TPM Editor's Blog--- Hillary's Big, Big Night

[riversedge]

http://talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/hillary-s-big-big-night


TPM Editor's Blog

Hillary's Big, Big Night

ByJosh Marshall

Published October 14, 2015, 8:54 AM EDT 2006 views

As I noted last night, Hillary Clinton turned in a very solid debate performance. She was polished, turned away questions about what would seem to be her greatest vulnerabilities with confident and convincing pivots and more than anything else she had the feel of a candidate on the rebound. As I also wrote last night, the collapse of the 'Benghazi' committee and its associated nonsense came at the perfect moment for her. The debate would have had a very different feel to it had it been held six weeks ago.

We were running Insight polls overnight and this morning, gauging reactions to the debate and re-testing Democratic primary preference questions we've been running for the last four months. Based on those results I would expect you'll see Hillary get a substantial boost in the polls coming out of night's first debate.

Let me give you a basic breakdown.

First, Bernie Sanders had a really good night too. Just based on my own impression, if you're a fan of Bernie Sanders or someone whose politics make you at all amenable to being a fan of Bernie Sanders, you like what you saw.....................

Hillary's favorability numbers also went up, but not dramatically. Where you see the difference is on candidate preference where her support shot up a lot. She took some support from Sanders, but not much. Where she got most of her support was from people who'd been supporting Joe Biden (obviously not even in the race) and people who'd moved into the undecided column. .....................

[randome]

1. To me, Marshall's take is the tie-breaker.

[hr][font color="blue"][center]You should never stop having childhood dreams.[/center][/font][hr]

[onehandle]

2. Hillary doesn't need of her numbers to rise to win this.

And yet they did.

Marshall is right.

[riversedge]

6. but I am glad they did

[MineralMan]

3. Seems like a pretty good analysis.

I expect we'll see it confirmed in the real polling, too.

Biden will bail, I'm sure.

[w4rma]

4. Sander's "already high favorability numbers actually went up significantly." Unfavorables plummeted.

And our numbers show that his already high favorability numbers actually went up significantly. His unfavorables, already low, plummeted. Remember, even if you're a Democratic news junkie and know about Sanders and his campaign, there are many people for whom this was the first time seeing speak live for a substantial amount of time.

[jeff47]

5. Josh has been posting "Sanders can't possibly win" articles for a while now.

He's not exactly impartial.

We'll see how this really shakes out over the next week or so.

[randome]

7. He calls it like he sees it. Saying Sanders can't possibly win is how he sees it.

[hr][font color="blue"][center]You should never stop having childhood dreams.[/center][/font][hr]

[jeff47]

8. Hence he's "not exactly impartial".

He's got a very strong opinion, and all of his articles are run through that opinion.