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MaggieD

(7,393 posts)
Wed Dec 9, 2015, 11:05 PM Dec 2015

Why Bernie Sanders Can't Win

This is a great article and I think the conclusion is spot on. Personally, I don't think most Democrats blame other Democrats for this current state of affairs. I think they blame the right people - the republican party.

TL;DR version: Bernie is ranting at the wrong people.

....."But from what we’ve seen in our data, that revolution isn’t coming. That’s not because voters aren’t angry—they are. In fact, in our research, voter anger was dialed up to 11. But it wasn’t a rigged economy they were frothing over. It was politicians, government, campaigns, and Congress that they viewed with contempt. “The political system is rigged,” said a Democratic primary voter in Pittsburgh. And insofar as voters saw a stacked deck in America, the crooked dealer was Washington. “The U.S. Constitution is the most beautiful document ever written, but politics keeps it from working,” lamented another Democratic primary voter from Denver. This sentiment was everywhere in our focus groups."



Read more: http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2015/12/bernie-sanders-2016-why-sanders-cant-win-213414#ixzz3tsllnsQB

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Why Bernie Sanders Can't Win (Original Post) MaggieD Dec 2015 OP
Authors are ALL upper echelon Third Way. AtomicKitten Dec 2015 #1
I know I am! onehandle Dec 2015 #3
Wait, these polls were conducted by Third Way? HerbChestnut Dec 2015 #4
The Third Way figured out that people are mad at a corrupt DC? Mnpaul Dec 2015 #69
Nice argument. He can't win. Got it. HerbChestnut Dec 2015 #2
How about offering a thoughtful explanation about how he can? brooklynite Dec 2015 #76
Why bother. HerbChestnut Dec 2015 #78
Excellent idea! brooklynite Dec 2015 #82
That's the spirit. HerbChestnut Dec 2015 #84
With real votes, cast on real ballots, by real people, in voting booths. cherokeeprogressive Dec 2015 #86
By winning a majority in the Electoral College. Ken Burch Dec 2015 #119
Hard to do that if you're not nominated... brooklynite Dec 2015 #121
I'll get the lights. bvf Dec 2015 #87
If voters are fed up with "politicians, government, campaigns, and Congress " dflprincess Dec 2015 #5
He's been in congress for 25 years MaggieD Dec 2015 #8
He has always been an outsider AgingAmerican Dec 2015 #12
You don't get to be there 25 yrs and call yourself an outsider VanillaRhapsody Dec 2015 #19
Wallowing at the public trough for 25 years without much to show for it, he's not an outsider Sheepshank Dec 2015 #114
He sold his vote to the Democrats in 1989 so they would not run a viable Democrat against him. seabeyond Dec 2015 #22
Exactly MaggieD Dec 2015 #24
He has always been an outsider AgingAmerican Dec 2015 #50
He played an insider game, to be able to play the outsider. seabeyond Dec 2015 #55
No he is not.... VanillaRhapsody Dec 2015 #104
Hold on here... angrychair Dec 2015 #89
25 yrs.... VanillaRhapsody Dec 2015 #105
Bernie won't win because Americans like a gigantic national debt, plus being in debt up... BlueJazz Dec 2015 #6
That's the long and short of it, yup. Juicy_Bellows Dec 2015 #13
Aw..Thank you! BlueJazz Dec 2015 #16
That's a conservative critique...That's why Sanders message is important Armstead Dec 2015 #7
I think most people like to believe in opportunity MaggieD Dec 2015 #14
Rush Limbaugh -- "Support the Rich because someday you might be rich" Armstead Dec 2015 #15
Do you really think your fellow Dems want a rigged system? MaggieD Dec 2015 #18
Some Dems want a rigged system, not all Dems, your choice. nt slipslidingaway Dec 2015 #21
You wouldn't know it from reading here MaggieD Dec 2015 #27
There is a wide world outside of DU :) nt slipslidingaway Dec 2015 #57
That's my point MaggieD Dec 2015 #60
See post #1, I would never give credence to the Third Way ... slipslidingaway Dec 2015 #77
So you don't like Obama, you don't like... MaggieD Dec 2015 #81
Yes I hate all Dems and love the other guys, our country was 'slipping' under Bush ... slipslidingaway Dec 2015 #91
As you should. I for one wont settle for hillary goldman-sachs clinton. Bubzer Dec 2015 #97
Thx, but we need to tread carefully ... slipslidingaway Dec 2015 #98
Some do Armstead Dec 2015 #28
YES! jeff47 Dec 2015 #32
The Hillary campaign, the DNC and the Third Way all do AgingAmerican Dec 2015 #56
I get it. Wilms Dec 2015 #9
... slipslidingaway Dec 2015 #17
Thank you for risking a hide to post this. eom MohRokTah Dec 2015 #10
Lol. The victim mentality is hilarious. morningfog Dec 2015 #33
My stalkers are hilarious. eom MohRokTah Dec 2015 #34
Oh, yes. They're all so PEEEEERRRRRRSECUTED. It's just awful! kath Dec 2015 #38
. beerandjesus Dec 2015 #37
Still open 20 hrs later TSIAS Dec 2015 #107
. MohRokTah Dec 2015 #112
It's something to make thinking people think. NurseJackie Dec 2015 #11
Gee, I thought you specifically wrote to those people... MrMickeysMom Dec 2015 #20
Snort. kath Dec 2015 #39
