:20 PM
Dec 2015

the wide fluctuation of polls, most of which are questionable either way. Nor did I claim Bernie is in the lead. Actually, he may be in NH, but still a poll, you know. Iowa is closing in and as we all have learned, hopefully, that premature pronouncements are just that...premature.

If he loses Iowa and NH, even though my denial is nearly so deep as mentioned, it's likely to predict the end of the Nomination Contest. And, if that happens, I'm fine with it. I have a new sig line...check it out...




Go (Bernie, Hillary, Martin) Democrats !

/s/ A Person Not in Denial...just a good and faithful Democrat who just happens to like Bernie the best.

 

VanillaRhapsody

(21,115 posts)
64. there is NO wide fluctuations...thats utterly ridiculous
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 05:22 PM
Dec 2015

that is a figment of your imagination....

read my link..

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/


Do you see many there that have Sanders in the lead??? No you don't....there is only one that I noticed and that is New Hampshire...


Deep deep DEEP denial

 

libdem4life

(13,877 posts)
81. Good lord, I guess you don't read as much politics as I do, and leave the dramatic
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 06:33 PM
Dec 2015

"figment of my imagination" behind...it does not become anyone.

You wrote the gist of my email in your last sentence. BTW, What is it about "deep" that has you fixated? There are all kinds of polls..that's why they are grouped together in little charts with lines in different colors. I think they are called composites. Because, depending on who does the pool it can vary widely (just one "widely&quot

Like I said, look at the bottom of all my posts from now on and then we can discuss as adults, maybe?



Go (Bernie/Hillary/Martin) Democrats !!!!

There. Not 4 deeps and one in caps.

JonLeibowitz

(6,282 posts)
9. He also has the consistency of long-held beliefs and the tough votes reflecting those beliefs
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 04:04 PM
Dec 2015

Hillary has neither.

 

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
13. I don't see the consistency you do.
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 04:10 PM
Dec 2015

From voting for regime change in Iraq, to voting for one of the most odorous deregulation bills in the last couple of decades; are you telling me he will stay consistent with those votes?

JonLeibowitz

(6,282 posts)
15. Please be more specific.
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 04:12 PM
Dec 2015

When many people think of regime change in Iraq they refer to the IWR. But I am sure that is not what you mean. Could you specify?

 

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
16. The Iraq Liberation Act.
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 04:13 PM
Dec 2015

Sanders has yet to be vetted in any way and that is admitted by his supporters. Many are just finding out about his history.

 

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
20. Seems clear you weren't aware Sanders is on record for supporting regime change in Iraq.
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 04:18 PM
Dec 2015

Not all that long before the IWR either. That was pretty clear.

JonLeibowitz

(6,282 posts)
27. I meant of course that I was aware of the Iraq Liberation Act, unlike what you implied
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 04:26 PM
Dec 2015

I was simply asking for clarification as to what you were referring. Is that so difficult to accept?

JonLeibowitz

(6,282 posts)
41. Yes, and I don't see it as inconsistency, though others I am sure do.
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 04:39 PM
Dec 2015

It seemed to be supportive of the citizens voluntarily forming a more democratic government to succeed the dictatorial regime of Hussein. I do not see it as any kind of authorization of force, as the IWR was, because of Section 8 of the bill:

Nothing in this Act shall be construed to authorize or otherwise speak to the use of United States Armed Forces (except as provided in section 4(a)(2)) in carrying out this Act.
 

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
46. You don't see it as force?
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 04:43 PM
Dec 2015

It was followed by multiple days of bombing. What the hell constitutes force to you?

JonLeibowitz

(6,282 posts)
51. Well, when I read the legislation, I read
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 04:50 PM
Dec 2015
Nothing in this Act shall be construed to authorize or otherwise
speak to the use of United States Armed Forces (except as provided in
section 4(a)(2)) in carrying out this Act.


Seems pretty clear to me.
 

