Quinnipiac Poll: Obama and Romney tied in Virginia

[WI_DEM]

A new Quinnipiac poll in Virginia finds Mitt Romney now in a dead heat with President Obama at 44% each.

Obama held an 8 point lead in March and a 5 point lead in June.

Said pollster Peter Brown: "Virginia voters are sharply split along gender and political lines about the presidential race. The two candidates equally hold their own political bases and are splitting the key independent vote down the middle. One small edge that President Obama has is likability. Voters have a slightly more favorable opinion of the president than they do Mitt Romney."

http://politicalwire.com/archives/2012/07/19/virginia_is_dead_even.html

Another state where Obama is losing ground--adding to recent PPP polls of Iowa and New Mexico. It's going to be a long campaign with lots of ups and downs I think.

[thevoiceofreason]

1. Check out Q's swerve in sampling

More R's, more men, more 55+ than then June sample. Use the same sample metrics as June? Obama up 6-8%

[budkin]

2. I never understand why they do this... there should be a disclaimer

[DCBob]

3. They make assumptions on turnout..

this is how polling firms can skew results almost any way they want.

[Marzupialis]

8. Do you think RV polls are more accurate?

Or are LV more accurate historically?

[DCBob]

9. LV but not until we get closer to election day.

The likely voter universe can change dramatically as we near the election.

[Rosa Luxemburg]

4. Why do so many Virginians like tricky Mitt?

I don't think our message is getting through?

[DCBob]

5. Lots of hard core RWinger conservative redneck types there.

Many were shocked Obama won VA in 2008. Historically its a Red state. The urban areas, especially Northern VA made the difference.

[Rosa Luxemburg]

6. what do they want from him?

it's the male redneck/contractor - seems to be state-wide.

[DCBob]

7. Its just an R vs a D to them.

They want an R.