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DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 01:45 PM Dec 2015

Brand Spanking New Monmouth University Nat'l Poll-HRC-59% SBS 26% MOM 4%




West Long Branch, NJ – Hillary Clinton’s substantial lead over Bernie Sanders in the latest
national Monmouth University Poll is basically unchanged from October. Most Democrats and
Democratic-leaning voters would be satisfied with Clinton as the nominee, even if they are not currently
supporting her in the party contest.
Clinton currently has the support of 59% of Democrats nationwide, which is similar to the 57%
support she held in October right after the first debate. Sanders gets 26% support, which is basically
unchanged from his 24% support two months ago. Martin O’Malley has 4% support, up from 1%.
“Clinton successfully ran the gauntlet this fall, appearing before the Benghazi Committee and
outlasting the specter of a Biden candidacy. She really hasn’t lost ground since then,” said Patrick
Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute in West Long Branch, NJ.

http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995/30064771087/886fdcf9-30c4-4b42-bf69-7abb6729418b.pdf


ROBUST CELL PHONE-LANDLINE METHODOLOGY


The Monmouth University Poll was sponsored and conducted by the Monmouth University Polling Institute from December
10 to 13, 2015 with a national random sample of 1,006 adults age 18 and older. This includes 654 contacted by a live
interviewer on a landline telephone and 352 contacted by a live interviewer on a cell phone, in English. Monmouth is
responsible for all aspects of the survey design, data weighting and analysis. Final sample is weighted for region, age,
education, gender and race based on US Census information. Data collection support provided by Braun Research (field) and
SSI (RDD sample). The results in this poll release are based on a subsample of 374 registered voters who identify themselves
as Democrats or lean toward the Democratic Party. For results based on this sample, one can say with 95% confidence that
the error attributable to sampling has a maximum margin of plus or minus 5.1 percentage points (unadjusted for sample
design). Sampling error can be larger for sub-groups (see table below). In addition to sampling error, one should bear in mind
that question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of opinion
polls.






34 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Brand Spanking New Monmouth University Nat'l Poll-HRC-59% SBS 26% MOM 4% (Original Post) DemocratSinceBirth Dec 2015 OP
Skewed Notquite Dec 2015 #1
Love seeing these numbers!!!! NurseJackie Dec 2015 #2
Attention Bernie Unskewers: This poll needs help workinclasszero Dec 2015 #3
Personal ratings for the Democratic field have held basically steady over the past two month Historic NY Dec 2015 #4
63% still have no opinion of O'Malley? BlueCheese Dec 2015 #16
I watch college football all the time, I've never heard of that school nt firebrand80 Dec 2015 #5
It is near Red Bank and Elizabeth NJ IIRC upaloopa Dec 2015 #6
You should start a Vets for Hillary group DemocratSinceBirth Dec 2015 #7
Sounds like a good idea upaloopa Dec 2015 #8
I'm a veteran and I would join a vets for Hillary group nt comradebillyboy Dec 2015 #24
You've never heard of the Hawks?? Sancho Dec 2015 #11
It's just north of Central New Jersey. They're not known for football, if they even have a team. George II Dec 2015 #20
Comfortable lead. nt oasis Dec 2015 #9
Are you suggesting she can't feel the Vermont independent not breathing down his neck? DemocratSinceBirth Dec 2015 #10
A tiny dot in the rear view mirror. nt oasis Dec 2015 #30
Maybe time to repost the coping strategies?! Sancho Dec 2015 #12
No...time to feel sad that the status quo and big money wins once again... Human101948 Dec 2015 #26
Contrary to popular belief pollsters don't upaloopa Dec 2015 #28
K AND R! JaneyVee Dec 2015 #13
57-26. Still, +31 is good news! JaneyVee Dec 2015 #14
Up from 48-21 in October brooklynite Dec 2015 #15
And they call cell phone and land line users as most reputable pollster do nowadays. DemocratSinceBirth Dec 2015 #17
Aw, you and your high-falutin', elitist numbers! randome Dec 2015 #18
interesting wording here azurnoir Dec 2015 #19
Not really. Total people polled across all spectrums was 1006 Godhumor Dec 2015 #23
Polls Favor Hillary and . . . Gamecock Lefty Dec 2015 #21
Are you suggesting math has a pro Hillary bias? DemocratSinceBirth Dec 2015 #22
At DU it does...nt comradebillyboy Dec 2015 #25
I'm hoping we stop using "bots" when referring to upaloopa Dec 2015 #29
I (kind) of agree but they don't treat us nice. DemocratSinceBirth Dec 2015 #34
Yet more great polling numbers for Hillary Clinton Gothmog Dec 2015 #27
HRC #45, You know it, I know it. Alfresco Dec 2015 #31
K & R! R B Garr Dec 2015 #32
An Acknowledging Reality Kick Alfresco Dec 2015 #33

Historic NY

(37,452 posts)
4. Personal ratings for the Democratic field have held basically steady over the past two month
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 02:10 PM
Dec 2015

Clinton scores a 73% favorable and 15% unfavorable rating now, compared to 77% –18%in October.

Sanders earns a 59% favorable and 16% unfavorable rating, compared to 60% –11% two months ago.

O’Malley has a 18% favorable and 18% unfavorable rating, with 63% of Democrats nationwide still
having no opinion of him

Hillary still leads.

upaloopa

(11,417 posts)
6. It is near Red Bank and Elizabeth NJ IIRC
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 02:45 PM
Dec 2015

We use to hang out there when I was at Ft Monmouth NJ in 1967.

 

Human101948

(3,457 posts)
26. No...time to feel sad that the status quo and big money wins once again...
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 05:36 PM
Dec 2015

if this is indicative of what happens in 2016.

upaloopa

(11,417 posts)
28. Contrary to popular belief pollsters don't
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 05:46 PM
Dec 2015

call status quo and big money when conducting polls.

They call real live people just like you.

 

randome

(34,845 posts)
18. Aw, you and your high-falutin', elitist numbers!
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 04:05 PM
Dec 2015

We don't use no stinkin' numbers 'round these parts! We use feelings! Now trump that! (Just not, you know, with TheRealDonaldTrump.)
[hr][font color="blue"][center]TECT in the name of the Representative approves of this post.[/center][/font][hr]

azurnoir

(45,850 posts)
19. interesting wording here
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 04:18 PM
Dec 2015
The Monmouth University Poll was conducted by telephone from December 10 to 13, 2015 with
1,006 adults in the United States. This release is based on a voter sample of 374 registered voters who
identify themselves as Democrats or lean toward the Democratic Party. This voter sample has a margin
of error of +5.1 percent. The poll was conducted by the Monmouth University Polling Institute in West
Long Branch, NJ.


http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995/30064771087/886fdcf9-30c4-4b42-bf69-7abb6729418b.pdf

Godhumor

(6,437 posts)
23. Not really. Total people polled across all spectrums was 1006
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 04:55 PM
Dec 2015

374 were asked questions specific to the Democratic nomination.

Most pollsters that poll both sides of the race do the same to maximize bang for the buck.

Gamecock Lefty

(700 posts)
21. Polls Favor Hillary and . . .
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 04:38 PM
Dec 2015

the Berniebots come calling! Like clockwork! Maybe they should be called BernieSkewedBots!!!

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