2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumNew PPP poll..Clinton 59%, BS 26%, MOM 7%
"Our last national poll without Joe Biden in it was in July and at that time we found Clinton leading Sanders by 35 points at 57/22. These numbers suggest not a whole lot has changed in terms of the overall contours of the race since that time."
7% is MOM the best polling to date
Clinton's leading within every demographic group on the Democratic side but it's closer with some segments of the electorate than others. She leads Sanders just 50/36 with white voters, but is up 70/13 with African Americans and 84/8 with Hispanics. She leads Sanders just 47/32 with men, but is up 69/22 with women. She leads Sanders just 53/32 with younger voters, but is up 66/17 with seniors. And she leads Sanders by just 17 with 'very liberal' voters at 56/39, but is up 34 with moderates at 56/22, and 49 points with 'somewhat liberal' voters at 72/23.
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2015/11/gop-has-clear-top-4-clinton-dominant-for-dems-general-election-tight.html
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SidDithers
(44,228 posts)Sid
BootinUp
(47,165 posts)Cha
(297,323 posts)William http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1107&pid=27300
Thank you, HistoricNY
coyote
(1,561 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)They tell me those are the best?
Metric System
(6,048 posts)liberal' voters at 56/39"
This certainly doesn't fit the narrative put forth by Sanders supporters on DU.
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)been a poll from yesterday, or last week, or earlier.
It looks as though the days of big poll swings and "surges" and "plummets" are over. Things are starting to solidify and it's much easier to see where each of the candidates is going to end up.
It's all over except for the vote counts and how many states/delegates the runners-up manage to capture.
BlueMTexpat
(15,370 posts)is trending upwards. He's a good guy and deserves some recognition!
elleng
(130,976 posts)Recursion
(56,582 posts)It's a long time to Iowa...
elleng
(130,976 posts)Martin O'Malley's national support is now 700% greater than it was before the first debate! Even with less than 50% name recognition, Martin now has more than 1 supporter for every 4 of Bernie's and every 8 of Hillary's --nationwide--. Not so very long ago, they had 30 and 60 times as many supporters as Martin. This is really a big change.
elleng
(130,976 posts)EMERSON COLLEGE POLL
http://media.wix.com/ugd/3bebb2_985dbffed8754f57a2a9638e22611ad6.pdf
William769
(55,147 posts)Sheepshank
(12,504 posts)I actually find that very interesting.
Recursion
(56,582 posts)elleng
(130,976 posts)'O'Malley's 7% appears to be the best he's done in a national poll by any company to date.
That may have him cutting a little bit into Sanders' share of the anti-Clinton vote and
driving up her margin over the field. Even after a couple debates O'Malley still hasn't
achieved 50% name recognition though, with 27% rating him favorably and 18%
unfavorably but 55% having no opinion one way or another. By contrast every candidate
on the Republican side has at least 50% name recognition except for Jim Gilmore.'
NuclearDem
(16,184 posts)Recursion
(56,582 posts)Really glad to see those numbers
elleng
(130,976 posts)Martin O'Malley's national support is now 700% greater than it was before the first debate! Even with less than 50% name recognition, Martin now has more than 1 supporter for every 4 of Bernie's and every 8 of Hillary's --nationwide--. Not so very long ago, they had 30 and 60 times as many supporters as Martin. This is really a big change.
elleng
(130,976 posts)tritsofme
(17,380 posts)JaneyVee
(19,877 posts)Cheese Sandwich
(9,086 posts)Didn't that just happen like 2 days ago?
Alfresco
(1,698 posts)Alfresco
(1,698 posts)These numbers are AWESOME!
Go Hillary!
reformist2
(9,841 posts)brooklynite
(94,604 posts)...showing Bernie "won" the debate is completely trustworthy?
FWIW - two additional polls (CBS and youGOV) support PPPs findings.
MrWendel
(1,881 posts)every poll that doesn't "Feel the Bern" is being paid off.