LOL! NurseJackie Dec 2015 #45
Because Of People Like You... WillyT Dec 2015 #23
Yes, I often write articles railing against things that are impossible. jeff47 Dec 2015 #25
Well what is your theory on why Bernie is losing in almost.... MaggieD Dec 2015 #31
Why do I need a theory? jeff47 Dec 2015 #36
Kick & rec for the 3rd way authors. Rofl. PowerToThePeople Dec 2015 #26
Soe interesting information at the end of the article. Kodak gave up 145,000 employees because Thinkingabout Dec 2015 #29
Yes, the whole article is interesting, and it brings up.... MaggieD Dec 2015 #35
Feet struck in cement. Thinkingabout Dec 2015 #40
H1B visas are a disincentive for Americans to get STEM degrees. Eric J in MN Dec 2015 #46
I don't think you understand H1B visas then MaggieD Dec 2015 #52
More workers = fewer salary increases = lower prevailing wages. NT Eric J in MN Dec 2015 #54
Even if that dubious statement were true MaggieD Dec 2015 #59
If we had tuition-free state universities, Eric J in MN Dec 2015 #65
There you go again... MaggieD Dec 2015 #83
confiscatory taxes in exchange for the government taking care of them? Lazy Daisy Dec 2015 #99
Hi. I write software for a living. I know a lot about H1B visas. jeff47 Dec 2015 #92
I can speak a bit about them, as my ex was here on an H1B. zigby Dec 2015 #101
No. The program is now a vehicle for outsourcing high-tech jobs overseas Turn CO Blue Dec 2015 #102
The reality is that our corporations are exporting STEM jobs. Better to go into politics, or law. reformist2 Dec 2015 #68
Same argument could be used for, "Why Hillary Clinton Can't Win." Eric J in MN Dec 2015 #30
Perhaps -- that could be a discussion as well MaggieD Dec 2015 #42
Except the Third Way knows that when Hillary starts talking like a Populist dflprincess Dec 2015 #43
Yeah, maybe they're so sure of Hillary Clinton's insincerity Eric J in MN Dec 2015 #47
She was the 11th most liberal senator in the senate... MaggieD Dec 2015 #49
Do you agree with the article? Eric J in MN Dec 2015 #51
That's not what the article says.... MaggieD Dec 2015 #53
The article also refers to policies Eric J in MN Dec 2015 #63
As the article says.... MaggieD Dec 2015 #71
Actually the crooked dealers are the great corporations and the wealthy - that's who controls Triana Dec 2015 #41
Well it's a chicken or the egg discussion, so... MaggieD Dec 2015 #48
K^R Cha Dec 2015 #44
if i may borrow a phrase from another campaign... Scootaloo Dec 2015 #58
I think you're going to be very disappointed MaggieD Dec 2015 #62
One would imagine that the "upset" parties are the ones cranking out angry OP's about it every 5 min Scootaloo Dec 2015 #70
I think it's a good article for some actual "thinking style" discussion MaggieD Dec 2015 #73
Funny, the article doesn't invite discussion Scootaloo Dec 2015 #75
So I Guess They're So Angry That They'll Just Elect More Of The Same.... global1 Dec 2015 #61
You think? MaggieD Dec 2015 #64
Brings up some interesting points about polling. JaneyVee Dec 2015 #66
Blah Ba-Blah Blah. Ba-Blah Ba-Blah Ba-Blah! longship Dec 2015 #67
Well then they've been misguided very well. highprincipleswork Dec 2015 #72
Several copycat threads will be coming up hahahaha n/t cosmicone Dec 2015 #74
Blah, de-Blah, de-Blah-Blah. De-Blah-Blah de-Blah de-Blah! nt longship Dec 2015 #79
Who was that guy, SheilaT Dec 2015 #80
.... Kalidurga Dec 2015 #85
Name recognition and super-delegates. Ho hum. cherokeeprogressive Dec 2015 #88
rec riversedge Dec 2015 #90
POLITICO HAHAHAHAH jkbRN Dec 2015 #93
Sanders cant win shwnrob Dec 2015 #94
"Suicide watch" bvf Dec 2015 #100
Perhaps it's not meant literally (as in taking one's own life) but figuratively ... NurseJackie Dec 2015 #109
Perhaps you're presuming to speak for somebody else. bvf Dec 2015 #115
Does that bother you? NurseJackie Dec 2015 #116
Nope. Not in the least. bvf Dec 2015 #120
What does it say? NurseJackie Dec 2015 #122
A sincere question deserves a sincere response. bvf Dec 2015 #123
That depends on the question. NurseJackie Dec 2015 #125
Welcome TSIAS Dec 2015 #108
Thank Goddess that you're keeping an unrelenting eye on his insignificance MannyGoldstein Dec 2015 #95
Makes perfect sense to me. nt oasis Dec 2015 #96
Because he can't win the Dem primary much less the general. McCamy Taylor Dec 2015 #103
From the article: "'It clearly panders to the lowest R B Garr Dec 2015 #106
The more important question is: can Hillary win? Vinca Dec 2015 #110
Bye, Felicia! TSIAS Dec 2015 #111
^^^ This is what makes DU suck. MeNMyVolt Dec 2015 #113
Yet here you are. bvf Dec 2015 #124
Oh, dear, we won't be hearing from her until the 24th of February or so. kath Dec 2015 #117
Politico? I thought HRC supporters were offended by right-wing sources for OP's. n/t. Ken Burch Dec 2015 #118
LMAO!!!Yes keep hoping.....its going repeat of 2008 bowens43 Dec 2015 #126
Bernie Sanders Favorability "Almost Unheard of" gordyfl Dec 2015 #127
Even if that wasn't a titanic load of BS, I'd still vote for him. Jester Messiah Dec 2015 #128
 

