2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumToe sucker Dick Morris has seen 'the real polls' and 'trend is' toward Romney
Of course he has nothing to back it up his claim:
Dick Morris says the polls reported by the media are not accurate.
"On Friday, I saw the real numbers. These state-by-state polls, taken by an organization I trust (after forty years of polling) show the real story. The tally is based on more than 600 likely voter interviews in each swing state within the past eight days."
"The trend line is distinctly pro-Romney. Of the thirteen states studied, he improved or Obama slipped in nine states while the reverse happened in only four. To read the media, one would think that Romney had a terrible month. In fact, the exact reverse is true."
http://politicalwire.com/archives/2012/08/06/the_real_numbers.html
JoePhilly
(27,787 posts)Adenoid_Hynkel
(14,093 posts)Whatever Morris says, always expect the opposite to happen.
The guy has a worse track record than Bill Kristol and the Amazing Criswell combined.
Here are some of his greatest misses:
http://mediamatters.org/blog/2011/03/24/good-news-for-democrats-dick-morris-predicts-go/177904
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/mark-nickolas/worst-pundit-in-america-d_b_160212.html
brooklynite
(94,571 posts)I saw it in a movie!
Adenoid_Hynkel
(14,093 posts)One should never doubt the wondrous powers of Criswell:
RedStateLiberal
(1,374 posts)because Romney is trending down and Obama is trending up. Even Rasmussen has Obama ahead in the general election now.
JaneQPublic
(7,113 posts)...indicating McCain would win: "There's your math, then there's real math."
budkin
(6,703 posts)re: Midterm elections
JaneQPublic
(7,113 posts)mazzarro
(3,450 posts)With all his predictions failing to materialize even once, why is he even on TV? I guess the Faux-nuts are so brain dead that they do not know any better to ditch him in a back country roadside hole. This idiot has not come up with one prediction that has panned out in the last ten years!
budkin
(6,703 posts)Despite the polls, Rove said it was virtually impossible for the Dems to take back the House accoring to his math. LOL
BeyondGeography
(39,374 posts)in September and October, which includes the three debates.
The only thing he has spelled out in any detail is his tax plan, and that is DOA.
There was also his attempt to burnish his overseas credentials...how'd that go?
Health care? Repeal. Dodd-Frank? Repeal. Replace with what? Who knows.
As bad as this stretch has been for Romney, the fall will be much worse.
Proud Liberal Dem
(24,412 posts)The debates should basically be a TKO for Romney's candidacy IMHO. I'm buying tons of popcorn to watch them with.
OffWithTheirHeads
(10,337 posts)Proud Liberal Dem
(24,412 posts)Election Night will be just that much sweeter IMHO!
Cannikin
(8,359 posts)From an article about poll reliability:
Why does it matter? Because polls, whether reliable or unreliable, accurate or inaccurate, are reported by the news media and devoured by political insiders. Early polls can influence a race by giving a candidate an artificial boost, encouraging supporters and donors to get behind someone who appears to be winning or at least has a shot. Early in a race, polls can, to some degree, become self-fulfilling prophecies.
Here's how it works in Wisconsin: Rasmussen does a poll, duly reported by WisPolitics, the Associated Press, Journal Sentinel, bloggers, and others. The poll, overloaded with Republicans/conservatives, tells us that in our candidate and issue choices we are more conservative than we really are. That feeds the "Dems can't do this because voters don't want it" narrative of the media, and give chicken-hearted Dem officeholders a reason to derail progressive policy and legislation. That may sound like a conspiracy theory, but it is the way things work.
http://uppitywis.org/why-rasmussen-polls-tilt-republican
C_U_L8R
(45,002 posts)Its just a bunch of Rightwing wishful thinking.
TheCowsCameHome
(40,168 posts)That's his biggest problem.
Response to WI_DEM (Original post)
AtomicKitten This message was self-deleted by its author.
progressivebydesign
(19,458 posts)Adenoid_Hynkel
(14,093 posts)Here's a hilarious one he made on Hannity last week:
I guarantee you, Sean, based on what I have heard from third parties or I have spoken to, that William Jefferson Clinton is going to cast his ballot for Mitt Romney, Morris said. However, hes going to open his mouth for Barack Obama because his wife is hostage. They have her under lock and key as Secretary of State, and he is scared that Obama will lose and blame him if he undermines Obama. So he will do everything he asks him to do, and then he will jab him whenever he can.
http://dailycaller.com/2012/07/31/dick-morris-clinton-is-going-to-cast-his-ballot-for-mitt-romney
The guy is the Weekly World News of pundits.
ilikeitthatway
(143 posts)Most of the GOP suffers from it.
dougtaylor
(8 posts)yellowcanine
(35,699 posts)Not sure he even keeps up with a stopped clock on getting it correct.