2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumPOLLS: Ben Carson ahead of Hillary Clinton
The *Polls* have spoken, Hillary is losing
to new GOP front runner, Ben Carson.
Hillary is no longer the "most electable".
Mr. Carson and Mrs. Clinton were tied at 44 percent apiece, according to the survey from the Democratic-leaning firm Public Policy Polling, and Mr.
Carson had an 8-point, 43 percent to 35 percent advantage over Mrs. Clinton among independents.
Mrs. Clinton had a 55 percent unfavorable/36 percent favorable split
http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2015/sep/3/carson-best-of-gop-hopefuls-against-clinton-poll
Hillary Clinton who is often touted by her supporters as the most 'electable' Democrat and the only one capable of defeating whoever is the Republican nominee next November, does poorly against quite a few of them in a new Morning Consult poll. She trails Ben Carson 42/41, Carson has made a number of outrageous comments just recently comparing abortion to slavery. She's tied with Donald Trump at 43/43 who is widely regarded as the easiest Republican candidate to beat. Jeb Bush is tied with her at 41/41 despite his flailing campaign.
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2015/10/27/1440822/--Electable-Hillary-Clinton-trails-Ben-Carson-tied-with-Donald-Trump-in-new-poll
REAL CLEAR POLITICS POLLING
has Hillary trailing Ben Carson.
General Election: Carson vs. Clinton
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_carson_vs_clinton-5119.html
Hillary has a Ben Carson problem
Blue_Adept
(6,399 posts)Especially after watching the last two GOP election cycles, is that there's no clear trendlines to work with when it comes to their primaries for the most part.
Dem primaries seem to track fairly well.
GOP primaries tend to be flavor of the week/month events and that causes these kinds of outlier spikes that makes no sense until it actually settles on a candidate.
Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)JaneyVee
(19,877 posts)Where Carson will get shellacked on every global and domestic issue.
Blue_Adept
(6,399 posts)Elsewhere in these here parts I see that "two weeks is a lifetime in primary politics." What does two months ago equal?
Seriously, this is just reaching in a huge way. It makes a lot of us look bad, sad and pretty pathetic.
Sheepshank
(12,504 posts)OP has an agenda...........and it's not taking care of the Democratic agenda.
Response to Cosmic Kitten (Original post)
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Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)Response to Cosmic Kitten (Reply #5)
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brush
(53,778 posts)Last edited Tue Nov 3, 2015, 01:18 PM - Edit history (1)
not shill for repugs.
That's what it seems like, or is it just to hurt Hillary?
Either way, Bernie would not approve.
sufrommich
(22,871 posts)Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)Response to Cosmic Kitten (Reply #11)
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riversedge
(70,223 posts)NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)This will dramatically change once we are out of the primaries. If Sanders or Clinton go into the general neck and neck with a Carson, there is a good chance it is simply over for the republicans. But we can't get cozy. The difference in ideas during a Carson/Clinton debate would be great for the party and society. They should let Carson bring back up to the debate. It's the only way it will be fair.
Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)I'm not sure what a berniebro is. Really don't care. Those are things for others to concern themselves with. I didn't get into the whole PUMA thing either. These things are so insignificant that they just aren't issues for me.
Whoever berniebros are, they can vote as they wish. I never said otherwise. Never even insinuated it. How could I, I have no clue as to your concern with the group you are referencing.
JackInGreen
(2,975 posts)Used to equate bernie supporters with trilby wearing MRA types and other various gamergate-ish rodents. Nothing more or less.
NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)I have seen it referenced by TWManny over and over again but have seen it few other places. Seems to be significant to said poster in this campaign. I don't see it having any significance as they do.
JackInGreen
(2,975 posts)Less a 'bernista' or 'hillcat', meant only with intent to hurt and lessen...
you havnt seen em?
http://www.democraticunderground.com/1251752761
http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2015/10/here-comes-the-berniebro-bernie-sanders/411070/
There are others from the HRC group and a few from madfloridian and Manny making fun of it, just another nasty name in a nasty campaign.
PADemD
(4,482 posts)Neither one would articulate their detailed plans for our country.
Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)Ya can't articulate that and not expect pitchforks!
NorthCarolina
(11,197 posts)it ain't Hillary.
Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)Art_from_Ark
(27,247 posts)I read it right here on DU
Response to Cosmic Kitten (Original post)
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Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)Bucky
(54,013 posts)Sorry, but even Bernie Sanders would clobber Carson. No one's touching him with negs cause he's not nominateable. He'll fade. He's a distraction; he's Santorum with a talent for surgery, only he's less engaging (and less reasonable(!)) than Santorum. He won't draw votes outside the very narrow Fundamentalist base.
