PPP-Iowa Poll Hillary 52% Bernie 25% O'Malley 7% Webb 3 % Chaffe 1%

[Robbins]

Since april Hillary has dropped from 62% to 52%.

Bernie has risen from 14% to now 25%

Bernie is rising due to becoming more popular

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2015/08/trump-still-leads-in-iowa-fiorina-on-fire-paul-tanking.html

[ibegurpard]

1. 6 months to go!

Looking good!

[artislife]

2. I am still waiting for my call to my cell....

tick, tick, tick, tick.

[Agschmid]

3. Big O'Malley jump?

Is he getting traction?

[FSogol]

5. O'Malley is doing the most grassroots/on-the-ground work of any of the candidates.

It will be a slow rise, but his numbers will greatly increase over the next 6 months. I am still skeptical of any poll taken before Labor Day.

[Agschmid]

7. It's good to see!

[askew]

14. Yep. It looks like the grassroots work is starting to pay off. This is a big jump for him.

I am going to see O'Malley and others at the Wingding event in Iowa this Friday. It will be a nice comparison between camapigns.

[NYCButterfinger]

4. Webb is a lazy campaigner

But a true patriot. I wonder if he will place third in the Iowa caucuses.

[SonderWoman]

6. So she's not winning due to name recognition?

I'm sure everybody in Iowa knows of Bernie Sanders, yet Hillary still has a 30 point lead.

[Motown_Johnny]

12. We need to see a couple debates.

After that, your argument will make sense (if she still has a commanding lead).

[DCBob]

8. I think the Hillary camp would be very pleased with these numbers.

Sanders has only gained 11 points in 4 months. That's not going to be near good enough to catch her in Iowa.

[DemocraticWing]

10. Uh, let's do the math

So in 4 months if he gains another 11 points and Hillary loses another 10 points, that makes it 42-36 Hillary with nearly two months until the caucuses.

I'm not going to assume that Sanders rate of grown will stay steady, increase, or decrease. Maybe he steadily gains and catches her by February, maybe he makes a big jump after the first debate in October, maybe his support stays flat, or maybe his support collapses and he finishes 3rd. I don't know.

But the current rate of growth is, quite frankly, "good enough to catch her in Iowa."

[DCBob]

16. Possible but unlikely.

In fact it looks like Bernie has peaked. Note his numbers from recent surveys.

[Stallion]

9. Third Recent Poll that Says the Same Thing

Sanders does better in Iowa than in most states-not really any discernible movement though than from the other 2 polls-more if you unlock the prior polls-no positive movement toward Sanders since mid-June. In fact, Hillary gets a +8 from the most recent Iowa Quinnipiac poll and +3 from most recent NBC Iowa Poll

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/ia/iowa_democratic_presidential_caucus-3195.html

[oasis]

11. When the smoke clears, Hillary will have a comfortable lead.

Bernie's message is music to the ears of of most Democrats ,for the moment ,as the myth of Hillary's flawed character comes into play.

But when voters finally focus on GOP plans for women's reproductive rights and Supreme Court appointments,those bar ,beauty parlor and barbershop conversations will turn to the question, "Who has a real chance of winning?".

[restorefreedom]

20. i think more people are starting to see the chinks

in her armor. she has a lot of baggage. people are getting in board with the idea that bernie or omalley might be more electable in a ge.

[Adrahil]

13. That's actually less than I expected for Bernie....

Iowa is pretty close to his ideal demo. He's only showing a 10%-ish bump from April, which is about the same as he's experienced nationally. He is doing well with favorability, which is NOT a surprise to me. I mean, who doesn't like Bernie? Every Democrat I know likes him, even the HRC supporters (such as myself).

[askew]

15. There is still a name recognition issue for all candidates other than Hillary.

It is surprising to us political junkies but none of the other candidates have close to the name recognition that Hillary has. That's why the DNC doesn't want there to be debates. No free media, means no increase in name recognition.

[Capt. Obvious]

17. Chafee is on the move

He was previously at 0%

[restorefreedom]

18. i know, he is in positive territory now! nt

[Capt. Obvious]

19. The bad news though

is that in metric conversion he's only at 0.3048%

[restorefreedom]

21. bawahahahaha! nt