2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumThe Clinton campaign in a nutshell
Primary - Clinton runs to the left to secure the nomination. Her supporters tout her liberal evolution. Of course the trick is talk the talk without actually committing to any lefty positions the republicans could use against her in the GE. This would explain her reluctance to take a hard stand on many polarizing issues.
GE - Having secured the nomination, Clinton runs to the right to mop up. Her supporters forget about her "evolution" and tout her pragmatism. She returns to her natural, default neoliberal state.
If her campaign doesn't self-destruct, I think that's how it will play out.
postatomic
(1,771 posts)Thanks for your 'reading'. Oh, can you tell me if I'm going to win the Lottery? Should I buy a ticket?
libdem4life
(13,877 posts)And, you shouldn't be wasting your money at the Lottery, but that's not psychic...it's well-founded opinion.
postatomic
(1,771 posts)Okay, I'll forget the Lottery. Thanks.
AgingAmerican
(12,958 posts)postatomic
(1,771 posts)It requires some level of fact based analysis and I don't see that here. This opinion is less about historical precedent and more about feelings. Feelings about a person that you are trying to present in an unfavorable light.
Bjorn Against
(12,041 posts)George II
(67,782 posts)Bjorn Against
(12,041 posts)postatomic
(1,771 posts)I base my support on what I see in the 3 Dimensional World and I'm very confident that she will be the nominee. But, I could be wrong. I doubt it, but there is always that possibility.
Bjorn Against
(12,041 posts)If others can't make predictions without you snarkily calling them "psychics" then your predictions should also be snarkily dismissed as "psychic".
frylock
(34,825 posts)postatomic
(1,771 posts)Until then I will stand by my position that this is nothing more than a negative opinion based on personal feelings.
HereSince1628
(36,063 posts)It's been that way for decades.
You have to get to be nominee so you -must- appeal to a majority of the base. This cycle, the base seems much more toward the traditional left. The successful candidates will all run lefter than usual.
But you also have to get a majority in the GE so campaigns move toward the middle, which for dems is obviously back toward the right from their primary position.
It's a theme that even ran across a handful of episodes of West Wing
Autumn
(45,120 posts)You can't win the lottery if you don't buy a ticket and Hillary will run to the left but won't stay there. Just common sense.
oasis
(49,410 posts)Oh Knowledgeable One.
hedgehog
(36,286 posts)of winning the election if Hillary is not the candidate. So, given my concern over the Supreme Court.......
oasis
(49,410 posts)hedgehog
(36,286 posts)to poor turnout by the Democrats, knowing that many in the Democratic Party are unenthusiastic about her, knowing that many Americans absolutely hate her and fearing that Trump will be her opponent, I don't think she would be our best candidate.
oasis
(49,410 posts)Fearless
(18,421 posts)whatchamacallit
(15,558 posts)One of the 99
(2,280 posts)Run to your base in the primary. Run to the middle in the general. Nothing earthshaking there.
Fearless
(18,421 posts)One of the 99
(2,280 posts)Fearless
(18,421 posts)One of the 99
(2,280 posts)Have reality on my side.