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
54. No, it is not. And it is clear my initial assumption was correct.
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 04:53 PM
Dec 2015

Somehow, bombs don't equal force to you.

beam me up scottie

(57,349 posts)
68. False, Bernie cautioned against it when Hillary was lying about Saddam in support of regime change.
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 05:36 PM
Dec 2015

Here's Hillary lying about Saddam to push us into war:



"In the four years since the inspectors left, intelligence reports show that Saddam Hussein has worked to rebuild his chemical and biological weapons stock, his missile delivery capability, and his nuclear program. He has also given aid, comfort, and sanctuary to terrorists, including Al Qaeda members...

It is clear, however, that if left unchecked, Saddam Hussein will continue to increase his capacity to wage biological and chemical warfare, and will keep trying to develop nuclear weapons. Should he succeed in that endeavor, he could alter the political and security landscape of the Middle East, which as we know all too well, effects American security.

This is a very difficult vote, this is probably the hardest decision I've ever had to make. Any vote that might lead to war should be hard, but I cast it with conviction."


And here is Bernie warning us what would happen if Bush got his way:



Omaha Steve

(99,670 posts)
35. Well Hillary's history has changed several times in just a few months
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 04:33 PM
Dec 2015

When does that wheel stop spinning?

 

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
36. Hopefully never.
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 04:34 PM
Dec 2015

None of us should be so arrogant to assume we are all knowing and can't evolve. I know I have learned from past mistakes and changed.

Nice deflection.

Omaha Steve

(99,670 posts)
42. She evolved how many times in just a few months after Bernie started his run?
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 04:39 PM
Dec 2015

All of those have been toward Bernie on the left.
 

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
48. I could go all day long tit for tat on Sanders inconsistencies.
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 04:45 PM
Dec 2015

Including calling for regime change in Iraq.

 

cali

(114,904 posts)
43. That's a poor excuse for her. She has demonstrated that she will say anything if she thinks
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 04:40 PM
Dec 2015

it will advance her politically. She is transparently dishonest.

 

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
50. I don't think so.
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 04:48 PM
Dec 2015

Then again, I don't promote right wing investigations that went no where when vetting democrats.

I have seen stranger. lol.

CoffeeCat

(24,411 posts)
45. Sanders has been in office for 30 years...
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 04:43 PM
Dec 2015

He's most certainly has been vetted.

Just because he's not carrying around Hillary's giant dump truck full of scandals, flip flops, horrible warmongering votes, and track record of quid-pro-quo campaign money from Wall Street--does not mean that he hasn't been vetted.

Some candidate, like Sanders just don't have dirt.

You just can't stand it that there is no "there" there.

 

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
49. No, he has not. The media won't do it. That is well known.
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 04:47 PM
Dec 2015

The country doesn't know Sanders but he has been vetted. lol. The media doesn't give him time but he has been vetted. Get ready if he comes any closer to Clinton. That will get him vetted.

I do agree with you that he is the career politician in the race.

CoffeeCat

(24,411 posts)
60. If there was dirt, we would have seen it by now...
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 05:03 PM
Dec 2015

Sanders is just a nice, decent guy. I like that about him.

He's withstood the test of time.

 

Doctor_J

(36,392 posts)
55. Clinton has her gender and lots of billionaire backers, and that's it
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 04:56 PM
Dec 2015

She seems to have no principles whatsoever, and will change her position on any issue when the polls change. Her presidency will be another huge setback for working people and liberals.

CoffeeCat

(24,411 posts)
7. Tom Harkin is his own man...
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 04:02 PM
Dec 2015

...and he calls it like he sees it.

No denying that Iowans are enthusiastic about Sanders. His crowd sizes have been as much as 2,000 in early December.

Hillary's have been averaging around 300 at her biggest rallies. An appearance in West Des Moines only garnered 200 on Dec 9.

And it's about to become even more stark as the caucus season gets into forth gear in late Dec/early Jan.

CoffeeCat

(24,411 posts)
18. Harkin's remarks were made at the JJ dinner in Iowa...
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 04:15 PM
Dec 2015

...a month and 1/2 ago.

