IPSOS REID-Likely Voter Poll- HRC 63% SBS 30% MOM 3%

[DemocratSinceBirth]

http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TR131/filters/LIKELY_PRIMARY15:1,PARTY_ID_:1/dates/20150808-20151125/type/smallest

Among all registered Democrats and leaners it is HRC 54% SBS 34% MOM 5%

http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TR131/filters/PARTY_ID_:1/dates/20150808-20151125/type/smallest

[DemocratSinceBirth]

3. Thank you, sir or madame.

[JaneyVee]

10. Ooh, ya gotta tell us what was said.

Inquiring minds want to know.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

11. I misspelled the name of the polling organization. That's all...

EOM

[NurseJackie]

55. HA! Spelling-mavens, punctuation-experts, and grammar-queens are always fun.

After all ... commas are important!!

Let's eat, Grandma!

-vs-

Let's eat Grandma!

[seabeyond]

4. kickin' ass, just saying. nt

[Robbins]

5. Likely voters?

that is BS.Bernie will have independents,firsttime voters,and others voting for him which don't fit the likely voter screen.

But,whatever it takes to make headline for Clinton I see.

[72DejaVu]

6. That's how President Kucinich did it!

[NurseJackie]

8. oopf!

[wolfie001]

24. The best humor is always based on truth

[lunamagica]

45. BOOM!

[Metric System]

13. Don't forget the unicorns!

[baldguy]

19. The toxic idea that both parties are the same it really what's killing our democracy.

Supposed "progressives" want change, but when they don't win everywhere instantly & automatically, instead of buckling down, refining their message and trying to win support for their issues, they spend their time tearing down Democrats & the Democratic Party. Then they wonder why a minority party like the GOP still has influence.

[KPN]

50. A legitimate worry ...

but why should Bernie supporters come out for Hillary when she so obviously triangulates back to center right once she feels secure about the nomination? A legitimate question in the minds of folks who are weary of and increasingly disenfranchised by the status quo.

Maybe things need to get worse before they get better.

[1StrongBlackMan]

53. See Post 19. n/t

[Drunken Irishman]

17. You should start your own website...

...where you rework the polls with the correct voter breakdown.

You can call it UnSkewed Polls or something.

https://web.archive.org/web/20121105161546/http://unskewedpolls.com/

[upaloopa]

33. That's bull shit from Thom Hartman.

When they say likely voters they ask the question "will you vote in the primary"

I know you need any kind of thing to give hope.

Maybe you need some un skewed poll web site

[deancr]

49. pew's method

You sparked my curiosity. The following url directs to Pew's research on their method of determining likely voters.

http://www.people-press.org/2001/05/18/screening-likely-voters-a-survey-experiment/

It would seem that likely voters are those who have both a history of voting and knowledge of their personal polling place. Which doesn't provide proof that crossover voters, independents, those previously unmotivated will sway the day for Bernie. A force to be acknowledged though.

[Codeine]

52. I firmly believe there's a legitimate point

that a section of Bernie's support isn't being counted because they're just now voting age or because they're older but somehow they never noticed that we elect out government before now.

But - and it's a big but - will that vote be big enough to swing some of these huge margins? The numbers would have to be unprecedented.

As one of the few people perfectly happy to have either candidate I'm curious to watch it play out. I just wish everyone would play a little nicer.

[HerbChestnut]

7. With Dems and Independents

It's about 50/30 in favor of Hillary. Headline in no way tells the whole story.

[JaneyVee]

9. K AND R!

[wolfie001]

26. Yes!!!! Another pair of Scalias/Alitos will be devastating!

[Robbins]

28. no with clinton you lose

she turns off indepdents and young voters

she drives out republican turnout

she has ailenated 30 to 35% of dems assuming polls hold and she wins.

It is time to have someone who will fight for our values.it's not about getting everything.it's getting something

war.trade.wall street.social safety net.these are all reasons why liberlas or progressives support Bernie over her.you can ignore
the issues and make this cult of personality of just having a woman or dem win and ignore the issues.dems don't mean good thing
will come

[upaloopa]

35. How about telling me how not just Hillary bull shit

[wolfie001]

40. She'll beat any of those knuckleheads hands down!!

.....please.....

[Robbins]

51. that's not what polls say

with rubio and carson.and people underestimate trump at their risk.

Her only chance to win in GE Is trump and that could turn into 2000/2004 like race.