AtomicKitten

(46,585 posts)
1. Authors are ALL upper echelon Third Way.
Wed Dec 9, 2015, 11:07 PM
Dec 2015

Know your propagandists:

William Daley, Board of Trustees Third Way.
Jonathan Cowan, President and Co-Founder Third Way.
Lanae Erickson Hatalsky, Vice President Third Way.

onehandle

(51,122 posts)
3. I know I am!
Wed Dec 9, 2015, 11:09 PM
Dec 2015

I'm a Third Way Flunky That Did Not Vote for Hillary in 2008!

WooHoooo?

92% chance for Hillary to win the primary.

Less than eight weeks before the 'Not Hillary' Party loses its first primary.

Mnpaul

(3,655 posts)
69. The Third Way figured out that people are mad at a corrupt DC?
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 12:23 AM
Dec 2015

are they coming to the realization that corrupting the Democratic Party was a bad idea?

can we expect them to admit that their policies are driving this as well?

 

HerbChestnut

(3,649 posts)
78. Why bother.
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 12:42 AM
Dec 2015

A typical argument from some Hillary supporters here is that he can't win, and they never back it up. It's just an attempt to depress enthusiasm, and it's very cynical. How about instead of worrying so much about Bernie you focus on your own candidate?

brooklynite

(94,634 posts)
82. Excellent idea!
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 12:50 AM
Dec 2015

My candidate is ahead in every State (yes, I'm aware of the latest NH poll: but I don't cherry pick single polls, I look at the aggregates, where she's led in 6 of the last ten), she's got great ground teams and the financial resources to support them, and she's the choice of almost every elected official in the Party, even the progressives.

 

cherokeeprogressive

(24,853 posts)
86. With real votes, cast on real ballots, by real people, in voting booths.
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 01:01 AM
Dec 2015

Hillary's ONLY claim to high poll numbers is name recognition.

brooklynite

(94,634 posts)
121. Hard to do that if you're not nominated...
Fri Dec 11, 2015, 12:31 AM
Dec 2015

...tell us which States comprising a majority of Delegates he can win?

I know Clinton can win States in the North, South, Midwest and West. I know Sanders can win Vermont.

dflprincess

(28,080 posts)
5. If voters are fed up with "politicians, government, campaigns, and Congress "
Wed Dec 9, 2015, 11:12 PM
Dec 2015

why would they reject the one that's bucking the system in favor of one that's business as usual?

 

VanillaRhapsody

(21,115 posts)
19. You don't get to be there 25 yrs and call yourself an outsider
Wed Dec 9, 2015, 11:27 PM
Dec 2015

He has been and still is a career politician. Only thin about him "outside" is the fact that he is a Socialist......an opposing all Capitalism Democratic Socialist.

Otherwise he is just a regulation Socialist Democrat that doesn't

Which did you mean?

 

Sheepshank

(12,504 posts)
114. Wallowing at the public trough for 25 years without much to show for it, he's not an outsider
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 06:43 PM
Dec 2015

he's an establishment career politician.

angrychair

(8,717 posts)
89. Hold on here...
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 01:03 AM
Dec 2015

All of you beat him up about not getting any endorsements from the mainstream Dems in Congress and he has spent his career fighting the system. He has never had a SuperPAC.
Despite that he is an insider?
Don't think that word means what you think it does.

 

BlueJazz

(25,348 posts)
6. Bernie won't win because Americans like a gigantic national debt, plus being in debt up...
Wed Dec 9, 2015, 11:12 PM
Dec 2015

...to and including their ass, having a disgusting health uncare system, not being paid what they are worth, have short vacations, crooked election,s a public transportation and infrastructure that's a joke, a lying right-wing media and a host of other goodies. THAT's why Bernie can't win.

 

Armstead

(47,803 posts)
7. That's a conservative critique...That's why Sanders message is important
Wed Dec 9, 2015, 11:13 PM
Dec 2015

For decades conservatives -- republican and democrat -- have been saying government is the problem.

No the problem is government that has been corrupted by Big Money/Monopolistic Corporations/Wall St. and Selfish Oligarchs.

That's what progressives are trying to overcome. That conservative impression that the problem is government -- when its corporations that are outsourcing jobs, rigging markets,m tanking the economy, screwing workers and consumers, etc.

Until the democratic party leadership stops parroting the GOP line they are going to be irrelevant to meaningful change.

 

MaggieD

(7,393 posts)
14. I think most people like to believe in opportunity
Wed Dec 9, 2015, 11:19 PM
Dec 2015

And the idea that they can be successful in a fair system. So their solution is not "let's pay confiscatory taxes and let the government take care of me."

