2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumI like the trend at the 538 poll site - seems to have updated today....
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/Nov 6 forecast - 300 EV, 72.4% chance of winning.
Nowcast has it at 77.1% chance.
Many a mile to go, but the trend is lovely to behold.
You just keep those taxes secret, Mitt Wit...drip...drip...drip....
safeinOhio
(32,680 posts)thevoiceofreason
(3,440 posts)And we are 13 weeks, 2 days from election day - in Texas, we are 10 weeks, one day from Early Voting.
Heh.
grantcart
(53,061 posts)Interesting that the Indiana poll from Ras got a big yawn from Nate.
There is very little movement in swing states and not as much drama as you would expect except for VA, FL, IA and CO.
If Obama takes NC it will only be because of the convention and if he takes NC it will close all EC doors for a Romney win.
I go there every day to see what he has added.
Kalidurga
(14,177 posts)There are a lot of low population states that will likely go for Romney. I don't know why that is, it is very strange. It is almost as if isolation causes some kind of mental disconnect with facts or something. Anyway, 4 EVs here and there is all Romney is going to get the high EV states are going to be Blue.
SheilaT
(23,156 posts)It was the best look into our election I've ever seen.
What I'm right now remembering best is that the 538 people were out visiting campaign headquarters for both campaigns in October, and basically the McCain campaign offices were dead, nothing happening, while the Obama ones were buzzing and busy.
Best political site ever.
Mutt22
(76 posts)I am always depressed to see my own state of Indiana as a win for Rmoney.
NRaleighLiberal
(60,014 posts)all things are possible if we get a MittMeltDown!
rocktivity
(44,576 posts)long hot dirty black summer.
rocktivity
progressoid
(49,990 posts)I've always been confident that the President will get re-elected (barring some calamity). It's the local races that worry me.
Jeff In Milwaukee
(13,992 posts)And let's win back the House!
mgcgulfcoast
(1,127 posts)keep it coming.