2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumClinton Leads but Sanders Gains, Loras College Poll Finds
DUBUQUE, Iowa Hillary Clinton continues to hold a sizeable advantage over her nearest rivals according to the new Loras College Poll released today. The news is not all positive for Clinton, however, as her level of support has decreased since the last Loras Poll in April. Perhaps more importantly, the latest poll shows the support for her nearest rival, Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders, has risen dramatically.
Clinton continues to hold the advantages in public support, organization in the field and support within the Democratic Party establishment, commented Associate Professor of Politics and Director of the Loras College Poll, Christopher Budzisz, Ph.D. But, this summer has been very good for Senator Sanders. He has drawn large and enthusiastic crowds in the state and across the country. We have seen substantial positive movement for Sanders in our polling...."
http://loras.edu/About-Loras/News-Events/News/2015/Clinton-Leads-but-Sanders-Gains,-Loras-College-Pol.aspx
The information above is from the actual Loras Poll website.
onehandle
(51,122 posts)Thanks. That is good news!
guillaumeb
(42,641 posts)at what point might the rising line meet the falling line?
guillaumeb
(42,641 posts)And yes, it does point out the hazards of extrapolating too much from data and trends.
I looked at the Huffpost for polling from Sep 2014 through Sep 2015. During the nearly one year between the Sep 10, 2014 poll and the Sep 2, 2015 poll, HRC dropped from 63.2% to 52.0%. Sanders rose from 3.2% to 23.0%.
Does this mean that Sanders will close the gap or win in Iowa? He still must overcome organizational and funding disparities.
onehandle
(51,122 posts)That's all, though. Senator Sanders isn't Obama, and there are zero indications that he has a chance to win the nomination.
Stallion
(6,474 posts)Landslide is coming
SonderWoman
(1,169 posts)If we look at the last Iowa polls.