They want the same chance to be successful and wealthy. They don't want the system dismantled - they want it to stop being rigged. And I don't think any mainstream Dem voter thinks Democrats are a big reason why it is rigged. I know Bernie supporters here seem to, but I just can't see that most Dem voters think that way. No liberal I know in real life thinks that.

Most of us abhor the republican party and see it for what it is - a party whose reason for being is to rig the system. I think a lot of you are just wrong about where the real problem is.

 

Armstead

(47,803 posts)
15. Rush Limbaugh -- "Support the Rich because someday you might be rich"
Wed Dec 9, 2015, 11:21 PM
Dec 2015

Same crap...only slightly modified

 

MaggieD

(7,393 posts)
60. That's my point
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 12:09 AM
Dec 2015

I think DU is a bubble, but sometimes the collective seems to forget that. It definitely is not typical of the average Dem / Dem leaning voter.

slipslidingaway

(21,210 posts)
77. See post #1, I would never give credence to the Third Way ...
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 12:37 AM
Dec 2015

"Authors are ALL upper echelon Third Way.

Know your propagandists:


William Daley, Board of Trustees Third Way.
Jonathan Cowan, President and Co-Founder Third Way.
Lanae Erickson Hatalsky, Vice President Third Way. "


 

MaggieD

(7,393 posts)
81. So you don't like Obama, you don't like...
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 12:50 AM
Dec 2015

... the people that worked for him, and you don't seem to like most Democrats. Why did you decide to join here then? I'm sincerely curious.

slipslidingaway

(21,210 posts)
91. Yes I hate all Dems and love the other guys, our country was 'slipping' under Bush ...
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 01:09 AM
Dec 2015

so that is when I joined the Dem "underground" which was much more underground back then.

The party Dems did nothing to hold Bush accountable and said 'we need to look forward.'

How many decades do you watch the same game being played before you say enough, the game is rigged?

So I will not always raise the "party flag" and be a cheerleader, unlike some Repubs and Dems, and will challenge our party to do better.





slipslidingaway

(21,210 posts)
98. Thx, but we need to tread carefully ...
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 02:24 AM
Dec 2015

this is not so much an underground website as the name might imply.

Although I think there is a need to challenge both parties, some do not agree.




jeff47

(26,549 posts)
32. YES!
Wed Dec 9, 2015, 11:38 PM
Dec 2015

They're desperately fighting for it. There's several cases of interference in a lot of primaries to hurt the "wrong" kind of Democrat. Including the current DNC chairwoman in at least 3 races in Florida. Heck, she intervened to help a Republican.

At the local level, they're making sure local ballots have blanks on them instead of the "wrong" kind of Democrat. A county party literally took away a seat on their board because the "wrong" kind of Democrat was likely to win it.

Am I supposed to ignore all these things I've seen with my own eyes?

TSIAS

(14,689 posts)
107. Still open 20 hrs later
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 06:30 PM
Dec 2015

And just so she doesn't waste the time with a snarky response, I do know I kicked the OP to the top.

Your Hillbot juries have hidden an anti-Hillary thread today. Haven't seen any of the pro-Hillary and anti-Bernie codswallop hidden.

jeff47

(26,549 posts)
25. Yes, I often write articles railing against things that are impossible.
Wed Dec 9, 2015, 11:34 PM
Dec 2015

It makes perfect sense to spend time writing up an article about something that is utterly impossible, instead of just letting the failure happen.



Clinton's internals must be awful.

 

MaggieD

(7,393 posts)
31. Well what is your theory on why Bernie is losing in almost....
Wed Dec 9, 2015, 11:37 PM
Dec 2015

.... every state poll, and almost no unions nor other Dems will endorse him?

jeff47

(26,549 posts)
36. Why do I need a theory?
Wed Dec 9, 2015, 11:41 PM
Dec 2015

I'm not the one screaming "IT'S IMPOSSIBLE!! STOP TRYING!!!" over and over again. Such a waste of time and money from people who claim to be the experienced ones.

Unless it isn't actually impossible.

 

PowerToThePeople

(9,610 posts)
26. Kick & rec for the 3rd way authors. Rofl.
Wed Dec 9, 2015, 11:34 PM
Dec 2015

Last edited Thu Dec 10, 2015, 01:21 AM - Edit history (1)

For an OP from an ardent Hillary supporter using a third way, ie Republican (D), article to try to discount Sanders candidacy.

Everything we have against HRC for Democratic potus is available right here.

Thank you.

Thinkingabout

(30,058 posts)
29. Soe interesting information at the end of the article. Kodak gave up 145,000 employees because
Wed Dec 9, 2015, 11:36 PM
Dec 2015

of pictures are now taken by cell phones and with digital cameras. This is a result of "technology changes", I don't hear these reasons given when talking about why there are not good jobs. I also worked in an industry who do not have the number of employees today as they did in 1990, technology as made man power not necessary. The need to reinvent ourselves by picking up on new technology. President Obama has tried to push for renewable energy, develop solar and wind power and get these installed for everyone to use. It has not happened on the scale we need. The manufacture and installation would help working people.

 

MaggieD

(7,393 posts)
35. Yes, the whole article is interesting, and it brings up....
Wed Dec 9, 2015, 11:41 PM
Dec 2015

Another huge point. Bernie seems to want to pretend the global economy is not a reality, or deny that technology changes things drastically. Instead of focusing on funding K-12 schools to qualify kids to get STEM degrees he rants about immigrants and H1B visas.

