2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumHillary Clinton's declining favorability numbers, in context
Buried beneath Wednesday's eye-popping headlines about Hillary Clinton's sinking favorability ratings, you'll find the reason that she's still on course to win the Democratic primary.
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A full 80 percent of Democrats view Clinton favorably, compared with 70 percent who feel that way about Biden. Her number among African Americans is 79 percent, and it's 68 percent among Hispanics. By comparison, Biden is viewed favorably by just 67 percent of African Americans and 49 percent of Hispanics.
That helps explain why Clinton is blowing her Democratic competition out of the water in national horse-race polls. She was up 35 percentage points in a head-to-head matchup with Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders in a PPP poll conducted August 28 to 30 and held a 45-22-18 lead over Sanders and Biden in a Quinnipiac survey conducted from August 20 to 25.
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The Clinton ship has taken on water. But, along with other recent surveys, this poll tell us that Clinton is still running away with her party's nomination and remains in better position than any of her Republican or Democratic rivals to advance to the all-important second round of the presidential race. For someone who lost the 2008 primary in part because she looked ahead to the general election, it makes sense to focus on winning the primary first in 2016. On that score, she's still in great shape.
http://www.vox.com/2015/9/2/9247783/clinton-declining-poll-numbers
Romulox
(25,960 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)eom
Romulox
(25,960 posts)whatchamacallit
(15,558 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)Scootaloo
(25,699 posts)This explains the frantic bailing, I suppose.
cali
(114,904 posts)It all depend on.who the republican nominee is and who can excite their respective parties. But let's face it, republicans will turn out to vote against her, and she's in trouble with independents.
ram2008
(1,238 posts)Mainly her favorability among Registered Voters is lower-- down to: 43 fav/ 56 unfav
Her fav among whites is 34/65 and on the decline, minority support hasn't been measured much, but I believe hispanics are starting to slowly turn away from her. The more people start paying attention, the more her numbers will drop. Haven't seen any evidence yet that that isn't the case. It's still very early.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)Her fav among whites is 34/65 and on the decline, minority support hasn't been measured much, but I believe hispanics are starting to slowly turn away from her.
Her favorability rating with Hispanics was 68% in the 7/15 Univision Poll which is the gold standard for polling Hispanic voters:
http://huelladigital.univisionnoticias.com/the-latin-vote/
and it is 68% today in the ABC-WAPO poll...
The evidence suggests Madame Secretary remains hugely popular with non majority voters
leveymg
(36,418 posts)If she's not electable, Democrats shouldn't be supporting her.