CBS News polls: Bernie up big in NH, HRC up big in SC--Iowa close

[book_worm]

A new CBS News poll in Iowa finds Hillary Clinton barely leading Bernie Sanders, 46% to 43%.

In New Hampshire, Sanders leads Clinton, 54% to 39%.

In South Carolina, Clinton leads Sanders by a wide margin, 68% to 25%.

http://politicalwire.com/2015/10/25/clinton-faces-tough-races-in-iowa-and-new-hampshire/

However, it should be pointed out that in the last CBS News Poll of Iowa in September Sanders was leading by ten-points (43-33) & by 52-30 percent in NH.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/nh/new_hampshire_democratic_presidential_primary-3351.html#polls

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/ia/iowa_democratic_presidential_caucus-3195.html#polls

[JaneyVee]

1. CBS has been horribly off this entire season.

They have constantly been outliers.

[dsc]

9. they have been outliers

time will tell if they are the ones who are off. I tend to agree that it is likely they are but time will tell.

[onehandle]

2. Hillary Clinton Leading In 50 States. nt

[Fearless]

14. Leading what? Leading people to believe she's for them?

[azmom]

3. Yeah, baby. Feel the Bern

[DCBob]

4. Pre Benghazi hearing.

[Eric J in MN]

5. CBS/YouGov is internet polls.

I have more faith in phone polls.

https://today.yougov.com/news/2015/09/13/methodology-2016-cbs-news-battleground-tracker/

[Fawke Em]

6. Yeah, coz we all have landlines, now.

[Eric J in MN]

10. Some phone polls include cellphones. NT

NT

[Agschmid]

7. Good news for Bernie in NH.

Guess I'll just have to work harder.

[Walk away]

13. Hey! I think Bernie would make a great President of New Hampshire!

[restorefreedom]

8. any poll that shows hillary down has to be wrong. nt

[tritsofme]

11. Meh, YouGov internet based polls are questionable. Surprised that CBS is partnering with them.

Maybe this will be the cycle they break through, but count me a skeptic.

[BlueCheese]

12. These YouGov polls are erratic.

I doubt the margins in SC and NH are as big as are being reported.

YouGov relies on Internet polling, with some controls to try to make sure the pool of respondents matches that of the population. There are probably big sampling issues, though. I know the NYT partnered with YouGov at some point, but they've either dropped that or greatly downplayed it.