He just lives in the dark ages, IMO. And he really doesn't have a plan for the future.

Eric J in MN

(35,619 posts)
46. H1B visas are a disincentive for Americans to get STEM degrees.
Wed Dec 9, 2015, 11:50 PM
Dec 2015

Flooding the tech job market via H1B visas lowers wages.

 

MaggieD

(7,393 posts)
52. I don't think you understand H1B visas then
Wed Dec 9, 2015, 11:59 PM
Dec 2015

There are 80K per year across all industries. And so they don't "flood tech job market." Nor do they drive down wages, because the companies using them have to pay the prevailing wage for that specific job under regulation.

 

MaggieD

(7,393 posts)
59. Even if that dubious statement were true
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 12:07 AM
Dec 2015

.....are you claiming we should not prepare for the economy that is, frankly, already here?

Rail against it all you want, but that is not a solution. You want to incentivize people? Start with free college in STEM degrees. Now that is a solution.

Now you may think Bernie's solutions (such that they are) sound great. I think they sound terrible, pie in the sky, or not effective at solving the real problem.

Like I said in the OP, I think he's ranting up the wrong door.

Eric J in MN

(35,619 posts)
65. If we had tuition-free state universities,
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 12:15 AM
Dec 2015

...as Bernie Sanders wants, then people could get STEM degrees for free, along with other degrees.

Hillary Clinton hasn't said getting a STEM degree should be free.

 

MaggieD

(7,393 posts)
83. There you go again...
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 12:54 AM
Dec 2015

You honestly don't see the extremist that is Bernie, versus the progressive that is Hillary, do you?

I hate to break it to you, but most people do not want confiscatory taxes in exchange for the government taking care of them. Mainly because they do not want the government taking care of them. Some people need the government to take care of them, and every liberal is fine with that, but nobody wants the government to take care of them. Hell, they don't even trust the government.

 

Lazy Daisy

(928 posts)
99. confiscatory taxes in exchange for the government taking care of them?
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 02:33 AM
Dec 2015

I call it fair taxes in order for our country to take care of our country.

Education
Infrastructure
Healthcare

I want my government to take care of a public school system that actually educates our children
I want my government to take care of infrastructure so they are safe to use
I want my government to provide a healthcare system that doesn't exclude anybody because of lack of funds

And while we're at it.... I've often thought we'd have better police departments if they weren't constantly attacked financially.
If they were compensated better, maybe they would get better candidates who wouldn't beat, kill and rape civilians.

I'm a little tired of my government resembling an absent father figure who gives mom $40 a week to take care of the household while he spends the other $200 of his pay on partying it up. Then blame the household for not being able to provide a home HE deserves.

jeff47

(26,549 posts)
92. Hi. I write software for a living. I know a lot about H1B visas.
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 01:19 AM
Dec 2015

The only way I can think of that you could be more wrong about H1B visas is if you confused them with the credit card company.

Here's how you exploit the H1B visa:
First, you need to show that you can't find a US person for the job. You do this by seeking out people you know will not be interested. For example, I get about an email a day from recruiters, asking if I'd like an entry-level or junior-level job in a city across the country. I've never expressed any desire to live in that city on any job board. I also have 20 years experience, so I'm not going to take a job that requires 0-5 years and pays the rate for that experience.

How do I know they're H1B scams? First, the names of the recruiting companies - they are H1B mills. Second, they stop when the H1B cap is reached. One a day at the beginning of the year, and as soon as the cap is hit it goes to zero.

The goal is to get me to turn them down, or for me to not respond. That lets them claim they could not find a US person, even though they tried really hard. Honest!

That moves us on to how they avoid the prevailing wage. The job listing will claim that they want someone with say, 0-3 years experience. And they're paying for 0-3 years experience. But miracle of miracles, the person who applies via an H1B visa has 10 years experience and a masters! Boy, they really got lucky! And since he's so experienced, why they might as well just add some more duties...and more duties....and more. And now they're paying for 0-3 years experience for someone who's doing 10-years-experience-with-masters work. AKA half price.

So yes, H1Bs do depress wages. They do "flood the tech job market" - 85,000 is a significant percentage of jobs in my industry. And no, they are not "across all industries". Virtually all H1B visas are for writing software.

You also seem to be unaware of the horrific conditions of H1B visas: They only last 3-6 years. Then the person is shipped home. Which means they can not be used "to prepare for the economy that is already here".

They also are only valid as long as you work for that one employer. If you quit or are fired, you are thrown out of the country. Makes a little bit of incentive for letting management fuck you over, and management happily takes the opportunity.

This, btw, means we are not getting "the best and brightest". We're getting third-string. "The best and brightest" make more staying home, due to much lower cost-of-living. The ones that come here are getting a 3-to-6-year big payday, and then getting paid shit when they get home because they are not that good at their job.

zigby

(125 posts)
101. I can speak a bit about them, as my ex was here on an H1B.
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 04:43 AM
Dec 2015

There are really two flavors, working as intended and corporate exploit. Of the top 20 companies hosting (these companies took about 32k of the 85k), fewer than 6k of the 85k visas went to "elite" tech companies which really do hire the cream of the crop from across the globe. The rest of these companies are really H1B mills which yes pay "prevailing wage" but there's a lot of gaming going on.

