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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumMassachusetts Democratic Presidential Primary -HRC 54% SBS 29% MOM 3%
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016/Suffolk_MA_Nov_2015.pdf
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Massachusetts Democratic Presidential Primary -HRC 54% SBS 29% MOM 3% (Original Post)
DemocratSinceBirth
Nov 2015
OP
Not good for Bernie as this is a state that I believe knows Bernie pretty well
book_worm
Nov 2015
#13
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)1. Twenty-nine? That's a surge, right?
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)2. I report. Others can characterize.
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)4. Well, they need to get to it, pronto!! (I'm in need of my daily chuckle!)
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)5. No more rabbit holes for me.
My new response to baiting posts and threads:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1251&pid=844619
Jarqui
(10,126 posts)10. Maybe a 9 point improvement
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/ma/massachusetts_democratic_presidential_primary-3891.html
But it's hard to put much stock into just one poll. As well, 24.5 pts is a still a big gap to make up.
On Mar 1, these states, among others, go to the primary polls:
Georgia +43 (Obama +35, Delegates 60 Obama - 27 Clinton)
Massachusetts +29.5 (+15 over Obama, Delegates Clinton 55 - Obama 38)
Texas +30.7 (+3.5 over Obama, delegates Obama 99 - Clinton 94)
Virginia +34.3 (Obama +28, Delegates Obama 60 - Clinton 27)
Unlike other states on Mar 1, those states represent a lot of delegates - roughly 500.
Should Bernie take Iowa and New Hampshire, he'll need to have a good showing in the above states to keep pace. He has to close that gap over the next 60 days.
But it's hard to put much stock into just one poll. As well, 24.5 pts is a still a big gap to make up.
On Mar 1, these states, among others, go to the primary polls:
Georgia +43 (Obama +35, Delegates 60 Obama - 27 Clinton)
Massachusetts +29.5 (+15 over Obama, Delegates Clinton 55 - Obama 38)
Texas +30.7 (+3.5 over Obama, delegates Obama 99 - Clinton 94)
Virginia +34.3 (Obama +28, Delegates Obama 60 - Clinton 27)
Unlike other states on Mar 1, those states represent a lot of delegates - roughly 500.
Should Bernie take Iowa and New Hampshire, he'll need to have a good showing in the above states to keep pace. He has to close that gap over the next 60 days.
Iliyah
(25,111 posts)3. K & R
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)6. I wonder if "Stayin' Alive" would be another appropriate Bee-Gees tune.
Agnosticsherbet
(11,619 posts)7. It is difficult to credit a surge when changes are well within the MoE.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)8. I report. I am reluctant to characterize.
I never saw the Bay State as a Sanders state. Hillary won it in 08 despite Ted Kennedy endorsing Barack Obama.
Agnosticsherbet
(11,619 posts)9. I will be glad when the voting starts so we can stop arguing about it.
and just decide which side can do the victory dance.
Alfresco
(1,698 posts)11. Very Nice Numbers
Another poll showing Hillary is winning this thing. Despite what others would have us believe.
Logical
(22,457 posts)12. A better Bee Gees video for Hillary is Tragedy! Nt
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)16. Ha!! :-D
book_worm
(15,951 posts)13. Not good for Bernie as this is a state that I believe knows Bernie pretty well
and is well educated. But Hillary won MA in 2008 over Barack Obama who had the backing of the Kennedy's, so she has a lot of supporters in MA apparently. If he was to win the nomination I would think that MA would be a state that Bernie should be winning or needs to win. McCarthy won it in 1968 and McGovern in 1972 in the primary race.
JaneyVee
(19,877 posts)14. K AND R!
DCBob
(24,689 posts)15. Mass-ive lead!