Embarrassingly for Republicans, there also will be a quiet stay-home factor for Carson in the general election--in part due to race and in part due to the wacky-assed things he says. He'll make Virginia & North Carolina viable. He'll put Arizona and possibly Indiana in play. I can't envision a weaker Republican candidate. Sadly, they won't nominate him.
Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)Have you seen her UNFAVORABLE numbers?
55% UNFAVORABLE!
Yikes!
INdemo
(6,994 posts)You didn't get an alert from the Hillary group for that comment?
Unbelievable ....
Bucky
(54,013 posts)Maybe you don't understand the concept of the "glass jaw" idiom. It looks solid; it feels solid. But once someone takes a serious punch at him, he shatters & falls apart. Republicans are scared to go after him; they need the fundamentalists who are flocking to him. The racial optics of digging in on his negatives aren't good for them either, but this is mostly about the base he's carrying, not race. Once we get into a general election (which we won't) you'll see how weak a candidate Carson is.
Republicans tend to think Carson will dig into our African-American voting base because (and only because) he's black and has an inspirational personal story (he really does, too). They think they're getting another Colin Powell, only with acceptable social views. They don't get that a Dem with a proven record of service to the black community with strong ties to established community leaders and a husband with a serious track record is going to beat their "personal story" narrative. Maybe it'll be 80-20 instead of 90-10, but Carson is not the Powell-with-a-scalpel they imagine.
All of which is moot. Carson won't be nominated and probably won't ever have to weather a real negative attack like we know Republicans can unleash when things don't go their way. He'll live in the special bubble God has made for him and continue to make huge speaking fees and get interviewed on Fox News for the next 30 years. He seems like a nice, if totally wacky guy, but he's not going to be a factor in this or any other election year.
sufrommich
(22,871 posts)(and only because) he's black.
The OP believes that garbage too:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1251&pid=757007
Bucky
(54,013 posts)I said his inspirational personal story is as big a factor too. It's not like they just pulled some random black guy off the street and said, "Hey, buddy, you run for president for us." He truly did some amazing things as a healer and really does speak the language of the Bible groping screwballs. If you watch enough Fox News, it all makes perfect sense strategically.
leftofcool
(19,460 posts)New info on medical malpractice and all................
Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)brooklynite
(94,572 posts)http://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/hillary-clinton-increases-her-lead-over-bernie-sanders-n456111
Art_from_Ark
(27,247 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)Cha
(297,240 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)Art_from_Ark
(27,247 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)This is basic Law And Order stuff, albeit on a federal level
Don't get your hopes up.
Well, you could hope there was a Republican administration but at that point they and everybody else would have lost interest in this partisan charade.
sufrommich
(22,871 posts)leftofcool
(19,460 posts)sufrommich
(22,871 posts)Your cited RCP poll is 2 weeks old.
Your other link is just someone's diary at Daily Kos.
Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)Got any POLLS to show she's gaining
sufrommich
(22,871 posts)Shouldn't the burden be on you to prove it using updated polls?
SidDithers
(44,228 posts)and, apparently, they both love the Washington Moonie Times.
Sid
Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)Cha
(297,240 posts)DCBob
(24,689 posts)She will surpass any of these RW loons once things settle and there is a single GOP opponent.
Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)DCBob
(24,689 posts)Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)DCBob
(24,689 posts)So what your tactic and purpose for posting such garbage?
JTFrog
(14,274 posts)Toss out some chum. Churn the waters. Reel in an empty line. Accuse everyone around you of bad behavior. Try again tomorrow.
Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)So every poll poste by team weathervane is chum?
Look, Candidate Inevitable is LOOSING
to a virtually unknown, outsider, physician,
as an AA, in a racist political party!
FFS, how could she POSSIBLY be loosing
to such an absurd candidate?
She has a BIG PROBLEM if she cant beat Carson.
JTFrog
(14,274 posts)Several people in this thread have called you out on your dishonesty.
It is what it is.
Cha
(297,240 posts)with pesky reality.
RandySF
(58,835 posts)Seriously? And September 3?
Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)RandySF
(58,835 posts)It's a right wing rag owned by the Moonies.
oasis
(49,387 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)The sexagenarian neurosurgeon from the state of Maryland is actually beating the septuagenarian senator from the state of Vermont:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_carson_vs_sanders-5677.html
worse than he is beating Secretary Clinton:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_carson_vs_clinton-5119.html
Historic NY
(37,449 posts)WI_DEM
(33,497 posts)Even Gallup had Romney winning up until their final poll. Right now the GOP candidates are getting the most attention. There hasn't been a campaign and many have no idea what Carson stands for.
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)Eric Bradner
By Eric Bradner, CNN
Updated 10:18 AM ET, Mon October 26, 2015
Washington (CNN)Ben Carson says he's soft-spoken now -- but he hasn't always been so calm.