For example, you were doing the equivalent of staff software engineering at a company in India, they port you over to the States and give you a salary of $61K (H1B average for 2014) and a title of "programmer". Yes, a nice salary, but it's less than $40k less a year than a new grad at Google is hired on for. Barely middle class in Silicon Valley. Now imagine that company has the right to work you as hard as they can, under the threat of ripping your visa. You get fired or laid off, you have 0 days to get another. ZERO. You have to had a job already lined up, and make the deadline to transfer or responser. You're technically overstaying your visa, and if you manage to get back in under another visa, your app will be scrutinized and very possibly delayed while you travel back to your home country until the whole process starts over. Meanwhile, a whole generation of hungry, talented STEM holders in India and elsewhere are there to jump at your job.

Now a word about "flooding the tech market". Google for example only employs fewer than 19K engineers in all global offices. The point is, the industry employs VERY FEW, so even the small # of H1Bs is felt, esp. in companies which serve as indentured labor.

And finally, there is all the underground bullshit that goes on. My ex was brought in to work at a global subsidiary of Disney, and began working in her home country. All of a sudden, a job opened up in SC. She essentially worked on a business visa for months, while she was groomed with hundreds of others for H1B slots. Illegally. Eventually, she was told that the cap was met, she had to go home. I married her instead.

There are untold labor abuses going on to game the visa system, which is ridiculous.

I actually think the H1B system should be expanded and simplified, with still penalties for creating underpaid code sweatshops and visa feeder companies. But let's not pretend that the system as it is now is flooding the industry with subpar labor when better, more expensive workers have to either move to Silly Valley or kiss their jobs goodbye.



Sources:
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2015/11/06/us/outsourcing-companies-dominate-h1b-visas.html
https://swizec.github.io/h1b-software-salaries/#*-*-*

Turn CO Blue

(4,221 posts)
102. No. The program is now a vehicle for outsourcing high-tech jobs overseas
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 04:46 AM
Dec 2015

And they're not spread "across all industries" - it's mostly high tech.
And it is ripe with abuse of the foreign workers who are threatened and basically become indentured servants.

See multiple links from reputable sources below.

I can't believe you want to tout that program or defend it as harmless here on DU.

You know who loves H1B? CIOs from the big tech companies, a couple of rightwing think-tanks and rightwing Senators like Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL), Sen. Jeff Flake (R-AZ) and Sen. Orrin Hatch (R-UT).

Does that Disney scandal a few months ago ring a bell with you? Where they were laying off 250 employees, mostly from the IT department, but they had to train their replacements (their foreign H1B Visa replacements)

But more pointedly, it is a bait and switch. The vast majority of the temp visas go to just FOUR very large outsourcing companies based in India. The REAL goal is for a couple of temp workers to come to the US, get training, collect documentation learn everything they can about the company's IT department processes, the databases and enterprise systems and clients, then BOOM! The high tech company suddenly OUTSOURCES half or all of the IT department to one of the outsourcing companies in India.

I've seen it happen at my former employer to personal friends of mine in 2009. IT brought in two H1B visa temps from India for 5-6 months, they worked on initial phases of two data warehouses, then BOOM - all in-house development and warehousing was outsourced to a company in India (they kept the network engineering in the US), was it not the most amazing COINCIDENCE that the outsourcing was where the same TWO temps JUST HAPPENED to work after they left the US and went back to India. Lost 16 high-paying $80K-$125K type of programmer jobs - people who had been with the company for 5, 10, 18 years - jobs gone to India.

I feel strongly that the H1B visa program should be granted STRICTLY for one of a kind talents and art (ballerinas, cello players, etc) and not STEM.

Visa Program Hijacked by Outsourcers
https://www.bostonglobe.com/opinion/2013/03/30/visa-program-has-been-hijacked-outsourcers/VAg6o9KgS2tuoZ3WbmaqeK/story.html

Disney Last Task After Layoff, Train Foreign Replacements
http://www.nytimes.com/2015/06/04/us/last-task-after-layoff-at-disney-train-foreign-replacements.html

Defenders of the H1B program - trying to triple the number of Visas:
Robert Iger, Disney’s CEO is a co-chair (along with Michael Bloomberg and Rupert Murdoch) of the Partnership For a New American Economy
The organization promotes tripling the current 85,000 available H-1B visas under a program called “I-Squared” that was introduced by Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL), Sen. Jeff Flake (R-AZ) and Sen. Orrin Hatch (R-UT). With this kind of reform, we won’t get a new economy. We’ll get a lot more pink slips for Americans in STEM jobs.

Jobs Brokers Entrap Indian Tech Workers
http://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2014/oct/28/-sp-jobs-brokers-entrap-indian-tech-workers



Eric J in MN

(35,619 posts)
30. Same argument could be used for, "Why Hillary Clinton Can't Win."
Wed Dec 9, 2015, 11:36 PM
Dec 2015

The Third Way is against "populism" and claims it's a losing campaign strategy.

Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders:

Both say they want to get tough on Wall Street. Both say they want to make college affordable. Both say they want to raise the minimum wage.

Since the Third Way has found that "populism" is a terrible strategy, they could have argued that populism is why Hillary Clinton can't win.

