Fox News poll: Romney + 1

[cash__whatiwant]

Fox News poll: Race for the White House Tightens

Less than a week before the Republican convention begins, the race for the White House is a virtual tie. According to a Fox News poll of likely voters, the Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan ticket receives the backing of 45 percent, while the Barack Obama-Joe Biden ticket garners 44 percent.

The poll, released Thursday, is the first Fox has conducted among likely voters this year, which means an apples-to-apples comparison can’t be made to previous polls. Likely voters are eligible/registered voters who will most likely cast a ballot in this year’s presidential election.

This is also the first Fox poll to ask about the top and bottom of the major party tickets: Democrats Obama and Vice President Joe Biden against Republicans Romney and Paul Ryan. Romney announced his vice presidential pick of Wisconsin Rep. Ryan on August 11.

Both tickets have already gained the support of many of their key voting blocs. Romney has the edge among white Evangelical Christians (70-18 percent), white voters (53-36 percent), married voters (51-38 percent), men (48-40 percent) and seniors (50-41 percent).

Obama has the advantage among black voters (86-6 percent), women (48-42 percent), lower income households (53-35 percent), young voters (48-39 percent) and unmarried voters (55-34 percent).

Independents back Romney by 42-32 percent (one in four is undecided). Independents were vital to Obama’s 2008 victory, backing him over Republican John McCain by 52-44 percent (Fox News exit poll).

About one voter in ten is undecided or says they’ll vote for someone other than Obama and Romney. Among just those voters, 55 percent disapprove of the job Obama is doing and only 17 percent think the country has changed for the better in the last four years.

Read more: http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/08/23/fox-news-poll-race-for-white-house-tightens/#ixzz24Q1aC1lQvice presidential pick of Wisconsin Rep. Ryan on August 11.

put out just in time for their convention...

[Siwsan]

1. I have more faith in a Magic 8 Ball prediction, than in anything from fox news

[LeftofObama]

2. Since it's a Faux poll,

I call bullshit!

[mgcgulfcoast]

3. sounds like crap. what is the dem/rep breakdown?

if independents favor romney by +10 he should be alot further ahead than +1. this is a bogus poll.

[cash__whatiwant]

12. they shrank the repub/dem breakdown a lot more than their previous poll. nt

[NS2012]

4. Fuck.

This is scary.

[Floyd_Gondolli]

7. Please

They cooked the books on their last poll (49-40 in favor of Obama) to get the dramatic, tightening effect as the repub convention gets started. Romney will probably be up by 6 to 8 pts following the convention in their poll.

[NS2012]

8. Why would they risk

enabling Republicans into a state of complacence with tales of victory?

Look at those categories.

We have old white wealthy Christians vs young black poor Non-Christians.

Which type votes more?

Scary. Hope it's wrong, but scary.

[Floyd_Gondolli]

9. Theres no risk of complacency

Republicans are frothing at the mouth to defeat Obama. The poll is simply an instrument of their narrative....Mitt is closing! Ryan has moved the needle! Obama is in big trouble! Etc.

Republicans are going to vote in droves in November, with many evangelicals casting aside their principles to vote for a man who is involved in a cult (their words, not mine) because they hate Obama with every fiber of their being.

The only question is will Democrats match and exceed their turnout. By the time the rubber meets the road it's my belief we will show up.

And I thought their poll was shit when it showed Obama up 9, and it's shit now when it shows him down by 1.

[Proud liberal 80]

5. I am going to start publishing fake polls

And send them out to the media, because lately there has been a lot of polls (some of them I never heard of) all over the place. I am just going to come up with numbers out of my ass. Like Obama leading in Texas 49%-45%, Georgia 56%-43%, Idaho 47%-34%,etc...

[Jennicut]

10. Yup. I am losing a lot of my faith in any poll these days.

Almost all of them are being done to push an agenda. The PPP and Rasmussen polls on the Akin/McCaskill race are just two that are mind boggling.
Also, Faux just decided now to go to a likely voter model? Laughing very hard at this, right before the RNC.

[AlinPA]

6. A Fox "news" poll sounds like pure bullshit to me.

[woolldog]

11. grrrr

this ruined what had been a pretty good polling day

[Jennicut]

13. It's Faux.

What exactly did you expect?

[DCBob]

14. gar..

bage.

[NS2012]

15. Here's another poll saying Obama will lose.

http://www.colorado.edu/news/releases/2012/08/22/analysis-election-factors-points-romney-win-university-colorado-study-says

This was one of the top political headlines on Google news this morning.

[fugop]

16. Already debunked

I think Nate Silver already debunked this one - including the claim that it's been right since 1980.

[center rising]

17. Didn't believe it when Obama was up 9%, don't believe it now.