2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumCNN/ORC poll: Hillary maintains 18 point lead in Iowa
over her nearest competitor.
CNN/ORC has also just reported that in New Hampshire, Hillary is 10 points behind that same competitor.
http://www.cnn.com/2015/12/07/politics/donald-trump-ted-cruz-iowa-poll/
On the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton maintains an 18-point lead over Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, 54% to 36%. Former Maryland Gov. Martin O'Malley has 4%.
The gender gap between Clinton and Sanders has narrowed in the last month, with both men and women breaking significantly in the former secretary of state's favor (51% Clinton to 40% Sanders among men, 57% Clinton to 34% Sanders among women; last month it was 48% Clinton to 44% Sanders among men and 62% Clinton to 31% Sanders among women).
Clinton's edge on handling economic issues is smaller in Iowa than it is nationally, 47% in Iowa say they think Clinton would do the best job handling the economy while 42% say they trust Sanders most, while our recent national poll found Clinton holding a 58% to 31% advantage on the same issue. Likewise, Iowa's likely caucusgoers are more likely to think that Sanders would do the most to help the middle class (50%) than to say Clinton would (43%), a question that split national Democrats almost evenly (47% Clinton to 44% Sanders).
SNIP
The CNN/ORC Poll was conducted by telephone November 28-December 6 among 2,003 adult residents of Iowa, including interviews with 552 likely Republican presidential caucusgoers and 442 likely Democratic presidential caucusgoers. Results for likely Democratic caucusgoers have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4.5 points, it is 4 points for likely Republican caucusgoers.
HerbChestnut
(3,649 posts)Had to post a poll from 2 days ago.
All snark aside, Iowa is going to come down to the wire.
pnwmom
(108,980 posts)HerbChestnut
(3,649 posts)The NH poll was just reported today.
pnwmom
(108,980 posts)They each provide context to the other.
HerbChestnut
(3,649 posts)Remember that word the next time there's a video of Bernie telling off a reporter.
pnwmom
(108,980 posts)HerbChestnut
(3,649 posts)It's been all over this site for the last 2 days and there's at least a dozen OPs about it. Brief summary: Bernie went to Baltimore to tour the city and discuss issues close to the AA community with local leaders. Afterwards they held a press conference to discuss these things. Now here's what happened. *Before* the press conference, Bernie's press secretary asked the press core to try and stay on topic, and she specifically asked that they hold their questions on ISIS. Of course, the media being what they are asked Bernie about ISIS as he was walking off the stage and he got pretty upset basically accusing the reporter of trying to turn everyone's attention away from the issues of the AA community. You really should watch the video of the full press conference.
Scootaloo
(25,699 posts)workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)the Iowa Caucuses.
Bernies running out of time.
Scootaloo
(25,699 posts)Hell in that time, Clinton supporters have gone from calling him a right-wing white supremacist to a far-left idealist, from a devious lying puppetmaster to a bumbling doddering old fool. 53 days? Plenty of time to do all sorts of things.
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)I hope all Bernie fans feel the same.
Scootaloo
(25,699 posts)redstateblues
(10,565 posts)CoffeeCat
(24,411 posts)I've been through several Iowa caucus cycles. Each one has its own energy and "personality" due to the candidates who are running, their campaigns and the number of candidates.
I can tell you for sure, that the caucus season is just starting to shift into second gear. We've got a long way to go; so much can happen.
The candidate ground games haven't been unleashed upon us yet. Many more rallies and events to be held.
Iowa has barely begun!
It's so exciting! Love living here during this crazy time!!
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)gwheezie
(3,580 posts)And losing.