Rasmussen: Romney ahead by 1 in Florida

[Rosanna Lopez]

Florida: Romney vs. Obama

Rasmussen Reports

Romney +1

Obama 45

Romney 46

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/florida/election_2012_florida_president

If Obama is only behind Romney by 1 point in a Rasmussen poll, he may actually be ahead by several points. So this is probably a good poll for Obama.

[HockeyMom]

1. Too close for comfort

Then add the Voter Purge by the Alien Governor, it is very, very worrisome. I constantly wonder if my vote as a Dem even counted last time.

[SDjack]

4. Vote with absentee ballot to get your vote counted.

[MADem]

2. Rasmussen. I don't believe them at all. nt

[Drunken Irishman]

3. So, Obama is really up 4.

[yellowcanine]

5. You got it. EV.com has Obama up in Fla by 4.

http://electoral-vote.com/

[oldhippydude]

6. close polls

scare the hell out of me... with votor suppresion laws on the books

[Drunken Irishman]

8. FL is almost always going to be close, dude...

It sucks. But no candidate really ever wins by a comfortable margin.

Obama won it by 2.8% in '08
Bush won it by 5% in '04
Bush 'won' it by .1% in '00
Clinton won it by 5.8 in '96
Bush won it by 1.89 in '92

That's an average margin of just 3.1 over the last five elections. It's going to be close, no matter who's running. Clinton and Bush are the only ones who won it by a fairly okay margin and even 5% is pretty close.

[Sekhmets Daughter]

7. I live in Florida

We are being drowned in "Earned A Say" ads sponsored by AARP. While I will be eligible for Medicare myself next year, I am thoroughly disgusted by the self involved elderly who think they are entitled to a million of dollars of health care because they paid in $65K of medicare taxes. The average Medicare recipient will use benefits totaling $175K and that was in 2011...costs keep going up.

[Cali_Democrat]

9. That means Obama is ahead

Rasmussen always underestimates Obama's support.

[SoutherDem]

10. Not saying it is not close but

Rusmussen polls always favor the Republicans. I don't try to adjust the margin of error, I just pretend it isn't there.

[MidwestTransplant]

11. Yep good news.

[cindyperry2010]

12. see these and tell me why

it matters. (It doesn't)
http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2012-florida-president-romney-vs-obama?gemthis
this one
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/general_election_romney_vs_obama-1171.html
you can make polls say whatever electoral college delegate counts

[Maximumnegro]

13. FL is take or leave

Florida is not a must-have. As long as OH and VA are good, Obama has a lot of flexibility.

[Dawgs]

14. You're partly correct. OH and VA means Obama wins, but not sure about "a lot of flexibility".

[AJTheMan]

15. I want to know how these polls get their numbers. I mean I've never been called for my opinion.

But then again, I have only been a voter for eight months.

[DCBob]

16. Raspuken is garbarge..

Why even post this crap??

[Rosanna Lopez]

17. We use Rasmussen as a comparative barometer

As I said in my original post, Rasmussen numbers are not to be trusted at face value because of their in-house bias towards the Republicans.

However, they are useful to examine in that if they only show a slight lead for Romney, that means he is probably actually behind. Therefore, the purpose of reading a Rasmussen poll is to get a sense of what the true numbers may be.

[DCBob]

19. Who's we??

[lovemydog]

18. Let's win Florida again

I'd like to know where Assmussen had McCain vs. Obama in FL on July 12, 2008. We won FL that year. Let's win again!