2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumBrand Spanking New Monmouth University Nat'l Poll-HRC-59% SBS 26% MOM 4%
West Long Branch, NJ Hillary Clintons substantial lead over Bernie Sanders in the latest
national Monmouth University Poll is basically unchanged from October. Most Democrats and
Democratic-leaning voters would be satisfied with Clinton as the nominee, even if they are not currently
supporting her in the party contest.
Clinton currently has the support of 59% of Democrats nationwide, which is similar to the 57%
support she held in October right after the first debate. Sanders gets 26% support, which is basically
unchanged from his 24% support two months ago. Martin OMalley has 4% support, up from 1%.
Clinton successfully ran the gauntlet this fall, appearing before the Benghazi Committee and
outlasting the specter of a Biden candidacy. She really hasnt lost ground since then, said Patrick
Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute in West Long Branch, NJ.
http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995/30064771087/886fdcf9-30c4-4b42-bf69-7abb6729418b.pdf
The Monmouth University Poll was sponsored and conducted by the Monmouth University Polling Institute from December
10 to 13, 2015 with a national random sample of 1,006 adults age 18 and older. This includes 654 contacted by a live
interviewer on a landline telephone and 352 contacted by a live interviewer on a cell phone, in English. Monmouth is
responsible for all aspects of the survey design, data weighting and analysis. Final sample is weighted for region, age,
education, gender and race based on US Census information. Data collection support provided by Braun Research (field) and
SSI (RDD sample). The results in this poll release are based on a subsample of 374 registered voters who identify themselves
as Democrats or lean toward the Democratic Party. For results based on this sample, one can say with 95% confidence that
the error attributable to sampling has a maximum margin of plus or minus 5.1 percentage points (unadjusted for sample
design). Sampling error can be larger for sub-groups (see table below). In addition to sampling error, one should bear in mind
that question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of opinion
polls.
Notquite
(35 posts)Sanders' unlikely voters are way more excited on Twitter.
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)GO HILLARY!!
Historic NY
(37,452 posts)Clinton scores a 73% favorable and 15% unfavorable rating now, compared to 77% 18%in October.
Sanders earns a 59% favorable and 16% unfavorable rating, compared to 60% 11% two months ago.
OMalley has a 18% favorable and 18% unfavorable rating, with 63% of Democrats nationwide still
having no opinion of him
Hillary still leads.
BlueCheese
(2,522 posts)Poor fellow.
firebrand80
(2,760 posts)upaloopa
(11,417 posts)We use to hang out there when I was at Ft Monmouth NJ in 1967.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)!
upaloopa
(11,417 posts)I am not much of an organizer but I could start a facebook page.
comradebillyboy
(10,164 posts)Sancho
(9,070 posts)George II
(67,782 posts)oasis
(49,394 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)EOM
oasis
(49,394 posts)Sancho
(9,070 posts)Human101948
(3,457 posts)if this is indicative of what happens in 2016.
upaloopa
(11,417 posts)call status quo and big money when conducting polls.
They call real live people just like you.
JaneyVee
(19,877 posts)JaneyVee
(19,877 posts)brooklynite
(94,635 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)EOM
randome
(34,845 posts)We don't use no stinkin' numbers 'round these parts! We use feelings! Now trump that! (Just not, you know, with TheRealDonaldTrump.)
[hr][font color="blue"][center]TECT in the name of the Representative approves of this post.[/center][/font][hr]
azurnoir
(45,850 posts)1,006 adults in the United States. This release is based on a voter sample of 374 registered voters who
identify themselves as Democrats or lean toward the Democratic Party. This voter sample has a margin
of error of +5.1 percent. The poll was conducted by the Monmouth University Polling Institute in West
Long Branch, NJ.
http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995/30064771087/886fdcf9-30c4-4b42-bf69-7abb6729418b.pdf
Godhumor
(6,437 posts)374 were asked questions specific to the Democratic nomination.
Most pollsters that poll both sides of the race do the same to maximize bang for the buck.
Gamecock Lefty
(700 posts)the Berniebots come calling! Like clockwork! Maybe they should be called BernieSkewedBots!!!
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)comradebillyboy
(10,164 posts)upaloopa
(11,417 posts)people.
I don't mean to detract from what you say.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)What's good for the goose is good for the gander.
Gothmog
(145,413 posts)Alfresco
(1,698 posts)R B Garr
(16,957 posts)Awesome.