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pnwmom

(108,980 posts)
Wed Dec 9, 2015, 10:17 PM Dec 2015

CNN/ORC poll: Hillary maintains 18 point lead in Iowa

over her nearest competitor.

CNN/ORC has also just reported that in New Hampshire, Hillary is 10 points behind that same competitor.

http://www.cnn.com/2015/12/07/politics/donald-trump-ted-cruz-iowa-poll/

On the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton maintains an 18-point lead over Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, 54% to 36%. Former Maryland Gov. Martin O'Malley has 4%.

The gender gap between Clinton and Sanders has narrowed in the last month, with both men and women breaking significantly in the former secretary of state's favor (51% Clinton to 40% Sanders among men, 57% Clinton to 34% Sanders among women; last month it was 48% Clinton to 44% Sanders among men and 62% Clinton to 31% Sanders among women).

Clinton's edge on handling economic issues is smaller in Iowa than it is nationally, 47% in Iowa say they think Clinton would do the best job handling the economy while 42% say they trust Sanders most, while our recent national poll found Clinton holding a 58% to 31% advantage on the same issue. Likewise, Iowa's likely caucusgoers are more likely to think that Sanders would do the most to help the middle class (50%) than to say Clinton would (43%), a question that split national Democrats almost evenly (47% Clinton to 44% Sanders).

SNIP

The CNN/ORC Poll was conducted by telephone November 28-December 6 among 2,003 adult residents of Iowa, including interviews with 552 likely Republican presidential caucusgoers and 442 likely Democratic presidential caucusgoers. Results for likely Democratic caucusgoers have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4.5 points, it is 4 points for likely Republican caucusgoers.

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CNN/ORC poll: Hillary maintains 18 point lead in Iowa (Original Post) pnwmom Dec 2015 OP
Didn't like the results of the NH poll, eh? HerbChestnut Dec 2015 #1
The NH poll and the Iowa poll were taken at the same time. Should be reported together, too. n/t pnwmom Dec 2015 #3
Of course, I meant that your poll was *reported* 2 days ago. HerbChestnut Dec 2015 #5
Two polls taken by the same org over the same time period should be reported together. pnwmom Dec 2015 #8
Right, context. HerbChestnut Dec 2015 #10
What? Is there some unfortunate video out now? n/t pnwmom Dec 2015 #11
I figured you'd have seen it. HerbChestnut Dec 2015 #14
For now Scootaloo Dec 2015 #2
53 days till workinclasszero Dec 2015 #6
Two months? Plenty of time Scootaloo Dec 2015 #7
Sure plenty of time workinclasszero Dec 2015 #12
And I hope all Clinton supporters are as complacent Scootaloo Dec 2015 #13
Tick Tock redstateblues Dec 2015 #9
Caucus season hasn't peaked yet in Iowa.... CoffeeCat Dec 2015 #16
It's JUST LIKE 2008! Right? :-D NurseJackie Dec 2015 #17
K&R MaggieD Dec 2015 #4
That must mean Hillary is way behind gwheezie Dec 2015 #15
 

HerbChestnut

(3,649 posts)
1. Didn't like the results of the NH poll, eh?
Wed Dec 9, 2015, 10:21 PM
Dec 2015

Had to post a poll from 2 days ago.

All snark aside, Iowa is going to come down to the wire.

pnwmom

(108,980 posts)
8. Two polls taken by the same org over the same time period should be reported together.
Wed Dec 9, 2015, 10:32 PM
Dec 2015

They each provide context to the other.

 

HerbChestnut

(3,649 posts)
10. Right, context.
Wed Dec 9, 2015, 10:33 PM
Dec 2015

Remember that word the next time there's a video of Bernie telling off a reporter.

 

HerbChestnut

(3,649 posts)
14. I figured you'd have seen it.
Wed Dec 9, 2015, 10:44 PM
Dec 2015

It's been all over this site for the last 2 days and there's at least a dozen OPs about it. Brief summary: Bernie went to Baltimore to tour the city and discuss issues close to the AA community with local leaders. Afterwards they held a press conference to discuss these things. Now here's what happened. *Before* the press conference, Bernie's press secretary asked the press core to try and stay on topic, and she specifically asked that they hold their questions on ISIS. Of course, the media being what they are asked Bernie about ISIS as he was walking off the stage and he got pretty upset basically accusing the reporter of trying to turn everyone's attention away from the issues of the AA community. You really should watch the video of the full press conference.

 

Scootaloo

(25,699 posts)
7. Two months? Plenty of time
Wed Dec 9, 2015, 10:32 PM
Dec 2015

Hell in that time, Clinton supporters have gone from calling him a right-wing white supremacist to a far-left idealist, from a devious lying puppetmaster to a bumbling doddering old fool. 53 days? Plenty of time to do all sorts of things.

CoffeeCat

(24,411 posts)
16. Caucus season hasn't peaked yet in Iowa....
Wed Dec 9, 2015, 11:23 PM
Dec 2015

I've been through several Iowa caucus cycles. Each one has its own energy and "personality" due to the candidates who are running, their campaigns and the number of candidates.

I can tell you for sure, that the caucus season is just starting to shift into second gear. We've got a long way to go; so much can happen.

The candidate ground games haven't been unleashed upon us yet. Many more rallies and events to be held.

Iowa has barely begun!

It's so exciting! Love living here during this crazy time!!

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