[daybranch]

16. What is your purpose in continually telling us Hillary is leading in national polls?

What doesit accomplish in your mind? Are you trying to enthuse Hillary fans or to lower Bernie turnout? Either way, you are not sending a message of democracy and consideration for the views of others. Polls may be correct but it will not stop Bernie supporters who criticize your candidate for being poll rather than value driven. Every time you send out something mentioning a poll, a Bernie supporter says I will work harder for the people because they need Bernie. So keep on doing and do not forget we Bernie fans know you really mean well and want an honest discussion of issues- not!
Just a few questions? Does Hillary not want to expand the very popular Social Security Program? Did she come out for $12 minimum wage when people were fighting for $15? Did she just state she was against Medicare for All because it cost more than the ACA? Is her position on Syria really to the right of President Obama's? Is she really still undecided about the need to repeal Citizens United and get big money out of politics? If she wants to maintain her lead in the polls, she must move to the left and to the positions of Bernie. Unfortunately her connection with the 1 percent and her support of these positions are raising eyebrows. I guess my question to you is do you agree with her positions on these matters or are you afraid of something or complacent or what?

[DemocratSinceBirth]

18. As long as the acolytes of the Vermont independent tear her down I will build her up.

Thank you for your concern.

[Thor_MN]

20. Do you ask the same questions of the people continually posting single state and internet polls?

Why not?

[DemocratSinceBirth]

22. There is a bit of hypocrisy here...

Every poll where the Vermont independent is doing well is posted here and the word well is subjective. There would be a lot more of them if not for the paucity of them.

[wolfie001]

27. "A bit of hypocrisy"?

You're being way too polite. Cheers!

[DemocratSinceBirth]

32. There was a nat'l poll cited here with nearly 100 recommendations because Sanders was only...

There was a nat'l poll cited here with nearly 100 recommendations because Sanders was only 26 points behind.

No s--t !!!

[wolfie001]

39. The straight-Dem ticket voters are all very aware of the pro Bernie campaign here

Throwing mud at Hillary is going to do the Dem party zero favors. We're always are worst enemy. Frustrating.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

41. The last thing I want to do is begrudge them their voice as long as they don't begrudge me mine.

After a while folks just tune out the attacks. It's common sense.

[wolfie001]

43. True words!

[DemocratSinceBirth]

46. I used to respond to all the attacks...Now I largely ignore em.

I cited my reasons for supporting HRC:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1251&pid=830948

If they aren't acceptable to folks here that's why we have voting.

[NurseJackie]

36. This is the correct answer.

[treestar]

21. polls are part of the news

why shouldn't anyone know about them?

[Tarc]

23. Because it easily counters the endless blog-like posts of the Sanders supporters

Actual facts vs. the "OMG Hillary is the devil" ones that get 200 upvotes everyday here.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

25. What do you think of my observation in Post #22?/nt

[Buzz Clik]

30. "you are not sending a message of democracy and consideration for the views of others." LOL!

Have mercy! Posting the results of polls is suppressing my rights as a human being!!!

When you post this fascist propaganda, are you Talking Truth To Power? NO!!!

Does it advance the hopes and dreams of the masses? Crush the establishment? DOES IT TELL THE BANKSTERS WE'VE HAD ENOUGH?????!!!!!! NOOOOOO!!!11

[upaloopa]

37. It's nice to know we are winning and it makes up for the anti Hillary bull shit OP's

[lunamagica]

47. As long as it is not against the TOS, DSB has the right to post any primary news

he wishes to post on the primary forum.

I'm getting sick at tired of so called "progressives" questioning and trying to control what others post, just because those posts are not what they want to read.

[Arkana]

29. Why does Mom only have 3%?

[Buzz Clik]

31. If Mom drops 2%, Mom will be a 1%er, and then the Sanders crowd can hate Mom, too.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

34. MOM should be polling better, just on the strength of his acronym, ya think?

EOM

[Buzz Clik]

38. We all love MOM, we just don't want MOM running for president.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

42. MOM picked the wrong year...Without HRC I think MOM beats SBS...

I know SBS is doing a lot better than MOM but HRC in the race changes the whole dynamic. That's the problem with counterfactual hypotheses . You change one fact other facts change as well.

[MineralMan]

44. 2:1 and increasing. This trend should hold through

February, I think. Then, it will go to 3:1, if Bernie stays in after March 1.

[lunamagica]

48. K&R. keep the polls coming, DSB!

[Alfresco]

54. Yes, please do.

Without data it's just a BS opinion.