 

MaggieD

(7,393 posts)
42. Perhaps -- that could be a discussion as well
Wed Dec 9, 2015, 11:48 PM
Dec 2015

I do think this primary contest is really rooted more in differences about solutions than in any real differences about what the problems are.

Obviously the solutions between candidates might vary depending on whether you blamed rich people for using loopholes, or our politicians for giving them to them. I would love to see a thread about that, with no snark allowed. That's how DU used to be.

I come down on the side of the pols being the problem. I do believe if we had a super majority of Dems in congress we would not have these problems.

dflprincess

(28,080 posts)
43. Except the Third Way knows that when Hillary starts talking like a Populist
Wed Dec 9, 2015, 11:49 PM
Dec 2015

there's a "wink, wink, nudge, nudge" involved.

Eric J in MN

(35,619 posts)
47. Yeah, maybe they're so sure of Hillary Clinton's insincerity
Wed Dec 9, 2015, 11:53 PM
Dec 2015

...on populism that they didn't bother to write against it.

 

MaggieD

(7,393 posts)
49. She was the 11th most liberal senator in the senate...
Wed Dec 9, 2015, 11:56 PM
Dec 2015

... during her time. Obama was ranked like 23rd most liberal. She IS a populist. And she always has been.

 

MaggieD

(7,393 posts)
53. That's not what the article says....
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 12:01 AM
Dec 2015

What it says is that ranting against the "oligarchs" won't work, because people believe it's the government that is to blame.

Eric J in MN

(35,619 posts)
63. The article also refers to policies
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 12:13 AM
Dec 2015

...and uses a strange definition of "populism" to include Bernie Sanders' proposals while excluding Hillary Clinton's.


Since that is the world voters see, the main populist economic ideas seem aimed at the wrong targets and tethered to a different time. Expand Social Security for everyone? That would cost trillions and confer a huge share of its benefits to wealthy, married senior couples. Single-payer health care? That comes with a $15 trillion price tag, a giant increase in middle class taxes, and another huge government program. Doubling the minimum wage to $15? All Democrats want to raise it, but a bump of nearly $8 nationwide would cost far too many jobs.


So when Hillary Clinton says she wants the poor to have higher Social Security benefits, the article doesn't count that as populism because she doesn't want to "expand Social Security for everyone."

When Hillary Clinton says she wants to lower health insurance co-pays, the article doesn't count that as populism because she doesn't want single-payer.

When Hillary Clinton says she wants to raise the minimum wage to $12, the article doesn't count that as populism because $15 is the magic number when an increase becomes populist.
 

MaggieD

(7,393 posts)
71. As the article says....
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 12:30 AM
Dec 2015

"....populist economic ideas seem aimed at the wrong targets and tethered to a different time"

It's not the populism that is the problem - it's his targets and the proposed solutions that are off the mark for most people. IMO.

 

Triana

(22,666 posts)
41. Actually the crooked dealers are the great corporations and the wealthy - that's who controls
Wed Dec 9, 2015, 11:48 PM
Dec 2015

Washington and everyone in it, particularly thanks to Citizens United - but even before that. Indeed the deck is stacked against the rest of us. As long as corporates control OUR government, it will be.

Hillary may win but she will continue this paradigm that is hurting us most.

Sanders would be our ONLY chance of even making a dent in the corporate armor around the US gov't. TPP, TISA, TTIP will codify the One World Order that is Total Corporate Domination of all major world governments.

That train has to be stopped. Sanders is right. He's not ranting at the wrong people. Whoever wrote that article seems hellbent on creating yet another distraction from the real issue here. Politico. Oh... well.

 

MaggieD

(7,393 posts)
48. Well it's a chicken or the egg discussion, so...
Wed Dec 9, 2015, 11:53 PM
Dec 2015

I can't say you're wrong about which came first. Like I said above - I think the major differences are around the solutions, not the problems.

 

Scootaloo

(25,699 posts)
58. if i may borrow a phrase from another campaign...
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 12:07 AM
Dec 2015

"Yes, we can."

Don't worry maggieD. You'll like it. You'll see!

 

MaggieD

(7,393 posts)
62. I think you're going to be very disappointed
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 12:12 AM
Dec 2015

And frankly, after all the upset you all had here just about a bad press conference, I am a little worried for how you guys will take it.

Be strong! And don't forget we'll be here for you!

 

Scootaloo

(25,699 posts)
70. One would imagine that the "upset" parties are the ones cranking out angry OP's about it every 5 min
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 12:28 AM
Dec 2015

And cranking them out so fast that they just don't have any time to actually include the truth. Surely an oversight, but you know... haste makes waste.

 

MaggieD

(7,393 posts)
73. I think it's a good article for some actual "thinking style" discussion
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 12:33 AM
Dec 2015

Which is sorely lacking here these days. And it actually has been a decent discussion upthread.

 

Scootaloo

(25,699 posts)
75. Funny, the article doesn't invite discussion
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 12:37 AM
Dec 2015

It makes an assertion then tries to weave a supportive narrative around that assertion.

global1

(25,256 posts)
61. So I Guess They're So Angry That They'll Just Elect More Of The Same....
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 12:12 AM
Dec 2015

instead of somebody that is pushing for a political revolution that wants to right the Washington wrongs. Makes no sense to me. Does that make sense to you?

