2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumWhat Is Taking Joe Biden So Long?
I agree with this article that Biden is standing by as a failsafe for the party http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/politics/2015/09/joe_biden_is_taking_a_long_time_to_decide_about_running_for_president_is.html
The Democratic Party, or at least its establishment, needs a B Teama candidate and a campaign to run if Clinton cant. Sanders doesnt fit the bill, and Martin OMalleywho sits near the bottom of the polls, with 1 percentisnt visible enough to meet the challenge. Biden, the sitting vice president, is the natural choice. And so he does the work: He talks with lawmakers, sits with officials, meets with donors, and builds the skeleton of a campaign, with enough muscle to move if necessary. In the meantime, hell enjoy the attention of media and supporters. After all, its nice.
So long as there is no implosion in the Clinton campaign, I doubt that Biden will get into the race. If Biden does get in, he will be the nominee
rug
(82,333 posts)SheilaT
(23,156 posts)He may also be basking in all the attention, a very human sort of thing. But I sincerely doubt he has the heart to run, especially so soon after the death of his son.
hifiguy
(33,688 posts)valerief
(53,235 posts)steal the New Dem thunder.
Juicy_Bellows
(2,427 posts)Go Bernie!
panader0
(25,816 posts)If he did eventually run, I think voters would be hesitant to back him because of the lack of fire in his belly.
monmouth4
(9,709 posts)HereSince1628
(36,063 posts)That would be pretty ugly for Biden and it could be a disaster for the New Dems.
I think he'll hold out until he cannot. I think it'll be a matter of trick-or-treat.
He has enough name recognition to miss the 1st Dem debate. But he'll need to act by about Halloween, as some time will be required to get the paperwork done to get his name on the NH ballot and the deadline is mid Nov.
We've waited about 3 months, waiting another one isn't a big deal.