Pretty cool huh? Bernie was barely campaigning in Iowa, during this point. It was a lull for his campaign, with only a handful of events scheduled during the entire month of October.

Imagine what Harkin would say now!

Bernie's crowds are swelling, making October look pretty quiet.

George II

(67,782 posts)
71. At that time Clinton's Huffington Pollster aggregated lead was 16.4%, it's now up to 17.0%....
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 05:44 PM
Dec 2015

....and at the time of the JJ Dinner Sanders' campaign in Iowa was in full swing. In August, September and October he made six trips to Iowa, Clinton six (not including the Iowa State Fair for either).

Ed Suspicious

(8,879 posts)
72. But I keep seeing polls here, and I'm sort of serious here that I cannot really explain the
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 05:47 PM
Dec 2015

disconnect and it makes me question my reality and theirs, where Bernie is sliding back into the mid 20s and Hillary is mid 70s. What the serious heck gives? I trust no poll anymore.

JI7

(89,254 posts)
11. while i agree with this it is also part of a strategy
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 04:05 PM
Dec 2015

By lowering expectations to claim a bigger victory.

upaloopa

(11,417 posts)
28. You can bet your ass Hillary's people are
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 04:27 PM
Dec 2015

not sitting back.
So far the record of this primary are two Hillary debate wins and a constant 20 point or better lead in the polls.

That doesn't happen by sitting back.

Hillary is just warming up for the general.

Bernie is playing in the minors right now and he isn't major league material.

CoffeeCat

(24,411 posts)
37. According to the most accurate poll taken in Iowa...
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 04:35 PM
Dec 2015

...he's only behind by 9, I'd say he's in an incredible position.

Sanders started out in Iowa at .8 percent. Now, he's within 9.

Have you taken a look at the attendance at her Iowa events? It's jarring.

She's barely hitting 300 at her most well-attended event in in Waterloo on December 9. In contrast, Sanders amassed 2000+ at a rally in Dubuque on Dec 12; 1,450 at a town-hall in Waterloo on Dec 12; and 1,200 at a town-hall in Mt. Vernon, Iowa on December 13.

This isn't even peak caucus season.

I'd say the Sander's trajectory is nowhere but up. His crowd sizes in Iowa, this far out, are better than Obama's and so are his number of donations. Incredible.

Major league, indeed!

upaloopa

(11,417 posts)
44. Hillary doesn't do events like that.
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 04:42 PM
Dec 2015

Here's what is going to happen I think.

On caucus night it will be cold and wet.
Hillary's seniors and women and folks over 45 will show up.

Bernie's 20 something's will not want to go out into the cold and will stay home and complain that they couldn't caucus on line.

CoffeeCat

(24,411 posts)
62. It costs very little...
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 05:09 PM
Dec 2015

...to host a campaign rally in a college gymnasium or at a high school.

Those facilities probably allow the candidates to use them for free or at very little cost.

Hillary did hold her "Fighting For Us" town hall at the Sullivan Brothers Convention Center in Waterloo. That's a private enterprise that most likely cost more than the college auditoriums and high-school gymnasiums where Bernie holds his rallies.

I doubt cost is an issue for Hillary.

It appears that she cannot fill the space. It's interesting that Bernie is.

Maybe that will change as the caucus campaigns move into peak season in January?

 

libdem4life

(13,877 posts)
80. There are more costs than room rental. Staff, equipment, labor, energy, and worst of all
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 06:26 PM
Dec 2015

disappointment. Bill had a couple of poorly attended events and they cancelled the rest.

I still like Bill, flaws and all, but he doesn't look well. I know he has lost weight, but something is missing. He almost looks confused and it's no secret that Hillary has highly trusted people surrounding him.

I'm going to guess this is why Chelsea is coming fully into the campaign, with such a young baby ... to replace her Dad.

CoffeeCat

(24,411 posts)
90. But the Hillary campaign...
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 09:51 PM
Dec 2015

...should have no problem affording any costs associated with heavy campaigning.