If you thought there was gridlock in D.C. with Obama as President - do you sincerely think that the Repugs are going to cooperate with Hillary? They've hated Hillary long before they ever heard the name Barack Hussein Obama.

Bernie's Political Revolution is not just about a rigged economy.

longship

(40,416 posts)
67. Blah Ba-Blah Blah. Ba-Blah Ba-Blah Ba-Blah!
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 12:21 AM
Dec 2015

Why won't you children give up these kinds of posts?

Don't you know that there are many Democrats here who see a problem with the childish infighting here on DU.

And to those who do not see it... Pbpbpbffft!

I am a lifelong Democrat. I will vote straight ticket every election, no matter who is running.

The alternative we all know about, and is too ugly to consider.

 

highprincipleswork

(3,111 posts)
72. Well then they've been misguided very well.
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 12:33 AM
Dec 2015

Well then they've been misguided very well.

We've been slowly boiled in Republican oil, with the cooperation of the DLC and the Third Way and the Blue Dogs and all their like every since Ronald Raygun mesmerized the nation with her grandfather schtick.

F.D.R. did such great things, that inspired others to do such great things, and then one misinterpretation of one electoral defeat set us off on these many decades of loserdom.

Tired of it. Enough it enough.

Bernie is the man, pure and simple.

I advise everyone to watch the recent series on the Roosevelts for inspiration, courage, and for a model of how the Democratic Party should really be. Even though I know Teddy was a "Republican". But not one like we know them now, that is for sure!!!!!!!

 

SheilaT

(23,156 posts)
80. Who was that guy,
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 12:46 AM
Dec 2015

that really nice colored fellow who ran in 2008? I'm thinking he'd been in the Illinois state senate, and had just been elected to the US Senate, had some sort of odd name What ever happened to him?

Wait, we're not in the latter part of Hillary Clinton's second term? OMG! What did I miss?

jkbRN

(850 posts)
93. POLITICO HAHAHAHAH
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 01:39 AM
Dec 2015

I didn't look, but if it's the third way democrats you should be ashamed posting that shit here.

NurseJackie

(42,862 posts)
109. Perhaps it's not meant literally (as in taking one's own life) but figuratively ...
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 06:33 PM
Dec 2015

Perhaps it's not meant literally (as in taking one's own life) but figuratively (as in intentionally posting something that's guaranteed to result in being banned from this web site.)



 

bvf

(6,604 posts)
120. Nope. Not in the least.
Fri Dec 11, 2015, 12:29 AM
Dec 2015

It did occur to me that someone with a post count in the low single digits making jokes in reference to suicide would jump at the chance to clarify his/her remarks, however.

By all means, presume away. It says volumes.

 

MannyGoldstein

(34,589 posts)
95. Thank Goddess that you're keeping an unrelenting eye on his insignificance
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 02:03 AM
Dec 2015

Thirty posts per day on the topic aren't nearly enough; he's that dangerous.

R B Garr

(16,956 posts)
106. From the article: "'It clearly panders to the lowest
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 01:20 PM
Dec 2015

common denominator,'" said a Las Vegas Democrat.

Ouch! That's gotta hurt.

Vinca

(50,288 posts)
110. The more important question is: can Hillary win?
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 06:36 PM
Dec 2015

Even most Bernie supporters will concede she's probably going to win the primary. That's scary to me because I don't necessarily think she can win the general. Good news today, though. If the GOP decides to have a brokered convention it's likely Trump will go third party and split the vote. Then any Democrat is a shoo in. If he doesn't, Hillary has the task of trying to create some excitement among the people who don't show up for midterm elections. Good luck with that.

 

MeNMyVolt

(1,095 posts)
113. ^^^ This is what makes DU suck.
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 06:41 PM
Dec 2015

It used to be such a vibrant board, with posters that made me stand on my chair and shout "YES". Now, it's a high school forum.

 

bowens43

(16,064 posts)
126. LMAO!!!Yes keep hoping.....its going repeat of 2008
Fri Dec 11, 2015, 09:20 AM
Dec 2015

and hillary will finally be regulated to the trash can of history where she should have been after Bill left office

gordyfl

(598 posts)
127. Bernie Sanders Favorability "Almost Unheard of"
Fri Dec 11, 2015, 10:24 AM
Dec 2015

Eighty-three percent of respondents said they had a favorable opinion of Vermont senator, compared to just 9 percent that had an unfavorable opinion.

Clinton, meanwhile, was viewed 68 percent favorably to 24 percent unfavorably by likely Democratic primary voters.
Dr. Andrew Smith, director of the UNH Survey Center, told Boston.com that Sanders’ popularity is “almost unheard of” this far into the campaign.

“I have never seen favorabilities for any candidate this high at this point in the primary,” Smith said, noting that Sanders’ net favorability has only increased since he entered the race.


http://www.boston.com/news/politics/2015/12/09/bernie-sanders-new-hampshire-favorability-almost-unheard-new-poll/Q5V0wIy7voJCl8aJxIojQK/story.html

 

Jester Messiah

(4,711 posts)
128. Even if that wasn't a titanic load of BS, I'd still vote for him.
Fri Dec 11, 2015, 10:31 AM
Dec 2015

I'd rather lose while voting for what I believe in than be on the winning side and vote for what I don't.

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