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Historic NY

(37,451 posts)
Tue Oct 27, 2015, 01:55 PM Oct 2015

Clinton is rising in North Carolina

PPP's new North Carolina poll finds Hillary Clinton with her largest lead in the state since May. 61% of Democrats in the state support Clinton to 24% for Bernie Sanders, 5% for Martin O'Malley, and 2% for Lawrence Lessig. A month ago Clinton led 51/23 in a Joe Biden-less field and these numbers suggest that pretty much everyone who's made up their mind since then has gone into her camp.

North Carolina provides more evidence of Clinton's favorability numbers improving over the last month. She's gone up a net 9 points from +34 (63/29) in September to now +43 (67/24). Her lead is pretty steady across the board- she gets 74% with African Americans, 66% with seniors, 65% with liberals, 62% with women, 60% with men, 58% with moderates, and 57% with whites. The group where Sanders come closest is with younger voters, but even there Clinton still has a 50/34 advantage.



http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2015/10/clinton-rising-in-north-carolina.html

9 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Clinton is rising in North Carolina (Original Post) Historic NY Oct 2015 OP
Just pay no attention to this part of the article. jeff47 Oct 2015 #1
Oh you think Bernie would run better down south? workinclasszero Oct 2015 #3
Electability, which they had always said was a non issue, is now their main issue. nt. NCTraveler Oct 2015 #4
I detect moving goal posts this morning workinclasszero Oct 2015 #5
No, electability was supposed to be your main issue. jeff47 Oct 2015 #7
My, what a pretty strawman you've constructed. jeff47 Oct 2015 #6
BOOM!!! workinclasszero Oct 2015 #2
I guess Robbins Oct 2015 #8
Well done, Hillary! BlueCaliDem Oct 2015 #9

jeff47

(26,549 posts)
1. Just pay no attention to this part of the article.
Tue Oct 27, 2015, 02:00 PM
Oct 2015
In addition to her improved numbers in the primary, Hillary Clinton's doing an average of 4 points better in general election match ups against Republicans in North Carolina than she was a month ago. It's still not a great picture for her there- she trails 6 out of 8 of the GOP hopefuls we tested- but the margins are at least closer than they were a month ago.
 

workinclasszero

(28,270 posts)
3. Oh you think Bernie would run better down south?
Tue Oct 27, 2015, 02:06 PM
Oct 2015



It don't matter anyway, he has to win the nomination first!

Nice try at deflecting away from the horrible news for Bernie this morning!

jeff47

(26,549 posts)
7. No, electability was supposed to be your main issue.
Tue Oct 27, 2015, 02:13 PM
Oct 2015

And losing in the head-to-heads doesn't help with electability.

But as I mentioned in the reply below, NC's going to go to the Republican nominee no matter who's on the ballot.

jeff47

(26,549 posts)
6. My, what a pretty strawman you've constructed.
Tue Oct 27, 2015, 02:12 PM
Oct 2015

I'm sure someone who bothered to read the article in order to point out the poor general election matchups would only read the Clinton ones!!!!!

NC's going to the Republican nominee. Clinton has zero chance of overcoming the urban/rural divide in the state. Even Obama couldn't in 2012. An "outsider" like Sanders or O'Malley has a slim chance, in that upsetting the status-quo could upset the urban/rural divide some. But is also unlikely.

Add in the fact that there are easier states to win in order to get 270, and no Democratic candidate will bother to campaign in NC. So the current dynamic will not be changed and the state will be going to the Republican.

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