2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumDid the Democratic drop-outs essentially end the race?
Hilary's poll numbers and leads have shot up over the last couple weeks. Did Bidens choice to not run and the departure of Webb and Chafee change the race? It looks like it might have essentially ended Bernie's campaign as well.
brooklynite
(94,572 posts)1. Clinton has always had a solid lead. There was some excitement among Sanders supporters about New Hampshire, and how that was a harbinger of national trends, but the polling numbers never reflected that. Add to which, the current lead had pretty much solidified by mid September (Clinton's decline and Sanders growth both flattened) before anyone dropped out.
2. The race won't end, because Sanders isn't running just to win; he's running to push his agenda. Like Jerry Brown in 1992, he'll run up until the end of the Primary season, no matter how many votes he gets, to talk about the issues that concern him.
Recursion
(56,582 posts)If O'Malley and Sanders both stay in after NH, and if O'Malley beats Sanders in either SC or NV (neither of which is inconceivable), the media narrative changes very quickly.
seabeckind
(1,957 posts)NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)(And if he does, the reaction from the hardcore Bernie followers will be fun to watch too.)
Recursion
(56,582 posts)Duckhunter935
(16,974 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)brooklynite
(94,572 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)eom
sufrommich
(22,871 posts)at the GOP Benghazi/witch trial helped her more that anything else.
Duckhunter935
(16,974 posts)Many will regret it when the anointed one gets the nomination and evolves back to the right.
VanillaRhapsody
(21,115 posts)how is that "anointed"?
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)VanillaRhapsody
(21,115 posts)frylock
(34,825 posts)Cassiopeia
(2,603 posts)before we call it over.
frylock
(34,825 posts)BooScout
(10,406 posts)Biden was never in. It was speculation that he 'may' jump in....and he never should have been included in polls.
Chafee and Webb never were in it with much of anything.....no campaigning to speak of, no support and no status in the polls.
I think Sander's campaign is stagnating because it never was going to appeal to the broad base of the Democratic Party.
Gman
(24,780 posts)If it was ever a rsce to begin with.