"As a teenager, I would go after people with rocks, and bricks, and baseball bats, and hammers. And, of course, many people know the story when I was 14 and I tried to stab someone," Carson said Sunday on NBC's "Meet the Press."
http://www.cnn.com/2015/10/25/politics/ben-carson-violent-past-donald-trump/
***And he wants to destroy Medicare!***
Dr. Ben Carson's prescription: Abolish Medicare
The GOP frontrunner in the latest Iowa poll would replace Medicare and Medicaid with savings accounts.
By KYLE CHENEY and JASON MILLMAN 10/22/15 07:40 PM EDT
Republicans have fended off accusations for years that they'd gut Medicare for seniors and end the program "as we know it."
Not Ben Carson. The former neurosurgeon acknowledges he would abolish the program altogether.
http://www.politico.com/story/2015/10/ben-carson-medicare-medicaid-215055
If this dangerous nutcase gets the rethuglican nomination Hillary will win the GE in a landslide and her coattails will be long!
Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)Psychokiller
Blue_Adept
(6,399 posts)I don't see the term FUD around here these days like the days of old. But this utterly qualifies.
FEAR how Hillary's win will cause us to lose
UNCERTAINTY over whether should could handle the weakest of the GOP candidates if shes' being bested by Carson now (or two months ago, using the information provided above).
DOUBT over electability and everything else.
Just disturbing that we have people here going so far to demoralize fellow Democrats. Yeah, yeah, it'll all go away once the primaries are over. That happened last time as well with a solid exodus of members, followed by "purges" of other groups in the years that followed.
The hollowing out of DU continues and it's mostly done by ourselves.
Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)If not, its just FACTS, not FUD
Good Day!
LonePirate
(13,424 posts)But why let something like that prevent supporters of the two major Dem candidates from slinging mud at each other.
JTFrog
(14,274 posts)Let's just say that I'm phrasing that as generously as I can.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/1251757007
Bucky
(54,013 posts)Rand Paul and whoever that Senator Duckface from Tennessee was (Dr. Fish or Dr. Flerf or something) always got the honorific they'd earned.
SidDithers
(44,228 posts)Last edited Tue Nov 3, 2015, 06:50 PM - Edit history (1)
but I like Flerf much better.
Sid
Starry Messenger
(32,342 posts)racist swill like the OP was on fire. What's wrong folks? Come call this out, since you care so much.
restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)at our own peril. the righties don't use the same vetting and critical thinking process to select candidates as we do. not trying to be insulting to conservatives, but from what i see, they are more self serving (those at the top) and very visceral working off sound bites (the 99%).
for whatever reason, this guy is popular. and since policy doesn't matter to a whole lot of people, he isn't troubled by that pesky irritant to get support.
Sheepshank
(12,504 posts)you conveniently left out that the polls was limited to independents.
good fucking Christ, one would have thought you'd have learned from the last OP.
sufrommich
(22,871 posts)Makes this OP even more pathetic, if that's possible.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)No doubt that important fact was intentionally left out.
Cha
(297,240 posts)patsimp
(915 posts)this is the lying crap that Republicans always do.
are independents the only ones voting in an election.
valerief
(53,235 posts)more media lies and fake "democracy," or this poll is true, which means people are fuckin' dumb as rocks and I'm terrified of the rock people.
Forget the zombie apocalypse. If the poll is true, we have to deal with the rock-brain apocalypse NOW!
gollygee
(22,336 posts)and a lot of independents are libertarians.
valerief
(53,235 posts)missingthebigdog
(1,233 posts)"Mr. Carson led Mr. Sanders by 6 points, 42 percent to 36 percent."
That is from the same Washington Times poll, in the same article you linked. Apparently, none of the democratic candidates can beat the republicans, so we should just pick up our ball and go home. . . . . , though that shouldn't be necessary.
sabrina 1
(62,325 posts)Persondem
(1,936 posts)hairs well within the MoE.
Keep trying.
Besides if you think Carson will be the GOP nominee you have no idea about politics in the USA.
Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)Persondem
(1,936 posts)Emoticon fail. Cuz if you need an emoticon, you got nothing.
Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)Persondem
(1,936 posts)Sanders does worse against Carson than Clinton according to RCP.
Clinton is only down 4.8 points while Sanders is down 7.7
Clinton link here
Sanders link here
Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)It's right there in the polls,
plain as day, Carson is winning!
I guess Hillary wasn't so *electable*
She lost to an unknown doctor.
Persondem
(1,936 posts)kelliekat44
(7,759 posts)Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)Why won't it stick in a national election
aka. the *General Election*
lovemydog
(11,833 posts)Right wing garbage.
Carson seems like a good guy. But I'd never vote for him.
Persondem
(1,936 posts)RCP has Clinton down 4.8 while Sanders is down 7.7 to Carson.
And that data is from before Clinton got her October bounce.
So if this is really about electability versus Carson, Clinton wins that comparison easily.