2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumCBS Poll: Statistical Tie in Iowa: Clinton 46-Sanders 43, NH Sanders 54-Clinton 39!
New CBS Poll: NH Sanders 54 - Clinton - 39, Iowa Clinton 46 - Sanders - 43So Iowa is neck and neck but New Hampshire looks like Sanders to lose. They also polled South Carolina, where Sanders has a lot of work to do to catch up with Clinton. I would have liked to see Nevada polled also since it is one of early states.
Great news for the Sanders Campaign!
Major Hogwash
(17,656 posts)But, I think now that the first debate is over, there is more momentum for Sanders.
I don't know how many Democrats paid attention to that debate, but I think the race will tighten even more after the 2nd debate.
sabrina 1
(62,325 posts)With both Chafee and Webb now out of the race, and Biden no longer included in polls, which I NEVER understood considering we are told these polls are 'scientific' I think these polls may begin to reflect the actual numbers, IF they start polling people who supporters of Sanders, but registered as Independents, and/or not yet registered in states where it is not required.
cui bono
(19,926 posts)DCBob
(24,689 posts)sabrina 1
(62,325 posts)angry about, on all sides. NOTHING to do with the ISSUES that people care about, just the same old show for political purposes.
Nearly everyone I know wanted to know why the hearings were not about 'WHY WERE IN LIBYA in the first place. I know what we were told, but that of course was a lie. And anyone who doubts that, only has to look at the unfortunate country today.
Hillary pushed for that and for us to get more involved in Syria. She is a War Hawk, and that is what those hearings reminded me of the terrible tragedy of Libya, the human cost, and again the lies they tell us to try to get us to go along with their Wars For Profit
DCBob
(24,689 posts)That will have an impact.
dreamnightwind
(4,775 posts)I wish that more of the electorate, and the party insiders, would look behind the production and question the larger issues, as Sabrina is doing above.
Both Libya and Syria are examples of U.S. destabilization of resource-rich regimes to furher the wealth and interests of mineral extraction industries, at a time when we need to be 100% focused on eliminating the use of such resources due to climate change.
sabrina 1
(62,325 posts)Libya. Same thing with the pressure on him re Syria. And then Iran. The Neocon playbook, she is so for these neocon wars.
I was struck by the reaction here on DU compared to the reaction in RL regarding those hearings. The question many people had was 'why were in Libya'? As I said, we know what they TOLD us.
Where are all the cheerleaders for the Libya invasion now?
I keep waiting for an update on the supposed 'humanitarian intervention' here, but I have seen nothing. Which doesn't surprise me. I have been following the humanitarian horrors in Libya over the past several years and it is HEARTBREAKING!
Only if you actually CARE about such things of course. Which most of us Dems do which is why we strongly opposed that invastion, and predicted the results. As we did with Iraq.
onehandle
(51,122 posts)Good to know.
sabrina 1
(62,325 posts)barely and in some states, under 50%. Not a good trend. Not to mention they can't poll many of Bernie's supporters who from the previously 'non-voter' huge demographic, who won't register in open primary states until they have to. I eg, helped get some of that demographic registered in NY which is a closed primary with the earliest registration requirement. I'm checking with them to see if any of them have been polled. So far, no!
Uncle Joe
(58,445 posts)Thanks for the thread, sabrina.
Segami
(14,923 posts)moobu2
(4,822 posts)dsc
(52,169 posts)this has been a poll that has had Hillary lower and Bernie higher than other polls. this poll shows Hillary went from losing Iowa by 10 in Sept. to winning it here by 3. Time will tell if this poll is more or less accurate than all the others but for now it is a clear outlier but it still shows here moving in a positive direction.