2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumBernie Sanders Wins if Joe Biden Runs
The net effect of a Biden candidacy will be to divide the current Clinton vote in the Clinton-Sanders contest, leaving Sanders in a stronger position. Projecting out all current trends it is easy to envision Bernie Sanders first, Hillary Clinton second and Joe Biden third in this three-way race.
Here is the most likely scenario in the coming weeks:
For the first time since he announced for president Mr. Sanders is beginning to receive at least some of the favorable media attention similar to what I have written about him for months for Observer and in The Hill newspaper.
It is now clear to political observers, and belatedly but increasingly reported in major media, that Mr. Sanders has an excellent chance of winning both the Iowa caucus and New Hampshire primary. (I wrote in the Observer back on June 15 that the Iowa caucus was within reach.) This long overdue media attention that Mr. Sanders is beginning to receive today will further lift his standing in the campaign.
When the quarterly campaign fundraising reports are released in early October I predict the political world, and the political media, will be astounded by the fundraising success of the Sanders campaign from small donors, racking up numbers that will enable Mr. Sanders to even further expand his campaign in Iowa, New Hampshire and the next tier of states that follow.
http://observer.com/2015/09/bernie-sanders-wins-if-joe-biden-runs/
NorthCarolina
(11,197 posts)Avalux
(35,015 posts)But I agree with the writer's opinion that if Joe gets in, it siphons voters away from Hillary.
NorthCarolina
(11,197 posts)and i doubt that they are as committed to Hillary as her supporters are. Hillary, Joe, Gore...doesn't matter to them in the big picture as long as the eventual nominee is one of theirs.
I fully expect many more trial balloons being sent up, but I doubt any will have the hoped for effect.