I am convinced that her small venues are due to poor attendance. There is video of one of her Iowa events in a small venue, and there were empty seats.

Her events get 200-300 attendees; whereas Bernie is getting 1,000+. 2000 at one rally in conservative Dubuque. They actually had to pull in maintenance people to expand the space to accommodate everyone.

Bernie's Waterloo, IA event brought in 1,250. It was standing room only, and the event was held in a university town during during finals week. Hillary's Waterloo event, a few days before Bernie's only had 300 people.

It seems worse for her in Iowa than in 2008.

I am very sorry to hear that about Bill Clinton. I hope he is ok. Did he also do events in Iowa? Were they poorly attended? I know he appeared at a pre-JJ rally with Katy Perry, before Hillary took the stage.

Sorry to hear that he may not be doing well. Chelsea will be a terrific campaigner, I'm sure.

 

libdem4life

(13,877 posts)
92. I'm surely no Clinton insider, but I read a lot. IIRC, it was in Iowa that the situation
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 10:24 PM
Dec 2015

evolved where he was the Headliner and few came and they cancelled. The Clintons are surely a resourceful family, to be sure.

 

libdem4life

(13,877 posts)
96. True, so probably the issue is, as you stated, lack of attendance.
Thu Dec 17, 2015, 10:48 AM
Dec 2015

I don't remember where it was, but it was a few days ago. Seems likely it would be Iowa, however. But it does seem to begin to be a pattern.

Could also be that Hillary people have made up their minds and don't need to see her in person. In contrast, Bernie is a new national figure, so more would go? He sure has full houses and lots of enthusiastic voters. Myself, I'm voting for him and don't bother to click on speeches ... I know what he stands for and agree wholeheartedly.

I was wondering how the Iowa appearances for Bernie went...thanks for the info. Sounds like they are continuing to fill venues. Is it curiosity, or an indication of climbing in the polls.

As for Chelsea, who was an only child, leaving her 1-year old...which she'll pretty much have to do...will be so hard. I mean that's when babies start making the most incredible progress in their lives...learning to talk, to walk, to bond, to understand the gestures and emotions of the people around them, etc.

CoffeeCat

(24,411 posts)
97. After you mentioned that about Bill Clinton...
Thu Dec 17, 2015, 11:37 AM
Dec 2015

...I watched his pre-JJ dinner speech that he gave for Hillary, before Katy Perry took the stage.

I thought he did very well. He's not 40 anymore. I did notice some "hiccups" and a couple of times where he trailed off, but I think he still did very well. He does not seem as sharp as he was just a few years ago. He's the same age as Donald Trump and Bill seems a bit more weathered. I really hope he is ok.

As for Bernie's appearances, he is drawing monster crowds. The peak caucus season in Iowa will be in January--because the caucuses are Feb 1 this year. So, November was relatively quiet and December we're seeing more events.

Bernie had nine events in Iowa during the first half of December; 3 of which were "town-hall" style rallies. They were very well attended--2000 in Dubuque, 1450 in Waterloo and 1125 in Mt Vernon. Clinton's 3 rallies (during the same time frame) garnered 200, 400 and 200 attendees.

I would say lots of supporters means enthusiasm and interest. Bottom line--it all depends on who shows up at the caucuses.

CoffeeCat

(24,411 posts)
56. While I enjoy sarcasm as much as the next person...
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 04:57 PM
Dec 2015

"Hillary doesn't do events like that" is quite the spin.

She's had three Iowa town halls--"Fighting For Us Town Hall"--Two were held on December 9 and one on December 4.

200, 300 and 400 attended.

Bernie held the same style of event in Iowa in December. Town Halls.

They garnered 2,000, 1450 and 1125.

The Bernie rally in Dubuque, where 2000 attended, had to be moved to a larger auditorium to accommodate all of the RSVPs.

Looking at those rallies/numbers--Just under 1,000 people went to Clinton's rallies; 4,500 for Bernie.

That's...quite illuminating.

