2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumHillary crushing Georgia 73% among likely Democratic primary voters.
In the much smaller Democratic field, the 11Alive News poll shows Hillary Clinton with a crushing lead, with 73 percent support among likely Democratic primary voters. Bernie Sanders follows with 16 percent support, then Martin O'Malley with 4 percent. Those results lead SurveyUSA pollsters to conclude "Sanders is not today competitive in Georgia".
"If you're at 73 percent with a year to go in the campaign, you're feeling really good about Georgia," Democrat strategist Tharon Johnson told 11Alive's Jennifer Leslie. Johnson says Clinton's camp will need Georgia--for votes and money--if Sanders has a strong showing in Iowa and New Hampshire.
"They've got to prepare themselves for a big showdown on Super Tuesday, and Georgia is going to be very prevalent on that day," he said.
http://www.11alive.com/story/news/politics/2015/11/02/exclusive-poll-georgia-wants-trump-president/74819370/
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)Go Hillary!!
Bubzer
(4,211 posts)BlueCaliDem
(15,438 posts)and I sincerely doubt Georgians will cast their vote for a Socialist, even though the media has successfully dropped that truth as they promote Bernie Sanders as a "Senator running for the Democratic ticket".
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)Do you know by chance if the Georgia primary is on Super Tuesday?
MineralMan
(146,324 posts)See my post below. It sends more delegates to the convention than Iowa and New Hampshire combined.
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)I have no doubt about the amount of delegates vs Iowa and NH.
BlueCaliDem
(15,438 posts)VanillaRhapsody
(21,115 posts)between Socialist Democrat and Democratic Socialist!
BlueCaliDem
(15,438 posts)Thanks so much for your informative and fact-based post - which I've bookmarked, by the way. It opened my eyes, I tell ya! I couldn't stop talking it about it with group of young voters who are now telling their friends!
VanillaRhapsody
(21,115 posts)I am glad to be of service!
JaneyVee
(19,877 posts)MineralMan
(146,324 posts)It sends 112 delegates to the Democratic National Convention. NH and IA combined send just 84 delegates. Even though it's unlikely that Georgia will go with Democrats in the General Election, its primary elections are important in choosing a nominee for Democrats.
Source: http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/
BlueCaliDem
(15,438 posts)riversedge
(70,275 posts)but had forgotten it. Thanks
Hortensis
(58,785 posts)Obama lost by only 5% in 2008 and just under 8% in 2012. Nobody thinks it's likely before 2020 at earliest, but we are in the middle of change here as well as nationally.
riversedge
(70,275 posts)Hortensis
(58,785 posts)maybe we can at least scare the bejesus out of them! Or, on a more kindly note, start getting the folk around here prepared for change...
Dawgs
(14,755 posts)She will lose by a lot more than 8%.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,711 posts)NonMetro
(631 posts)Pretty much the same for other Southern states, too. The only ones probably in play would be Florida and possibly Virginia?
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,711 posts)Hortensis
(58,785 posts)People in general are restless and dissatisfied. Some are downright angry. If we were all pulling the same direction the planet'd tip over. But what about just most of us?
Well, what's that song, again? "A Dream is a Wish Your Heart Makes?" LOL.
We'll see.
LonePirate
(13,429 posts)GA is heading blue. It may not happen in 2016; but 2020 and especially 2024 are certainly in play.
Dawgs
(14,755 posts)Not because Georgia is "heading" blue. It might be in another 20 to 30 years, but not anytime soon. No way it's as close as many on the left want to think.
riversedge
(70,275 posts)EXCLUSIVE POLL: Georgia wants Trump as president
Hortensis
(58,785 posts)Blue_Adept
(6,400 posts)Hortensis
(58,785 posts)The characteristics that lead someone to like Trump are carefully avoided as much as possible.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)Bernie is toast once past NH.
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)Bernie is just like President Obama, hes automatically going to pick up the Obama coalition because....reasons.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,711 posts)eom
riversedge
(70,275 posts)State SurveyUSA #Georgia Poll: Nov 2 Clinton 73, Sanders 16
http://www.11alive.com/story/news/politics/2015/11/02/exclusive-poll-georgia-wants-trump-president/74819370/
In the much smaller Democratic field, the 11Alive News poll shows Hillary Clinton with a crushing lead, with 73 percent support among likely Democratic primary voters. Bernie Sanders follows with 16 percent support, then Martin O'Malley with 4 percent. Those results lead SurveyUSA pollsters to conclude "Sanders is not today competitive in Georgia".
"If you're at 73 percent with a year to go in the campaign, you're feeling really good about Georgia," Democrat strategist Tharon Johnson told 11Alive's Jennifer Leslie. Johnson says Clinton's camp will need Georgia--for votes and money--if Sanders has a strong showing in Iowa and New Hampshire. .....
edit--i will post elsewhere. Thanks for OP
SoLeftIAmRight
(4,883 posts)just something to consider
RoccoR5955
(12,471 posts)When a massive amount of "not likely" voters come to the primary, and vote for Bernie?
I cannot believe that all the liberal folks I know in Georgia who are Bernie supporters are the only ones.
Surely this poll is doctored, as are all of them.
VanillaRhapsody
(21,115 posts)and psssssstttt.....most supporting HRC...are Liberals just like she...
1StrongBlackMan
(31,849 posts)They are considered "unlikely voters" for a reason ... because they have indicated that they are unlikely to vote.
RoccoR5955
(12,471 posts)The polling organization has stated that due to demographics, that they are unlikely to vote.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,711 posts)Thank you in advance.
RoccoR5955
(12,471 posts)I worked for a polling organization back in the 70s. You want online citation, just look at the methodology of any of these polls. You want to see my personal citation, on paper? Well then you have to arrange a visit with me. These shall not ever be posted online, but you can see them by simply looking at the methodology that polling organizations use. Look at the questions they ask, and how they are carefully crafted. Google is your friend here.
SoapBox
(18,791 posts)My company is HQ'd in Georgia...wheww, those that I talk to there do NOT like her.
SunSeeker
(51,649 posts)The folks you're talking to may be Republicans.
brooklynite
(94,688 posts)VanillaRhapsody
(21,115 posts)RandySF
(59,136 posts)willvotesdem
(75 posts)Sanity Claws
(21,851 posts)She is not crushing Georgia. You might say she is crushing the primary or the polls (still odd phrasing) but she is not crushing Georgia. If anything, Georgia seems to have a crush on her, if she polls at 73%.
I'm not a former English major but I do like precision in speech. Excuse me while I adjust my monocle.
SunSeeker
(51,649 posts)VanillaRhapsody
(21,115 posts)WI_DEM
(33,497 posts)with these results Super Tuesday will be a big day for HRC and Trump.
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)will be a huge day for Hillary I bet!
RoccoR5955
(12,471 posts)to put your money where your mouth is?
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)I'm a working stiff in this great workers paradise we all know and love.
All my money goes to bills and to try and keep my families head above water.
But I will put my ballot in the box for Hillary asap.
RoccoR5955
(12,471 posts)I am also a working stiff, but my vote goes to the person who shall win. That would be Bernie.
You should remember that Clinton is a former Goldwater Girl, was on the boards of WallMart and Monsanto. I hope that this supports your working class values. It does not support mine.
Cha
(297,503 posts)Robbins
(5,066 posts)back In october/november 2007 she would have sweeped the primarys according to polls then.
It's so funny how some here want to take Clinton winning polls as gospel but ignore those that have trump winning GOP or GE
polls.Primary polls when voting takes 3 or 4 months later can be just as wrong as GE a year from now.