Compare polls at this time in 2008 to now and you would be surprised...
Ohio 2008
Quinnipiac 8/17 - 8/24 1234 LV -- 44 43 Obama +1
Columbus Dispatch* 8/12 - 8/21 2102 RV -- 41 42 McCain +1
Ohio 2012
Ohio Poll/Univ of Cin. 8/16 - 8/21 847 LV 49 46 Obama +3
CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac 8/15 - 8/21 1253 LV 50 44 Obama +6
Florida 2008
Mason-Dixon 8/25 - 8/26 625 LV -- 45 44 Obama +1
Strategic Vision (R) 8/22 - 8/24 1200 LV 3.0 42 49 McCain +7
Quinnipiac 8/17 - 8/24 1069 LV -- 43 47 McCain +4
Florida 2012
CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac 8/15 - 8/21 1241 LV 46 49 Obama +3
Rasmussen Reports 8/15 - 8/15 500 LV 45 43 Romney +2
Virginia 2008
PPP (D) 8/20 - 8/22 1036 LV -- 47 45 Obama +2
Rasmussen 8/12 - 8/12 500 LV -- 47 48 McCain +1
InAdv/PollPosition 8/12 - 8/12 416 LV 5.0 43 43 Tie
Virginia 2012
PPP (D) 8/16 - 8/19 855 LV 50 45 Obama +5
Purple Strategies 8/13 - 8/14 600 LV 45 48 Romney +3
Rasmussen Reports 8/7 - 8/7 500 LV 48 46 Obama +2
North Carolina 2008
PPP (D) 8/20 - 8/23 904 LV -- 45 42 McCain +3
InsiderAdvantage 8/19 - 8/19 614 LV -- 45 43 McCain +2
Civitas/TelOpinion (R)* 8/14 - 8/17 600 RV 4.2 46 40 McCain +6
North Carolina 2012
PPP (D) 8/2 - 8/5 813 LV 46 49 Obama +3
Rasmussen Reports 8/1 - 8/1 500 LV 49 44 Romney +5
all from:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/welcomead/?ref=http://www.realclearpolitics.com/