 

Duval

(4,280 posts)
66. My 22 year old twin granddaughters who
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 05:31 PM
Dec 2015

graduated from college last May are fired up about Bernie and so are some of their friends. So, don't count on these 20 somethings staying home no matter the weather. I hope other young people will remember that it is an honor as well as a duty to vote.

Paka

(2,760 posts)
87. Not sure where you are coming from.
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 07:58 PM
Dec 2015

I'm a woman in my 70's and it takes a lot of enthusiasm to get me out in nasty weather. Back when I was 20 something, hurricanes and tornadoes wouldn't stop me from going out. There is a youthful energy factor that fades a bit over the years.

However,even old as sin I would be out to support Bernie.

Thinkingabout

(30,058 posts)
33. It is not how the Hillary campaign is working, her campaign is as active as if she was the underdog.
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 04:29 PM
Dec 2015

I have never bought into the coronation talking point but it continues. Her poll numbers are good but we will work onward.

bvar22

(39,909 posts)
78. No.
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 06:17 PM
Dec 2015

If Hillary thought she were an "underdog",
she would be screaming at her friend (and head of the DNC)Debbie Schultz to schedule more debates to get her some face time.

The current strategy of hiding and marginalizing debates is incredibly arrogant.
Giving away hours and hours and hours of FREE Prime Time TV will come back to bite later with a Republican WIN in 2016.

Thinkingabout

(30,058 posts)
84. That's strange, when Sanders was ahead in the polls there was a lot of screaming here on DU
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 06:48 PM
Dec 2015

to have more debates, demanding Hillary call DWS and demand more debates, what happened? After the first two debates and Sanders did not show well I expected the demand that Hillary call DWS and demand less debates.

When the campaigns first started I said each candidate had to sell themselves to the voters, it still remains the same today. Each candidate has the opportunity to gather a good campaign team to guide the day to day operations and then get good volunteers to work in the campaign trail and do the door to door operation. Maybe to look at the campaign team to see where the downfalls are rather than criticize Hillary's campaign team. You can't change what you don't acknowledge.

postatomic

(1,771 posts)
65. You certainly picked the apple you liked
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 05:28 PM
Dec 2015

I'd encourage others to actually read the entire article.

There have been other Hillary supporters who have made like comments.

No one in the Hillary campaign is taking Iowa for granted. I know I'm not. Nor are the people we have organized outside of Iowa.

This statement made by a County Chair in Iowa is one shared by many Democrats in the state:

Walt Pregler, the 81-year-old Democratic chairman of Dubuque County, Iowa, is a party activist, a proud union member and makes it his job every presidential season to turn out Democratic caucusgoers within his region.

He’s just not going to be turning them out for Sen. Bernard Sanders.

“I’m a good union man, and he’s a scab. He’s always been outside looking in,” Mr. Pregler said, referring to Mr. Sanders, who has served in Congress as an independent, declining to identify as a Democrat — a fact that irks Mr. Pregler, who has been working within the party apparatus for decades.

George II

(67,782 posts)
67. Of course he's going to say things like that, it would be silly not to say something like that....
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 05:34 PM
Dec 2015

....two years ago our State Representative ran UNOPPOSED yet we still campaigned for him, printed flyers and mailers, ran ads in the newspapers and had lawn signs.

It's in politicians' DNA to work hard on campaigns, no matter how "slam dunk" a campaign may be.

MisterP

(23,730 posts)
76. they're in sort of a bind, though: they have to pretend it's just a runup to the general--that the
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 06:00 PM
Dec 2015

real opponent is Trump, that this is just another Kucinich run that doesn't need to have any attention paid to it

but now Sanders rises if he's ignored AND if he's attacked: he can stay above the fray OR get in a lot of good hits; meanwhile nothing works for Clinton (i.e., whether they treat it as a primary fight, or whether they pretend there's no primary going on at all)

SandersDem

(592 posts)
77. Sssssshhhhhhhh
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 06:11 PM
Dec 2015

Based on HRC supporters posts here at DU, I suspect they will not agree with this statement. HRC supporters pease carry on with your important work hiding and flagging posts.

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