FiveThirtyEight Endorsement Update: Clinton 310, Biden 11, O'Malley 1, Sanders 0

[Cali_Democrat]

UPDATED 5:28 p.m. EDT | August 21

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-endorsement-primary/

[leftofcool]

1. That is fantastic!

[think]

2. To be clear. That's 310 points on a weighted scale. That is not the # of endorsements.

And state representatives and senators don't get any points.

So basically FiveThirtyEight.com has chosen to portrait the statistical data in this fashion which can be inferred (As the OP has chosen to do) in a way which skews the perception of what is actually being presented.

Of course, not all endorsements are equally valuable. We use a simple weighting system:

10 points for governors,
5 points for U.S. senators
1 point for U.S. representatives
(there are roughly five times as many representatives as senators and 10 times as many representatives as governors).

[Number23]

8. Thanks for pointing that out.

[think]

9. YW. I initially thought Hillary had 310 endorsements so it is a bit confusing.

[BooScout]

14. yes well O is still O for Bernie any way you weight it n/t

[think]

18. No. It's 0 the way the site weighs it by not including state reps and senators. So weigh it anyway

you like to make it fit your meme but understand that it's not a complete representation of governmental endorsements statistically.

[BooScout]

20. I'm not much for memes....

I'd say the Sanders campaign is big on memes.....but not on endorsements.

[leftofcool]

23. State Reps usually don't get to be super delegates.

[brooklynite]

34. Reminder that all these offices come with a superdelegate vote.

[think]

35. {Edit:} I see now that only some states require impartiality. My bad...

Last edited Mon Aug 24, 2015, 06:02 PM - Edit history (1)

[leftofcool]

3. I see Joe got endorsements from his home State. Way to go Joe!

[cali]

4. oh noes.

[Cali_Democrat]

5. I'm going to post this update weekly

I look forward to your continued brilliant analysis.

[Number23]

6. Seriously. I really do hope that you post it weekly. It's excellent information

[last1standing]

7. Ok. Still voting for Bernie, thanks.

[djean111]

10. Me too. In fact, I cannot think of anything that would change my mind. :-)

[last1standing]

11. I'd stop supporting him if he started acting like Hillary.

I kind of like having a candidate who doesn't tell me that he'll give me his views AFTER he wins the election.

[hrmjustin]

12. How dare you posts facts like that!

[djean111]

13. No one is questioning the facts.

Just saying that those particular facts are not anything to switch support from one candidate to another over.
For those who are basing support on issues, mind you, not for those who base support on other things, like money amassed, and endorsements. Of course, I think everybody knows that, and this stuff is really just pointless neener-neener stuff at best. IMO, of course.

[hrmjustin]

16. A lot of things on this site are done to stick it to the other side.

[lunamagica]

15. Oh, wow!!!

[pinstikfartherin]

17. If I'm against the corrupt establishment in politics...

why should I want a candidate with endorsements from the establishment? To me that shows they support the status quo, and I'm sick to death of the status quo.

[SMC22307]

19. I root for the underdog.

Just like Sanders.

[Attorney in Texas]

21. This couldn't possibly be less surprising; status quo officials support status quo candidates, but

the endorsements over on Grandpa's Old Party is somewhat interesting. Jebush is turning in a performance that is historically poor.

[bigdarryl]

24. Chris Christie is second among the republicans

DAMN!!!!!

[morningfog]

25. Sanders is the quintessential career outsider in DC. Perfect combo.

[Jamaal510]

26. Not a single endorsement for Trump, the GOP frontrunner?

C'mon now, he says that he's a genius and that he'd make America great again and that the people in D.C. are all idiots!

[bowens43]

27. meaningless......

[bigdarryl]

28. Meaningless: NOT REALLY!! a nice piece of a predictor

[leftofcool]

29. Really? You do understand that endorsements translate to super delegates?

[CanadaexPat]

30. Apparently Daischle would change his endorsement if Biden entered.

How many of Clinton's endorsers are soft? Does 538 factor that in?

[immoderate]

31. Vote with the establishment? What could go wrong?

--imm

[Gothmog]

32. Thank you for the update

[striegl]

33. Endorsements don't always win nominations

1988 - Gephardt lead in endorsements, but Dukakis won the nomination
2004 - Gephardt and Dean lead in endorsements, but Kerry won the nomination
2008 - Clinton lead in endorsements, but Obama won the nomination

Guess we'll just have to see who wins this one