Obama didn't even give his speech yet but Gallup has him at 49% approval

[jenmito]

and 45% disapproval (and Gallup has had the lowest approval #s for Obama out of most polls): http://www.gallup.com/home.aspx

And Intrade has him up to nearly 59: http://www.intrade.com/v4/home/

THEN add to it Nate Silver's prediction of 311 EVs & a 76% chance of winning: http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

Things are lookin' darn good!

[Blue Yorker]

1. These two days have helped

Flawless speeches by Michelle, Julian, Big Dog, etc. They said good things about Obama that reminded the people he's not to blame for this mess.

[C_U_L8R]

2. That's Invisible Obama power right there

just wait 'til the real deal takes the stage !!!

We're gonna get a terrific bounce !!

[regnaD kciN]

3. Silver's 76% is based on a model that assumes...

...a convention bump. In the model that assesses the race as it is today, Obama's victory odds are "only" 69%.

[Marsala]

9. It also penalized Mitt on his below average (and likely nonexistent) bump

Obama will get hit by the model if he doesn't get a convention bump of 2-4 points, I think. But if he does get a decent bump, Nate's model will back him more strongly than the 2008 model did until late October.

[madrchsod]

4. i think his wife`s speech sealed the deal for a lot of women

she related to more more across the political spectrum than mitten`s wife.

tonight should be VERY interesting!

[FrenchieCat]

5. Or perhaps it's all about raising his numbers now.....

so that it can be said that Obama's own speech didn't give him a bounce a la Romney...

Yes, I am very skeptical of polling these days.....almost as much as I am skeptical of the right leaning media
doing all that they can to make sure that the race stays "close" no matter how bad of a candidate Romney
actually is.

[jenmito]

6. Hey, Frenchie!

I was JUST thinking about you yesterday-that I haven't seen any posts from you lately. Good to "see" you!
I agree with your skepticism. I think Nate Silver is accurate, though.

[FrenchieCat]

7. Hey there!

I've been very busy being better off today than I was 4 years ago.....

But this is Convention time, so I can't resist posting......while in the past few months,
I only had the luxury of lurking.

[jenmito]

8. That's good...

being "very busy being better off today than I was 4 years ago....."
Yeah-Convention time is one of my favorite times. Especially THIS convention! Well, I'm happy to see you doing so well.

[jenmito]

10. Intrade now has Obama up to 59.3, and Romney's down to 40.6. n/t