2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumWho won the Democrat debate on social media?
Well, this is interesting.
http://www.cnbc.com/2015/11/15/who-won-the-democrat-debate-on-social.html
The presidential candidates of both parties are taking to Twitter this campaign season more than ever before. And why not? With 316 million monthly active users, the social media is a prime avenue for interacting with voters.
We've been following voters' interactions with the GOP side in the past debates, and found that the number of Twitter followers a candidate acquires during a debate is a pretty good predictor for their post-debate poll position.
Now we're turning to the Democrats. With just three candidates, it's a smaller field so swings in the polls are less likely on a short-term basis. But the debate was on a Saturday night, so whoever tuned in is likely to be especially interested in hearing the candidates speak and could have changed their minds based on what they heard.
It's the second debate of the Democratic primary, and voters are getting a sense for the different candidates and who they want to hear more from. We've already seen the departure of former Governor Lincoln Chafee and former Senator Jim Webb.
In Saturday's debate, Bernie Sanders' pointed attacks on Hillary Clinton resonated with some viewers and the U.S. senator from Vermont picked up more than 10,000 followers. Clinton and former Maryland Governor Martin O'Malley each acquired 4,000.
That said, Clinton already had more than 4.5 million followers, so it's possible that those who are going to follow her already do.
onecaliberal
(32,894 posts)ThePhilosopher04
(1,732 posts)PatrickforO
(14,587 posts)4.5 million followers.
Admittedly unscientific, but I've been saying all along that Bernie might give a nasty surprise to the corporate-backed pundits and pollsters. He has a huge swell of support that isn't, I think, being counted very well - and this in spite of a black out in IA media, generally being ignored by most national media and consistently being relegated to the loser column before the votes are even taken.
cantbeserious
(13,039 posts)eom
arcane1
(38,613 posts)The practice ended when Kerry took over the job.
cantbeserious
(13,039 posts)eom
Jarqui
(10,130 posts)Hillary Clinton Buying Twitter Followers? Audit Says Yes, And Facebook Fans, Too
http://www.inquisitr.com/2010037/hillary-clinton-buying-twitter-followers-audit-says-yes-and-facebook-fans-too/
but that's the only story I saw from a quick google search and therefore, one source isn't reliable.
As I vaguely recall, someone kind of proved Mitt Romney did it because the numbers changed overnight.
Not sure in this case.
Jarqui
(10,130 posts)Since this last April (if accurate):
http://www.vocativ.com/usa/us-politics/hillary-has-more-facebook-fans-in-baghdad-than-any-us-city/
It appears that they've cooled it
Jarqui
(10,130 posts)Bernie has 89% real followers on twitter
https://www.twitteraudit.com/martinomalley
O'Malley has 89% real followers on twitter
https://www.twitteraudit.com/RealBenCarson
Carson has 76% real followers on twitter
https://www.twitteraudit.com/marcorubio
Rubio has 74% real followers on twitter
https://www.twitteraudit.com/jebbush
Bush has 68% real followers on twitter
https://www.twitteraudit.com/hillaryclinton
Hillary has 59% real followers on twitter
https://www.twitteraudit.com/donaldtrump
Trump has 48% real followers on twitter
For Hillary, again, that kind of smells bad
onecaliberal
(32,894 posts)moobu2
(4,822 posts)pinebox
(5,761 posts)It's rather funny that you guys yelled the same thing last time despite Hillary having 4.5 million followers. Perhaps her supporters aren't savvy enough to click a button to vote for her lol
LWolf
(46,179 posts)sabrina 1
(62,325 posts)slamming EVERY poll publicly, but behind the scenes I bet they are very, very worried.
winter is coming
(11,785 posts)You don't risk the ridicule that can easily follow releasing a poll underwritten by one of your SuperPACs if you're confident of your standing.
boston bean
(36,223 posts)Not on Facebook, or with internet polls.
cantbeserious
(13,039 posts)boston bean
(36,223 posts)They are your personal barometer, not mine. Why should I base my vote based on yours?
cantbeserious
(13,039 posts)- polls, or
- personality, or
- party loyalty, or
- gender.
boston bean
(36,223 posts)Projection, and characterization of what you believe to be my reasons for voting are really not a concern to me personally.
cantbeserious
(13,039 posts)eom
boston bean
(36,223 posts)I don't have to answer a thing. I will vote how I decide to vote, regardless of the six questions you hold yourself bound by.
cantbeserious
(13,039 posts)eom
boston bean
(36,223 posts)cantbeserious
(13,039 posts)eom
boston bean
(36,223 posts)cantbeserious
(13,039 posts)eom
boston bean
(36,223 posts)All because I don't think your six questions ought to bind me to vote for a candidate you will be voting for.
It's just not that simple. And no, just because you floated six questions, doesn't mean I don't have reasons for voting a particular way, it's just that your six questions ought not to bind me to vote for a particular candidate. You might take that to mean I don't find any of that important, or that I am a bad person or a stupid person who doesn't understand things from your narrow POV, but you would be very wrong.
Get it now.
I would suggest you stop implying that others who vote for a certain candidate aren't as bright as you.
cantbeserious
(13,039 posts)eom
boston bean
(36,223 posts)I don't have simple yes or no questions that I base my vote on. I'm a bit of a more nuanced voter.
Like it or lump it.
cantbeserious
(13,039 posts)eom
boston bean
(36,223 posts)cantbeserious
(13,039 posts)eom
boston bean
(36,223 posts)I am obligate to give you my thoughts? You got this all wrapped up. You demand I provide 6 yes or no questions. I tell you I don't have six questions.
You make all sorts of characterizations based on that response.
Then when I don't do what you do, you make more projections and characterizations, like I got nothing. I don't owe you my thoughts, and that fact doesn't mean anything close to what you are trying to imply.
You got it all wrapped up in a nice little bow. You truly are a better voter than I, lol. You have decided that yourself. Have a good day.
cantbeserious
(13,039 posts)One is starting to suspect that one has no standards.
boston bean
(36,223 posts)something to you that you have no right to.
But do, please continue on.
cantbeserious
(13,039 posts)eom
boston bean
(36,223 posts)cantbeserious
(13,039 posts)eom
but I'm sure you whoop and holler when a "land line" poll is posted in favor of Hillary, right?
Dem2
(8,168 posts)There's still a lot of recruiting to be done by our (at least mine and those of my SO) kids, they are new to the game and very enthusiastic for Bernie.